Analyst. Semiconductors, data centers & physical AI. Portfolio and investment theses on Substack Join 14,000+ readers: https://xitter.cf/t.co/poHmmwvC5M

Spain
Joined April 2024
YTD performance: +91% After such a run, I’m now looking at what comes next > 71 companies on the watchlist, mapped out over the coming months I share it all here hypertechinvest.com/p/my-ful…
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Memory stocks could fall to a 0.01 P/E, and people would still say, "It's not cheap, it's cyclical."
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$NBIS in the center looking nice and pretty at $NVDA GTC
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$AMD Argues CPUs and FPGAs Are Just as Critical as GPUs for Physical AI AMD argues that raw computing power is not enough for robotics and physical AI. Predictable latency, real-time responsiveness, and efficient data movement are more important AMD advocates distributed computing architectures that combine GPUs and NPUs for AI inference, FPGAs for real-time control, and CPUs for coordination
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Good lord JPM with a massive revision on $SPCX I understand the bullishness, but $500 is a bit absurd It's quite obvious that these banks, which have profited so much from SpaceX's IPO, are pretty biased
JPM doubled $SPCX target price to $500 TLDR JPM isn't raising SpaceX to $500 because rockets got better. It's because its model effectively turns SpaceX into one of the world's largest AI infrastructure operators. Takeaway: How aggressive is the AI compute buildout? Extremely aggressive. Which GPUs are driving this? Almost all of the 10 GW incremental compute planned for 2027 will be Nvidia Vera Rubin generation. SpaceX expects 440,000 Vera Rubin GPUs deployed by the end of 2Q27 Why does Vera Rubin matter so much? It's not just more compute. Vera Rubin monetization could be roughly 40% higher than the strongest GB300 systems. Better GPUs → more intelligence per watt → higher monetization → potentially faster payback → more compute investment How much money could the AI business actually make? By 2027, JPM expects SI to contribute 86% of total SpaceX revenue.
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$MU Close to Avoiding Strike in Taiwan Micron has reached an agreement with its Taichung labor union, potentially averting the October 22 strike Starting FY2027, employees will receive quarterly profit-sharing bonuses, with 50% paid in cash and 50% in stock. Union projections suggest annual compensation could increase 179–249% for certain employee levels, depending on profitability
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Musk Targets $SPCX First SRAM Test Chip by May–June 2027, With Volume Production in H2 2028 "We're just figuring out chip fabrication. So but I'll give it I'll tell you what our internal expectations are. Which obviously I put big error bars in this, because we don't know if we will actually achieve this or not. But it's what we're aiming for internally, is to make our first sort of test chip functional in approximately May or June of next year. That's just a kind of a SRAM chip or something that basically tests the line. That's at the research fab in Austin. And we're aiming to our aspiration is to reach volume production around Q3 of '28. At Terafab, at Gibbons Creek the main Terafab location. Now, these are very aggressive dates. And we're very appreciative of ASML and all of our other suppliers in accelerating equipment deliveries in order to achieve this outcome. Let's just say that that outcome of achieving volume production is, at least in the set of possible outcomes for Q3 or Q4 of '28. So these are obviously like insanely fast time frames for chip production. We do have, I think, some significant potential breakthroughs in chip fabrication, but I don't think I should discuss that on an earnings call."
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This is actually not that bad from Anthropic The improvement in profitability is quite insane. It may actually be worth $1+ trillion after all
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I’m unable to make any payments through Revolut or with my cards If it weren’t for the fact that I have another bank, I’d be helpless Wow. So much for the CEO acting cocky in interviews lately Not a serious bank yet
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HSBC absolutely DESPISES $CRWV -36.5% downside in their eyes "Hyperscalers will earn higher revenue per MW." "Moderation in compute demand ahead." "Rising yields and debt market will constrain buildout." "2028 EPS estimates 60% below consensus." Ouch
HSBC on Coreweave: "One of the worst stocks to ever exist" "Send it to Hades" "Still overvalued at 52w lows" "A turd rolled in glitter is still a turd" (paraphrasing)
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Serious question When will the space industry become self-sustaining rather than one subsidized by shareholders? Apart from Starlink and a handful of other exceptions, most space companies are unprofitable That’s not something you normally see across an entire industry
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I'll be honest, the people doubting neoclouds just lack the ability to think long term I'm not talking about company-specific cases, but the concept itself A hyper-specialized business with the sole purpose of securing power for energy-hungry AI and maximizing inference performance and efficiency at both the software and hardware levels It's a custom-made business model for the largest revolution in the history of technology, perfectly designed to serve it, and yet people think it's a speculative, maybe even temporary industry Nonsense.
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Are these companies really going to keep using the Super Intelligence term? It’s just not possible to stop using “AI.” Why do they even try to overcomplicate things? I don’t believe for a second they’re sticking with that
The path to accelerating Super Intelligence demands a fundamental leap in memory and storage capabilities. Join us Wednesday, Oct. 21, at 8 a.m. MT for a technology webinar led by Scott DeBoer, Micron President and Chief Technology and Products Officer. Scott will detail how Micron’s technology foundation, multigenerational roadmap, close customer co-design and long-term research position the company to extend its technology leadership over the next decade and beyond. The webinar will be webcast live on Micron's Investor Relations website. Read the full announcement for details: bit.ly/4isoZdE
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“By the end of the 2030s, quantum is a trillion dollars of market value.” — $IBM CEO That's a BIG statement Makes me wanna get more serious about quantum stocks, even if he's obviously biased
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Good revenue figures from $EOSE, but this thing isn’t re-rating until they improve their abysmal gross margins.
Eos Energy $EOSE | Q3 Revenue 🔋 Eos Energy announce preliminary Q3 results, with $82 - 83m in revenue expected for the quarter, and $300m+ expected for the full year. This outlines 170% YoY growth for Q3, 58% growth for Q4, and 163%+ for FY 📈
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B200 and B300 prices are reaching all-time highs Wow Definitely not just bullish for neoclouds (in terms of forward-looking pricing), but bullish for the semi/data center complex overall Sometimes people forget, but the whole semi rally is about making a very valuable product
Yesterday, @OrnnExchange's B200 and B300 indexes reached a new all-time high prices, with the B200 hitting $8.54/GPU-hour. It is clear that today's market is lacking GPU capacity, and that the companies building deploying capacity are looking to improve their credit. In the past trading week as the B200 rental price increased by 12.9%, $CRWV fell by 25.2%. Why does $CRWV move inversely to rising compute prices as a neocloud? 98% of Coreweave's Q2 revenue came from committed contracts, 72% from three customers, and most of its $104B backlog is recognized after mid-2028. CoreWeave's backlog is locked at fixed prices. These higher market rates matter for new contracts they sign, so the question is where rental rates end up when their contracts roll off. Ornn's index tracks transacted prices in order to capture what buyers are actually willing to pay for on-demand GPU rentals, real signal for tracking the value of compute.
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Jason really is a contrarian, huh? Interesting picks, to say the least
Stocks I own that i believe are undervalued or at generational bottoms: $TSLA $uber $NU $hood $dash $AMZN $PONY $WRD $FIG $BIDU $AMZN $lcid $xyz $hhh Privates: @zipline @micro1 @Hello_GoAI @AskTaxGPT @goautolane @Superhuman @calm
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SemiAnalysis has raised its 2027 data center capacity forecast from +43 GW to +50 GW This comes just days after Jensen Huang appeared doubtful about the previous figure when asked about it 👀
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$ONDS is a really popular pick, but some things about the company's corporate dealings just don't sit right with me Ron Stern was chairman of Airobotics and a partner at OurCrowd, which owned 19.6% of Airobotics In 2022, Airobotics was financially distressed, losing millions and warning that it might not survive without additional financing. Yet Ondas acquired it at a 71% premium Two years later, Ondas appointed Stern to its board and awarded him a highly generous compensation package, including options equivalent to 3% of the company's outstanding shares The options vested early when Ondas's stock reached $5. Stern then sold 2.68 million shares for $26.3 million in gross proceeds and resigned after just 11 months Doesn't this raise some red flags?
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“Land, power, and shell will be one of the biggest obstacles to the AI buildout.” However, look at the stocks the market has been liquidating lately Now ask yourself whether that makes sense and if it's a buying opportunity Think sensibly
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