Emma-Caroline Avery (@ecavery03) profile picture

Barnard ‘27 | @SABRLions

Joined October 2024
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
The Lions are back 🦁 Fall ball is in the books, and the numbers speak for themselves. Take a look at some of our top performers on this fall’s leaderboards.
6
24
3,685
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Most of what we work on at @ParadigmPDS stays in-house, so it was fun to get to write a project up publicly. Part 1 of my college WAR model where replacement level depends on conference context is below. medium.com/@wwp2108/building…
4
18
1,238
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Pitches with outlier movement jump out on paper but can be hard to repeat over the course of a season. We dug into the last two years of D1 baseball data to find the tradeoff between elite movement and consistent execution🧵
1
6
2
47
8,979
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Foul balls data could be the secret to the gaining an edge when scouting hitters. A hitter's foul spray tells you his timing and how to attack him. Here’s what the data says 🧵
1
7
2
69
9,587
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Every pitch has a margin for error. Shape decides how wide it is. Miss the ideal spot by 6 to 12 inches and sliders gave up .112 more xwOBA on contact. We tracked the top 50 D1 pitchers with the most innings in 2026 to see how far each pitch type can miss 🧵
1
5
2
32
6,476
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Last month we showed college baseball is self-selecting for supinators. Next question: does release bias change who throws more strikes?
College baseball is self-selecting for supinators, and we're seeing it in the data. Let's break down what's happening and why it matters for player development🧵
2
6
1
38
16,583
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Two pitches can share the same movement profile and location, but still reach the plate differently. We looked at every 2026 D1 pitcher to see how Horizontal Approach Angle impacted their arsenals 🧵
1
4
3
45
7,181
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
First-year Paradigm partners average 6 more wins and climb 11 RPI spots. Here's what a full year with us looks like, season by season🧵
1
2
1
22
2,514
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Two hitters can have the same bat speed and completely different swings. Exit velo and launch angle won't show you that. Here is the swing data that shows how they got there 🧵
1
4
2
20
2,285
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Your best hitter by OPS might just be getting lucky. OPS tells you who produced. It can’t tell you who will keep producing. We studied D1 offenses from 2023-26 and found the stat that predicts success as well as OPS does, and becomes reliable 5x faster 🧵
1
4
1
46
7,000
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Should hitters automatically take at 3–0? Or are they missing their best chance to do damage? Here’s what the data says 🧵
3
4
1
27
4,842
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
One of the most data-driven teams in baseball, scouting a two-time Cy Young winner in the NLCS. What Pat Murphy points to first: “he’s got a good angled fastball” Approach angles matter, especially at the highest level. #Postseason
Want to win the biggest matchups in college baseball? Start with approach angles. We dove into how mound height and rubber position change the angles your pitchers create, and the ones your hitters see. 5 min read on how to win with approach angles ⬇️⬇️ medium.com/@ParadigmPDS/the-…
3
1
73
22,952
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
White Sox vs. Guardians is a college baseball ALDS. We tracked 7 of the D1 products on these rosters from their draft year to 2026. Who kept their profile, who rebuilt it, and what changed on the way up.
1
5
1
13
2,314
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Always a good day when Paradigm+ maps are involved! Informed decisions keep things simple - throw it where the batter can’t do damage. Loved digging into the practical implementation of P+ and how elite staffs are taking advantage of our data driven strategy ‼️
Every pitch has a margin for error. Shape decides how wide it is. Miss the ideal spot by 6 to 12 inches and sliders gave up .112 more xwOBA on contact. We tracked the top 50 D1 pitchers with the most innings in 2026 to see how far each pitch type can miss 🧵
2
7
1,150
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Whiff% can give you a dependable read on a college hitter in roughly 14 games but OPS still doesn't reach the same threshold after an entire D1 season. We analyzed 6.56M D1 pitches to find out what stats stabilize first in college baseball🧵
1
7
2
40
7,645
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
The Mound Height Database is LIVE We ranked all Division 1 ballparks based on how tall the mound is at that stadium. Find out where your stadium ranks HERE ⬇️ medium.com/@ParadigmPDS/why-…
1
5
3
25
16,047
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
In the Transfer Portal and NIL era, the programs that evaluate the most thoroughly and effectively win more baseball games. Read about our approach to building rosters in the modern landscape⬇️ medium.com/@ParadigmPDS/how-…
8
1
19
5,260
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Want to work in sports? Join SABRLions! 🦁⚾️ Columbia Baseball’s analytics club is recruiting for 2026–27. Opportunities in analytics, scouting, player development, sports science, game day ops, coding, and content creation. 🧵
2
3
10
787
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
How can you use the element of surprise to freeze a hitter with two strikes? We looked at every two-strike pitch in D1 baseball across 2025 and 2026 Here’s what the data says🧵
2
6
1
43
8,378
Emma-Caroline Avery retweeted
Paradigm is headed to the @ABCA1945 Main Stage. Our CEO and Co-Founder, @kylewellman24, will present "Metrics that Matter: Data Analytics with a Human Touch" at the 2027 ABCA Convention in Chicago. The Main Stage Clinics are the centerpiece of the largest gathering of baseball coaches in the world. Full release below.
7
1
35
2,352