Founder of @BrazilianReport, not the Portuguese skateboarder. Master's in Political Science at @SorbonneParis1. 📬 [email protected]
Sao Paulo, Brazil
Joined June 2009
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Flávio Bolsonaro is unlikely to stir up the kind of insurgency his father incited four years ago. A sizable bloc of Liberal Party leaders and allies is already pressing him to concede to Lula, and many see his challenge to the results as a mistake. (via O Globo)
This guy’s model is 2/2. Congrats, man.
The presidential runoff between Flávio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is in 3 days, and a new poll puts them tied at 50-50. The trend favors Lula, who was behind. But it is impossible to predict Sunday's result. The stakes of tomorrow's debate just got higher.
#Brazil
Kaio com K.
URGENTE: Filho de Domingos Brazão, um dos mandantes da morte de Marielle Franco, entrou de cabeça na campanha de Flávio Bolsonaro. Kaio Brazão convocou apoiadores para adesivaço na manhã desta terça na Taquara, Zona Sudoeste do Rio.
iclnoticias.com.br/filho-man…
O debate da Band expôs o péssimo estado do jornalismo brasileiro. E o problema não terminou ali. Nenhum grande veículo do país noticiou até agora a ameaça de bomba reportada pela CNN Portugal.
Brazil’s Record TV canceled Sunday’s runoff debate between President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, citing scheduling conflicts. It did not say which candidate wasn't available. Lula’s campaign said he would attend; Bolsonaro’s did not confirm.
Gustavo Ribeiro retweeted
Lula ally Guilherme Boulos wants leftists to skip Bolsonaro voters and chase the 33 million Brazilians who abstained in the first round. It’s a tempting fix for a campaign trailing Flávio Bolsonaro 47% to 45%. The turnout data is less convenient.
newsletters.brazilian.report…
Gustavo Ribeiro retweeted
Flávio Bolsonaro finished the first round with 47.03% of valid votes, against 45.16% for Lula, and the two meet in a runoff on Oct. 25. The right-wing wave pollsters underestimated (as they did in 2022) arrived as a tsunami.
newsletters.brazilian.report…
Gustavo Ribeiro retweeted
A municipal-level analysis of electoral data shows Flávio improving on his father's 2022 first-round share in 5,460 of 5,567 municipalities, while Lula's share fell in 5,448.
For more key takeaways on Sunday's election results, go to newsletters.brazilian.report…
Brazil's benchmark stock index is up by nearly 9% after far-right Senator Flávio Bolsonaro finished the first round with a commanding 2-pt lead over center-left President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.
Brazilians abroad, early count: a red Europe and Oceania for Lula, blue pockets in Japan, South and Southeast Asia, and southern Africa for Flávio Bolsonaro. Results from the US, where Bolsonaro dominated in 2022, are still to come.
Source: TSE via @ozymandias_py
Gustavo Ribeiro retweeted
Essas são as probabilidade do @polling_data relacionadas ao 1° turno das eleições com base em todas as pesquisas publicadas.
Gustavo Ribeiro retweeted
Brazil votes in the closest race in its democratic history. Three leading pollsters cannot agree on who is ahead: President Lula or Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Turnout and a possible far-right surge will settle what they could not.
newsletters.brazilian.report…
