principally permacultural
bay area/new orleans
Joined March 2015
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thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
I've crunched the latest Nov numbers, and nothing has changed regarding the anticipated effects of this year's extreme El Niño event in California. There remains very strong evidence that the odds are heavily tilted toward an unusually wet, or perhaps even extremely wet, winter.
ALT Three maps show ECMWF’s January–March 2027 precipitation forecast across the northeastern Pacific and western North America: the ensemble’s 20th percentile, mean, and 80th percentile. Blue indicates above-average precipitation, brown below average, and white near average, relative to the model’s 1993–2016 baseline. Much of California remains wetter than average even at the 20th percentile. The mean shows a pronounced wet signal across California and the Southwest; the 80th percentile reaches or exceeds 250% of average in parts of this region. Forecast initialized November 1, 2026.
thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
Due to the significant nature of the upcoming storm in NorCal and Central California. I've issued my first storm product of the season, and it is now fully operational.
A storm warning is now going to take effect beginning 12Z Friday for the northwest California coast due to heavy rainfall, strong winds, and very large breaking waves. On the other hand, a Level 1 storm risk is being highlighted for the SF metro area and Sacramento Valley. A Level 2 storm risk is for extreme northern California, the Sierra Mountains, and the Big Sur coast.
NOTE:
This is not an "OFFICIAL" NWS product; please seek official information. This product is handcrafted and developed by me and highlights a reasonable severity level of Pacific storms specifically for California. But please note that NOT all criteria are needed; for example, SFO is in a storm advisory because rain amounts will be under 1.25 in and wind gusts under 45 mph, but no flooding from heavy rain is expected at this time so this is wind & heavy rain driven risk.
In Fort Bragg, CA, there's a high risk, meaning rain amounts are forecasted to reach 1.75 in or greater, with wind gusts greater than 45 but not exceeding 60 mph and flooding likely.
i was gonna say 'wow "the dawning realization" lmao' but this is charles mann and i like his books so i wont be rude
Terrific @TheAtlantic piece on archaeologists' and anthropologists' slowly dawning realization that now-submerged areas on the coastal shelf--swathes of land drowned when the glaciers melted--may be where much of our species' early history took place. (Link in reply)
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thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
Confidence continues to grow surrounding a wet, and possibly very wet, period developing in CA (especially NorCal) by Friday. While a wide range of outcomes is possible, more than a few ensemble members are depicting quite impressive rainfall for Nov.
So...things are ramping up!
ALT Meteogram depicting predicted precipitation at a point near San Francisco, CA over the next 14 days from each member of the ECMWF ensemble. The average 14-day precipitation is around 4.6 inches (which is a lot for 2 weeks in November!), and the range is from 2.7 to 9.6 inches across the model members.
ive said this before i think but very few of these are cuisines imo. like regional, idk, "specialties" I guess, but cuisine-wise mostly everyone eats very similarly
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thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
imagine a universe where portugal got to california before spain and we had lã do rei instead of lana del rey
thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
Shawty like "absinthe is a liquer made of wormwood and anise" and I'm tryna liq-huer and put my worm wood in her anise
thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
Ocean waters off San Diego County are nearly as warm as those off Cape Canaveral, Florida, at 75°F (24°C).
That's nearly 11°F (6°C) above normal, instead of the rapid cooling November usually brings.
El Niño is the main culprit.
thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
"Are Cajuns Southerners?" - the greatest thread in the history of forums, locked by a moderator after 12,239 pages of heated debate,
thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
The biggest ideological divide is not between women and men, or between those who went to college and those who didn't.
It's between renters and owners.
the City gasps for breath under the pressure of the gentrifier-colonial regime, but to little effect
Just in: Californians have rejected the billionaire's tax.
Alameda, Santa Cruz, and SF counties showed the strongest support, whereas Lassen and Modoc were the most opposed. In SF, opposition was highest in Pac Heights’ Precinct 9216, home to Billionaire’s Row.
Explore the results: sf.news/4BSpW6J
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thizzical ✌︎ therapist retweeted
California is experiencing one of the most extraordinary marine heatwaves in it's history. Water temperatures off Santa Barbara reached nearly 75°F today, 12°F above normal. Off San Diego County, temperatures reached above 77°F in the past week.
From the Bay Area to San Diego, coastal waters are running 6–12°F above normal. Category 5, or “beyond extreme,” marine heatwave conditions are occurring along virtually the entire Southern California coast.
Farther north, temperatures off Monterey have reached 68°F and 67°F off Half Moon Bay.
This exceptional warmth could have major consequences for marine life and could help enhance storms this winter.
