explorer. fragrance junkie. shenanigator. hurricane chaser/aftermath 🌎 Storyful partner 🎥
Cone of Uncertainty
Joined February 2009
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Pinned Tweet
Coast Guard Search and rescue in a neighborhood at the end of the #SanibelIslandBridge that collapsed into the Gulf. #IanHurricane #SanibelCauseway #floridahurricane #flwx #naples – at Sanibel, FL
🧪 @sturdrinks I scanned one of your products on @YukaUS and it contains an additive Yuka assessed as high-risk: Potassium phosphates. I ask you to remove it in order to protect consumer health. #NotInMyProduct app.yuka.io/dJViPYN
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🧪 @snackpackpuddin I scanned one of your products on @YukaUS and it contains additives Yuka assessed as high-risk (Yellow 5, Yellow 6, Disodium phosphate). I ask you to remove them in order to protect consumer health. #NotInMyProduct app.yuka.io/P3ksFZ4
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#TSthelifeofashowgirl I am DYING 🫶🏼😭👏🏻
Showgirl is already with her sisters! 🥹 Welcome home, Showgirl!
💚💛💜❤️🩵🖤🩷🩶🤎💙🤍❤️🔥
#TSTheLifeofaShowgirl
jenn barnett retweeted
9/1, 5AM: Unsettled weather continues with more rain on the way this afternoon as a front approaches.
⚠️Heavy rainfall, gusty winds and isolated street flooding (there is a Marginal Risk of Excessive Rainfall)
📍Along East Coast metro and south of Alligator Alley.
🕐 2-8PM
jenn barnett retweeted
8/17 evening: In addition to #Erin, the tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic now has a medium🟠chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 7 days. The system should approach the NE Caribbean or SW Atlantic by the end of this week. More info: hurricanes.gov
Well, it’s been a peaceful month but it’s time to turn the tweeter notifications back on 📳🤳
Is bizzznezzzz time 🛟
LOCAL #904 @wjxt4 THEE LOCAL STATION SIGN OF THA BIG CATS COMING @Jaguars HEAR ME ROAR @ROARoftheJags 👁️ TAUGHT 👁️ TAW A PUTTY TAT ..👁️ DID SEE A PUTTY TAT 👁️ DID....
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jenn barnett retweeted
MOST ACCURATE MODEL: I've been watching the brand new (experimental) EC-AIFS model this season. It has, hands down, outperformed legacy models. It’s an artificial intelligence deep learning model created by ECMWF. So, it is an improved version of the already powerhouse European model.
➡️ With Helene, four days out from landfall it was only 50 miles off of the eventual landfall. The GFS (American) model was 300 miles off.
FORECAST:
➡️ The overnight run of the EC-AIFS model has the storm making landfall into Sarasota County.
➡️ There is still a considerable spread in the other, also reliable, models and the NHC forecast cone includes most of the Florida peninsula.
BOTTOM LINE:
➡️ The EC-AIFS will likely be accurate to within 50-100 miles of its current prediction. This does include a potential direct hit to St. Petersburg/Clearwater/Tampa to the north and Fort Myers vicinity to the south.
➡️ Everyone in the Florida peninsula should be preparing for this storm. We're looking at a landfall on Wednesday.
➡️ As always, follow guidance from the NHC and local officials.
Stay tuned. I'll have additional model updates/analysis and a video update after I return from church.
jenn barnett retweeted
1/3 A few practical points and comparisons to make between the forecasts of Helene and Milton and how hurricanes in the Gulf can overachieve. Helene went from a 45mph TS to a 140mph hurricane in 60 hours and 815 miles. The peak intensity forecast 60 hours from landfall was 115mph
jenn barnett retweeted
Using the *PRELIMINARY* USGS streamgage located in the Ashville, NC area, this was a roughly 14,000 year flood. Every year, this flood has a 0.007158% chance of happening. The estimated discharge was 248,862 gallons per second at peakflow. Analysis breakdown below👇
jenn barnett retweeted
[As of 6:00 PM EDT Tues 9/24] Confidence continues to increase with regard to the potential impacts of Helene. The flood threat will become significant Thursday night into Friday. This has the potential to be an extremely rare event. #scwx #ncwx #gawx
ALT Tropical Storm Helene will impact us later this week. Widespread heavy rainfall with flash flooding, and increasing potential for landslides. Gusty winds may result in scattered power outages. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. And note that this is a very large storm and residents are urged not to focus on the cone, as impacts will extend well beyond the shaded cone area.
ALT Storm total rainfall for the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia through late Friday. Darkest colors represent 10-15" of rain, Pink represents 6-8" of rain, and the red represents 4-6" of rain.
ALT A Flood Watch in effect from Wednesday morning through Friday afternoon for portions of northeast Georgia, North Carolina mountains, and Upstate South Carolina. Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.
ALT Inland Tropical Cyclone Wind Safety: Trim loose or dead limbs near your home. Have dead trees removed. Secure or put away any yard furniture or other objects. Stay aware of the potential for falling trees and power lines, especially while driving.
jenn barnett retweeted
Progression of messaging from local forecast office, NWS GSP:
1/n
"several inches of rain not out of the question"
- 8 hours after the pre-#Helene disturbance designated a Potential Tropical Cyclone; 76 hours before landfall
jenn barnett retweeted
It cannot be understated the threat #helene poses across the southeastern United States just based on current intensity projections. There doesn’t appear to be any wiggle room on the downside either. This will be a historic storm for many including southern Appalachia with flooding and wind damage. Pray I’m wrong, I want to be. Be safe all and protect your families and property as best you can.
jenn barnett retweeted
Life-Threatening Major flooding and debris flow in Boone.
Video is from my friend Aidan Haas at App State @spann @JimCantore #ncwx #Helene
