G Agustin Markarian (@markarian_g) header
G Agustin Markarian (@markarian_g) profile picture

G Agustin Markarian

@markarian_g

Assistant Professor - Political Science @LoyolaChicago. Research: race, representation, violence, police, and elections in 🇺🇸. For fun: ⚽️, 🏀, 🏂, and 🎮 .

agustinmarkarian.com/
Joined March 2020
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Our new @apsrjournal is out! We study whether policy and congresspeople are more responsive to White Americans than racial minorities, matching individual level opinion to policy outcomes and roll call votes on 134 issues using 500K survey responses from 2016-2022. 1/n
Cambridge University Press - Politics (@CUP_PoliSci) profile pictureCambridge University Press - Politics@CUP_PoliSci12 Nov 2025
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal - Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking - cup.org/4nWMvzd - @markarian_g, @Jacob_S_Hacker, @lockhartm & ZOLTAN HAJNAL #FirstView
Banner featuring the hashtag #OpenAccess over a green background, and the text "American Political Science Review" on a blue background below.

ALT Banner featuring the hashtag #OpenAccess over a green background, and the text "American Political Science Review" on a blue background below.

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Two APSRs in one month! Surveys say lower-income people favor redistribution more. But what happens when people actually vote on taxing the rich? New @apsrjournal note with Jieun Lee, Grant Baldwin, and Ben Newman, using 73,053 precincts and 8 ballot measures.
American Political Science Review (@apsrjournal) profile pictureAmerican Political Science Review@apsrjournalNov 5
From our FirstView: "Economic Self-Interest and Support for Redistribution: New Evidence Using Election Results Data" by Jieun Lee, E. Grant Baldwin, @markarian_g, Benjamin J. Newman. buff.ly/3MP27Bj
APSR abstract for “Economic Self-Interest and Support for Redistribution: New Evidence Using Election Results Data,” by Jieun Lee, E. Grant Baldwin, G. Agustin Markarian, and Benjamin J. Newman, Analyzing 73,053 votes across eight state redistribution ballot initiatives, the authors find lower- to upper-middle-income precincts support redistribution more than upper-income precincts, with the largest gap in Republican-leaning areas. Full abstract is available in linked article.

ALT APSR abstract for “Economic Self-Interest and Support for Redistribution: New Evidence Using Election Results Data,” by Jieun Lee, E. Grant Baldwin, G. Agustin Markarian, and Benjamin J. Newman, Analyzing 73,053 votes across eight state redistribution ballot initiatives, the authors find lower- to upper-middle-income precincts support redistribution more than upper-income precincts, with the largest gap in Republican-leaning areas. Full abstract is available in linked article.

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The class gap is biggest in Republican-leaning precincts and shrinks in Democratic-leaning ones. In half the measures it reverses: richer Democratic precincts support redistribution more than poorer Democratic precincts.
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Big takeaways: 1) Self-interest matters 2) No “I’ll be rich someday” effect among the upper-middle class 3) Support only falls off in the richest places, where taxes kicks in 4) Partisanship can override self-interest: affluent Democratic places vote against their pocketbooks
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G Agustin Markarian retweeted
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed (@AbdulElSayed) profile picture
Dr. Abdul El-Sayed
@AbdulElSayedOct 18
He says the name just fine when he’s begging the Qataris for a personal jet or the Saudis for funding for his son-in-law’s private equity firm. Wonder what’s changed?
Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) profile pictureAaron Rupar
@atruparOct 16
Trump on El-Sayed: "His name is actually Abduladadalalalala. It's Adulbabababababa Mohammed Al-Sayed. So his middle name is Mohammed. So I was right. He's a jihadist."
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Does crime mobilize or demobilize? Scholarship disagrees, partly because studies measure crime and participation differently. In our new @apsrjournal paper, we test 3 measures of crime exposure against both electoral and non-electoral participation using validated turnout data.
American Political Science Review (@apsrjournal) profile pictureAmerican Political Science Review@apsrjournalOct 16
From our FirstView: "Crime and Participation" by David Doherty, G. Agustin Markarian @markarian_g, Mena Whalen, and Dana Garbarski. buff.ly/nOV8A9L
APSR abstract for “Crime and Participation,” by David Doherty, G. Agustin Markarian, Mena Whalen, and Dana Garbarski, Using survey data from 21 U.S. cities, the authors find direct crime victimization increases non-electoral engagement but lowers turnout, while perceived neighborhood safety raises non-electoral participation only. Full abstract is available in linked article.

ALT APSR abstract for “Crime and Participation,” by David Doherty, G. Agustin Markarian, Mena Whalen, and Dana Garbarski, Using survey data from 21 U.S. cities, the authors find direct crime victimization increases non-electoral engagement but lowers turnout, while perceived neighborhood safety raises non-electoral participation only. Full abstract is available in linked article.

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Direct victimization is particularly predictive: crime victims turn out to vote less but participate in non-electoral ways more. High-crime contexts demobilize turnout only if the crime is violent. Perceptions of local safety positively predict more non-electoral participation.
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Trust in institutions seems central: victims who reported the crime to police participate most beyond the ballot box, and only those who didn't report it vote less. Big takeaway: crime victimization might push people from voting booths to picket lines and community meetings.
Image from G Agustin Markarian (@markarian_g)
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G Agustin Markarian retweeted
APSA (@APSAtweets) profile picture
APSA@APSAtweetsJul 20
Does the federal government do what people want? New APSR (@apsrjournal) research from @markarian_g, @Jacob_S_Hacker, @lockhartm and Zoltan Hajnal explores how race and partisan control shape policy responsiveness in American politics. buff.ly/D1K5C94
Image from APSA (@APSAtweets)
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For 19 years, a majority-Black Memphis district was represented by Steve Cohen—a white Jewish civil rights lawyer. Tennessee didn’t gerrymander to remove a Black legislator. They did it to disempower Black voters. Our new @TheProspect piece on what Callais really costs:
The American Prospect (@TheProspect) profile pictureThe American Prospect@TheProspectJun 3
Millions of voters of color will no longer be able to elect a representative of their choice. But what’s at stake is far bigger: whether voters of color can elect legislators whose votes actually reflect their policy preferences. prospect.org/?p=139239
Image from The American Prospect (@TheProspect)
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G Agustin Markarian retweeted
John B. Holbein (@JohnHolbein1) profile picture
John B. Holbein
@JohnHolbein1May 8
Which political science programs punch above and below their weight? Any surprising results here?
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From our FirstView: Race, Responsiveness, and Representation in U.S. Lawmaking by @markarian_g, JACOB S. HACKER, @lockhartm and ZOLTAN HAJNAL. doi.org/10.1017/S00030554251…
Image from American Political Science Review (@apsrjournal)
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In our new @LSQjournal, we find that women legislators sponsor more gun control laws than men and fewer gun rights bills — but only the latter finding (fewer gun rights bills) survives in DiD models. Gender shapes gun policy through agenda restraint, not active lawmaking.
Legislative Studies Quarterly (@LSQjournal) profile pictureLegislative Studies Quarterly@LSQjournalApr 16
"Do Women Legislators Legislate Differently Than Men on Gun-Related Policy? A Suggestive Yes" by Patrick Cunha Silva (@LoyolaChicago), @markarian_g (@LoyolaChicago), and Brady Mudge (@LoyolaChicago), is available to read at the link below: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…

Do Women Legislators Legislate Differently Than Men on Gun‐Related Policy? A Suggestive Yes

Polls show that men are less likely to support gun restrictions than women, but do voter preferences translate into elite behavior? To answer this question, we use a novel dataset of hand-coded...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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These patterns hold when we control for income, age, ideology, and PID. In other words, Republicans represent White Republicans better than Republicans of color. Analyzing legislators’ behavior, we find similar patterns and more... 3/n
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Counterintuitively, Black Americans receive worse representation relative to Whites when Black Americans make up a larger share of a state pop., suggesting racial threat matters. Indeed, we find average, local White racial resentment strongly predicts representation gaps. 4/4
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Just published on APSR First View: "Exposure to Mass Shootings and Voting Directly on Gun Policy" by G. Agustin Markarian (@markarian_g) and Benjamin J. Newman. cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Image from American Political Science Review (@apsrjournal)
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My new @apsrjournal (w/ B Newman) is out. We show that exposure to mass shootings increases support for gun control ballot measures, but not Dem vote share (a bundle of sticks). Want to harness post-shooting demands for gun control? Choose direct democracy over party politics.
Cambridge University Press - Politics (@CUP_PoliSci) profile pictureCambridge University Press - Politics@CUP_PoliSci11 Dec 2024
#OpenAccess from @apsrjournal - Exposure to Mass Shootings and Voting Directly on Gun Policy - cup.org/4iwGB6o - @markarian_g & BENJAMIN J. NEWMAN (@UCRiverside) #FirstView
Image from Cambridge University Press - Politics (@CUP_PoliSci)
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Maybe of interest? @GIFFORDS_org @AMarch4OurLives @GunResearch @bradybuzz
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