Amazing read thank you. I wonder whether European posturing changes relative to the past 10-20 years vs Russia now that arms race is ongoing but not yet finished

And now we see Ratcliffe's sudden visit to Russia. I suspect that these increases in Russian aggression towards NATO countries might be part of the reason.

Russia is already turning up the heat on European countries with sabotages and drone attacks, so this estimate has legs.

dude thats so funny. russian govt approval ratings cause oil price peaks lol

The SPR was built to buffer major supply shocks like the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Drawing it down now has helped stabilize markets and ease price pressure during the emergency.Key facts supporting its use here:Releases (including the planned 172 million barrels) are largely structured as exchanges/loans. Companies return the oil plus premiums, with expectations of a net gain (reports cite roughly 1.2-1.25 barrels returned per barrel released, potentially adding tens of millions extra once the crisis eases). U.S. crude production remains strong at about 13.8 million barrels per day, providing a solid domestic foundation that reduces reliance on the SPR alone. The reserve is doing its designed job: rapid release during disruption, followed by planned replenishment under more favorable conditions.

President Trump’s legacy is already cemented as one of the greatest in U.S. history. 1.Permanently extended the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act via the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, including new provisions like no tax on tips. 2.Achieved negative net migration for the first time in decades through expanded deportations and border enforcement. 3.Raised average tariff rates substantially, generating hundreds of billions in new customs revenue. 4.Conducted strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and advanced related pressure campaigns. 5.Captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro and asserted greater U.S. influence over Venezuelan oil resources. 6.Accelerated domestic energy production and exports under an “energy dominance” agenda. 7.Established a regulatory framework for dollar-backed stablecoins with the GENIUS Act. 8.Created the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), leading to federal workforce reductions and agency streamlining. 9.Delivered claimed record one-year declines in homicides and other violent crimes through targeted enforcement. 10.,Confirmed additional federal judges and issued a high volume of executive orders reshaping immigration, regulation, and foreign policy. 11. Stopped HCR and Harris from being President

Read this! Brilliant premise.