It's not a peak, it's a plateau | Manager @ PwC | PhD in Political Science | Interested in Chess & Badminton
Berlin/Oldenburg
Joined February 2017
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New Working Paper with @JochenRehmert:
Does gender affect candidate selection and/or list placement in PR systems?
To address this question, we conducted an experiment with party elites in Austria.
Link to paper: osf.io/mkauz
Michael Jankowski retweeted
Lots of debate this week on whether journals should ban AI in peer review.
We actually tested this in our new preprint, and the results were pretty clear to me.
For context, I've reviewed for most of the big journals and evaluated 1,000 human reviews as an editor. I love to read and evaluate science.
TLDR: From now on I won't do any peer review without AI. For clinical trials, I'd even call human-only review dangerous 🧵
Michael Jankowski retweeted
It is deeply discouraging that “evidence is the bottom line in any empirical inquiry” needs saying at all.
Recent prescriptions and policies would have us judge research by non-evidentiary standards, e.g. presumed political impact and scholar identity. In a new essay, Tom Clark and I argue empirical claims should instead be evaluated based on evidentiary strength. We outline a framework for judging evidence, and show its usefulness by revisiting high-profile scholarly disagreements spanning policing, political violence, election administration, and terrorism, before critiquing non-evidentiary approaches. We also argue social science needs a culture that is hospitable to critique—rather than one which condemns critics as “bullies”—if quality standards are to be upheld.
dropbox.com/scl/fi/fsgpflron…
Michael Jankowski retweeted
Our chair and a few replicators investigated a paper about elite footballers. And missed the bigger story.
An independent researcher showed us what we had failed to see.
This is I4R’s CRAVE–football investigation. It starts with a PNAS paper.
#CRAVEFiles
Ich bin so genervt von diesen Vorwürfen, dass Manows Ton in dieser Replik unangemessen sei (pw-portal.de/demokratie-und-…). Wie Manow völlig zu Recht am Anfang klarstellt reagiert er hier ja nicht (nur) auf inhaltliche Differenzen, sondern den (impliziten) Vorwurf wiss. Fehlverhaltens.
Erinnert mich sehr daran wie früher tlws. auf Replikationsstudien von mir reagiert wurde, in denen die methodischen Fehler von beliebten Publikationen gezeigt wurden und ich dann kritisiert wurde, dass es schlechter Stil sei, dass ich das auf Twitter öffentlich mache.
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Are LLM annotations of party positions contaminated by context cues? To test that, I took 6 policy statements and added different party names to them. Then I asked GPT-5.4 where it would place these claims on a scale from 0 (far left) to 100 (far right).
The effects are not massive, but also too large to just ignore them.
Will run some more analyses on how the effect can be mitigated and if it also depends on other factors, such as text length and scale construction.
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Yet another case where @I4Replication steps up to do the work that original authors and journal editors are unwilling to undertake...
Michael Jankowski retweeted
🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by @JohnHolbein1 alerted me, @OlleFolke, and Joop Adema (@Jopieboy) to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵
Michael Jankowski retweeted
Da öffnet sich ein SPD-Spitzenpolitiker, es geht um massive, teilweise gewalttätige Bedrohung von Rechtsextremisten.
Und die Linkenvorsitzende kocht daraus ein parteipolitisches Süppchen. „Selbstbezogen“.
Unangenehmer Post.
Michael Jankowski retweeted
We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R.
yiqingxu.org/packages/fect/0…
Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.
w/ @liuziyi233
Michael Jankowski retweeted
Kudos everyone! Our theories must be so good for us to be rejecting nulls all the time like this. A+++
New WP with @VincentAB @ryancbriggs. We use LLMs and RAs to track publication trends in polisci. Here’s how subfields have changed in AJPS and JOP osf.io/v7fe8
Michael Jankowski retweeted
Introducing the newly published "Populism - An Introduction".
Get your copy at ow.ly/4eIA50UnjyI
ALT Get your copy
Michael Jankowski retweeted
Order your copy of Populism: An Introduction from SAGE, Amazon, or your local bookstore. DM or email us for a discount code. We look forward to your feedback and hope it sparks lively discussions in classrooms and beyond! uk.sagepub.com/en-gb/eur/pop…
Michael Jankowski retweeted
We (that is @michaelj505 and me) are happy to share that our co-edited book “Populism: An Introduction” is now out from @SageCQPolitics. With Trump’s inauguration today, it’s the perfect moment for a clear, accessible overview of populism. Our 15 chapters are from top experts.
