
Pollster, Sociologist, KTAR Sr. Political Analyst, Speaker, Social Trends Analyst, #EverTrue
Phoenix
Joined October 2008
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Pinned Tweet
Replying to @michaeljoneil
As someone trained in evaluation research, I can tell you that the most likely cause is self-selection of students. Change data (gains in student scores) would be more convincing. But only a random assignment experiment would be definitive.
Mike O'Neil retweeted
KTAR political analyst Mike O'Neil said President Donald Trump's Achilles' heel is thinking he knows everything and not listening to anyone when he joined Arizona's Evening News.
Watch the full segment here: youtu.be/Jhuts4cUAg0
I'll be on @KTAR923 right after @realdonaldtrump speech tonight with analysis.
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Europe should not auto-decline Trump's request for ships in the strait of Hormuz, but treat it as an opportunity to put pressure on him re. Ukraine.
Mutually beneficial deal is: Stop cozying up to putin and start supporting Ukraine again --> we send you ships.
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Reminder: Daylight Savings Time starts tomorrow. Thankfully, Arizona does not observe DST, so the rest of you all have fun with that.
I wouldn't count on that happening.
Replying to @TheRealThelmaJ1
I just wish the prayers would work and God would inspire Trump to be smarter and less bad
Mike O'Neil retweeted
An Iranian man left this comment on my YouTube channel. This is without a doubt the single best explanation of the reality facing Iranian people today👇
"As an Iranian, I can tell you the situation is no longer just political—it's existential. We are trapped between two collapsing structures: one internal, one external. On one hand, we face a deeply dysfunctional government, led by the Supreme Leader and the Islamic Republic’s unelected institutions.
Decades of economic mismanagement, suppression of dissent, and brutal ideological control have alienated multiple generations. No one believes in reform anymore—because every attempt has either been co-opted or crushed. But here's the paradox: We are also terrified of regime collapse—because we've watched the aftermath of Western intervention in countries like Iraq, Libya, Syria, and Afghanistan. Each was promised freedom; each descended into chaos, civil war, or foreign occupation.
So no, we don't trust the U.S. or Israel. Not because we support our regime—but because we know how imperial powers treat ‘liberated’ nations in the Middle East.
Freedom, in their language, often means vacuum, fire, and permanent instability. Right now, many Iranians live with three truths at once: The Islamic Republic is morally and politically bankrupt. The alternatives offered by foreign actors are not liberation—they’re collapse.
A bad government is survivable. No government is not. We are not silent because we agree. We are cautious because we’ve learned—too well—what happens when superpowers decide to "help." In a sentence: Iran is a nation held hostage by its own regime, but haunted by the fate of its neighbors. We are stuck in a house we hate, surrounded by fires we fear more."
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Yes, it does happen.
Yes, it should be prosecuted.
Yes, I'm OK with more controls to prevent it.
Yes, it has been studied.
No, it doesn't happen at a rate higher than 0.01% of the vote.
No, it doesn't all favor one party or the other.
Back in November, @DHSgov found one — a “criminal alien” who voted despite not being a US citizen.
As it turns out, he was a green card holder who, the @nytimes reports, voted for Donald Trump — three times.
nytimes.com/2026/02/16/us/ka…
Mike O'Neil retweeted
He did not misspeak, he’s running it up the flagpole to normalize the idea.
Trump to Reuters about the midterm elections: "When you think of it, we shouldn't even have an election." reuters.com/world/us/five-ta…
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Who will be Arizona's next Governor now that David Schweikert is entering his name in the Arizona Gubernatorial race?
KTAR News Political Analyst @michaeljoneil shares his thoughts.
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Fate whispers to the warrior, 'You can not withstand the storm.’
The warrior whispers back, 'I am the storm.’
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Cases of pertussis (whooping cough) in Michigan have jumped 14-fold over the past year, the highest in at least two decades.
Only 73% of children ages 19-35 months in the state had received the recommended four doses of DTaP vaccines as of October 2024. bridgemi.com/michigan-health…
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Trump: Let's put Liz Cheney with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. Let's see how she feels about it when the guns are trained on her face
Mike O'Neil retweeted
RETWEET this. Every day. Until Election Day.
Anyone anywhere in America who tells you Donald Trump will be better for the economy needs this tweeted at them IMMEDIATELY.
My CSPAN interview from this morning on AZ Politics and Elections
c-span.org/video/?539304-5/m…
Mike O'Neil retweeted
Did the Presidential Debate cause you to change your mind on a particular candidate? Here's @KTAR923 Senior Political Analyst @michaeljoneil 's take.
Our complete coverage of the debate begins at 5 a.m. Tune in on 92.3FM, the KTAR News app or KTAR.com



























