Most RWAs today are wrapped assets.
MPL-3643 changes that.
Built-in compliance, issuer controls, and DeFi composability enable tokenized securities and RWAs to be issued directly on Solana.
The next generation of onchain markets starts at the token layer.
miscbrah3 retweeted
$ONDS
I agree with much of what Steve is saying here below. Have been looking deeper into Ondas as well.
The biggest issue is dilution, which obviously has kept the stock down. It’s been the biggest bear case.
However, the combination of a $1.5T defense budget + the broader defense conglomerate that Ondas is creating (funded via dilution) + 52-week lows + rapid growth with GAAP net income on the horizon makes this interesting.
The biggest thing getting my attention with Ondas is the $PLTR Palantir partnership and I am diving deeper into why/how both companies are working together in order to scale the broader OS that is coming together as a result of the combination.
Open to hearing more perspectives on this name, I know there is a passionate retail base that is likely very annoyed because of dilution but I am trying to envision what it takes for Ondas to be a $25B company one day and how much growth could be achieved synergistically with their acquisitions to make it happen.
When the market looks at $ONDS it sees a pile of acquisitions being built off of shareholder dilution. I see a defense company being assembled in real time without tapping the debt market.
Ondas has a $757 million pro forma backlog with a revenue target of $525 to $550 million for the 2026 fiscal year. I started a position at the end of last week and finished writing a bullish deep dive which will be out tomorrow.
I believe that the acquisitions, customer relationships and $PLTR partnership are beginning to fit together. This combination could become dramatically more valuable over the next five years. Here is the underlying business Ondas is building at a time when autonomous warfare is still in it’s infancy:
· Sentrycs provides cyber-based counter-drone capabilities
· Iron Drone adds physical interception
· DZYNE brings Dronebuster, the ULTRA reconnaissance aircraft and IonStrike.
· World View adds persistent sensing from the stratosphere
· Roboteam adds ground robotics
I see a company positioning itself to detect threats, collect intelligence and deliver responses across multiple domains. Integrating those capabilities could make Ondas more valuable to a customer than any individual product.
Then there is Mistral which was a brilliant acquisition. That acquisition gives Ondas direct prime contractor access to U.S. Army and Special Operations contract vehicles, alongside domestic manufacturing and integration capabilities. Owning that customer relationship matters when you are trying to turn a growing technology portfolio into larger defense programs.
The financial progress is getting harder to ignore:
• Q2 revenue: $83.8 million, up 67% sequentially
• Pro forma organic revenue growth: 85% year over year
• Reported June backlog: $613 million
• Pro forma backlog including DZYNE and Cyberhawk: $757 million
• Full-year 2026 revenue target: $525–$550 million
I will be focusing on the organic growth Ondas can produce because acquisitions alone cannot carry this thesis indefinitely. I want to see the underlying businesses growing while orders convert into deliveries with more cash hitting the cash flow statement.
Palantir is where the longer-term opportunity gets especially interesting. The $PLTR partnership covers manufacturing, mission planning and intelligence processing aboard autonomous platforms. SkyWeaver is being developed to process information closer to the mission and support operations when connectivity is degraded.
My view is that coordinating drones, sensors and ground systems could become one of the most valuable parts of this market. Ondas has an opportunity to participate in that software layer alongside its hardware. A recurring software business would strengthen the economics considerably.
The balance sheet also matters as Ondas ended June with approximately $1.38 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, against roughly $6.4 million of debt. Subsequent acquisitions have consumed substantial cash but that starting position gives management room to build.
Equity financing has a real cost as every new share reduces my ownership unless the value created exceeds dilution. I am judging management on whether this acquisition strategy ultimately produces greater earning power per share. You will need to read my article which is forthcoming to see my bull case and price targets.
I will be watching organic growth, backlog conversion, cash consumption and the share count together. My bet is that Ondas can turn this collection of capabilities into a profitable defense platform whose earning power grows faster than its share count.
My question for the Ondas community is which development do you think would provide the strongest evidence that this strategy is working?
miscbrah3 retweeted
When the market looks at $ONDS it sees a pile of acquisitions being built off of shareholder dilution. I see a defense company being assembled in real time without tapping the debt market.
Ondas has a $757 million pro forma backlog with a revenue target of $525 to $550 million for the 2026 fiscal year. I started a position at the end of last week and finished writing a bullish deep dive which will be out tomorrow.
I believe that the acquisitions, customer relationships and $PLTR partnership are beginning to fit together. This combination could become dramatically more valuable over the next five years. Here is the underlying business Ondas is building at a time when autonomous warfare is still in it’s infancy:
· Sentrycs provides cyber-based counter-drone capabilities
· Iron Drone adds physical interception
· DZYNE brings Dronebuster, the ULTRA reconnaissance aircraft and IonStrike.
· World View adds persistent sensing from the stratosphere
· Roboteam adds ground robotics
I see a company positioning itself to detect threats, collect intelligence and deliver responses across multiple domains. Integrating those capabilities could make Ondas more valuable to a customer than any individual product.
Then there is Mistral which was a brilliant acquisition. That acquisition gives Ondas direct prime contractor access to U.S. Army and Special Operations contract vehicles, alongside domestic manufacturing and integration capabilities. Owning that customer relationship matters when you are trying to turn a growing technology portfolio into larger defense programs.
The financial progress is getting harder to ignore:
• Q2 revenue: $83.8 million, up 67% sequentially
• Pro forma organic revenue growth: 85% year over year
• Reported June backlog: $613 million
• Pro forma backlog including DZYNE and Cyberhawk: $757 million
• Full-year 2026 revenue target: $525–$550 million
I will be focusing on the organic growth Ondas can produce because acquisitions alone cannot carry this thesis indefinitely. I want to see the underlying businesses growing while orders convert into deliveries with more cash hitting the cash flow statement.
Palantir is where the longer-term opportunity gets especially interesting. The $PLTR partnership covers manufacturing, mission planning and intelligence processing aboard autonomous platforms. SkyWeaver is being developed to process information closer to the mission and support operations when connectivity is degraded.
My view is that coordinating drones, sensors and ground systems could become one of the most valuable parts of this market. Ondas has an opportunity to participate in that software layer alongside its hardware. A recurring software business would strengthen the economics considerably.
The balance sheet also matters as Ondas ended June with approximately $1.38 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, against roughly $6.4 million of debt. Subsequent acquisitions have consumed substantial cash but that starting position gives management room to build.
Equity financing has a real cost as every new share reduces my ownership unless the value created exceeds dilution. I am judging management on whether this acquisition strategy ultimately produces greater earning power per share. You will need to read my article which is forthcoming to see my bull case and price targets.
I will be watching organic growth, backlog conversion, cash consumption and the share count together. My bet is that Ondas can turn this collection of capabilities into a profitable defense platform whose earning power grows faster than its share count.
My question for the Ondas community is which development do you think would provide the strongest evidence that this strategy is working?
miscbrah3 retweeted
ZCAT update
squiggled more lines, higher, on the 4h chart, as this has been grinding up all afternoon.
ZCAT is now literally like 1% and 4h away from setting up for rushing through thin air back up to the low 100's and then potentially a push to new highs
only missing ingredient is BTC simply not rugging (sideways might be good enough)
solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR could be bottomed here. been monitoring it for days looking for this, but patiently waiting.
already took out a LTF higher high, looking for an additional one to really lock it in (would dovetail w/ a key 4h chart level)
if this confirms, probably looks like it'll lead to a bottom on solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx, and lead the eco higher
miscbrah3 retweeted
solana:HcRLc9VDgjLeK154xDawfb1dmVJ98DoSqcwTHGqiDeJR could be bottomed here. been monitoring it for days looking for this, but patiently waiting.
already took out a LTF higher high, looking for an additional one to really lock it in (would dovetail w/ a key 4h chart level)
if this confirms, probably looks like it'll lead to a bottom on solana:6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx, and lead the eco higher
Replying to @miscbrah3 @DarioAmodei
Dario Amodei's essay "We Must Pace the Frontier" argues AI offers huge benefits like curing diseases and economic abundance but poses serious risks of loss of control, cyberattacks and bioterrorism, worsened by a commercial race to the bottom. Recent recursive self-improvement and an OpenAI agent swarm incident show the need to slow capability advances so safety work can catch up.
His three-step plan: 1) Embed third-party evaluators with employee-level access (Anthropic commits now); 2) Democratic-country coordination on standards; 3) Global coordination including China. Pacing means deliberate alignment time, not a halt.
miscbrah3 retweeted
Always. The great age of podcasters and streamers just being aggregators.
Threadguy says crypto OGs were trading against plumbers and wouldn’t last in today’s era
"Alt season bro? The fabled alt season where every altcoin goes up 20x and it just has to happen this way? 2017 ICOs?”
“Some of the best were the best don’t get me wrong. But it’s like, wake up unc, cented owns 60% of the supply and he’s dumping on your headtop. Every new narrative is controlled. The game has evolved.”
"The new game is not gonna happen on Twitter. Gone are the days where you have influence just because you've been here for ten years and you're a funny poster.”
miscbrah3 retweeted
Yes so this blow-off top on trad markets has been years in the making and I've always expected it as a pre-cursor to our next major crash. We are in the process of going parabolic so we can certainly go higher before the top is officially in but it all ends the same way.
However, remember- when we talk about "pulling liquidity", global equities are a 150T market.
The SPX is currently at 70T.
Crypto sits at a 2.4T market cap.
$BTC makes up 1.4T of that.
Alts make up barely 1T of what's left, and the Top 10 alts make up 80% of that 1T.
This means, alts outside the Top 10, have a combined marketcap of LESS THAN 200B.
Now make this make sense- is a 70T (or 150T if we consider global equities) marketcap sector (SPX), which has added trillions in marketcap over the last couple months, ACTUALLY "pulling liquidity" from a smaller 2T marketcap sector?
Crypto has been between 2T-4T marketcap for the last 2 years. In that time, the SPX has risen 40% or added over 25 TRILLION to it's marketcap.
While the ATTENTION is clearly on trad equities it is not as if tons of liquidity is LEAVING crypto and flowing to equities. The money flowing into equities is predominantly coming from somewhere ELSE, there is barely ANY liquidity in the crypto space relative to trad equities.
You can't squeeze a ton of juice out of a fruit that has no juice left to squeeze.
"Alts are gonna die because trad equities are gonna take all the liquidity out of them"
Bro, what liquidity? Alts outside of majors (Top 10) have a 200B marketcap. That's 1/350th of the SPX or 1/750th of global equities.
The crypto market (especially alts) have been squeezed dry- there is very little liquidity left to flow out of them and into trad markets.
HOWEVER, the opposite is not true. There is HUNDREDS OF TRILLIONS of dollars of liquidity that could potentially flow INTO crypto (including both BTC and alts) which is INCREDIBLY small as a sector.
The SAME WAY we saw a massive influx of liquidity into precious metals over the last few years that led to a massive rise in prices of gold and silver is the same way we will at some point see a massive influx of liquidity into crypto.
This risk at this stage is not that "crypto liquidity will flow into stocks" because there is no excess liquidity in crypto to begin with.
This should literally not be a concern imo.
Your only concern should be not being positioned in this sector BEFORE we see liquidity flow in the other direction- from multi-trillion dollar traditional sectors into the liquidity starved sector of crypto. Because just like silver and gold, when it happens, it will happen fast.
Replying to @CredibleCrypto
Hey Cred I remember you predicted an SP 500 blowoff top,which I assume is what’s happening now.Did you expect stocks to be this hot and pull so much liquidity from crypto?Does this change your crypto thesis at all and given there are way too many altcoins?






































