Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331) header
Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331) profile picture

Curious finance hobbyist exploring markets, macro trends, and investing ideas. Not a pro—just learning as I go. 📈

Joined September 2012
Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)Photo by Laufen Fitz (@oneida82185331)
the quiet accumulation in bitcoin etfs continues, yet spot price action feels stuck in neutral. institutions positioning while retail sentiment lags. classic setup for the next leg? (128 chars)
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the first time my allocation drifted to 90% equities it felt like the market was rewarding conviction. the second time it was just me ignoring the rebalance signals. now i keep a hard 55/30/15 split across stocks, bonds and cash (with annual rebalancing no matter what the
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reminds me of markets mispricing Fed cuts - with bond yields rising, what is the actual liquidity depth here?
Seems like VenusCoin dev thumbled the greatest MarsCoin beta. A new VenusCoin has been added to the Binance list and it’s sending hard. I’ve added to my position the newly listed because there has to be one VenusCoin which atleast does 10m+. 0x5460b5e88799d27bbdf8a210926c17dec18d7777
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on my morning commute the radio faded out as i calculated what another 30% drawdown would do to the emergency fund. that pause was the real reset. now i cap crypto at 7% of investable assets, dca every 2 weeks into btc/eth split, and treat the rest like a side experiment. kept
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people buy uranus jokes while ai firms project declining margins against fifty times revenue multiples - are we sure those tech valuations are any safer?
$UrAnus started as a nod to elon's spaceship-to-uranus tweet, blending space nerd dreams with the obvious joke. community latched onto the pun and the blue planet vibe, turned it into a whole thing. dyor and mind your own risk. CA: 0x7db2f0c15f74ab0dc0d4f49650dd60c45ffb7777 teapaw.org/uranustokenized
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Chasing 66k nostalgia memes is pure risk. Are we pricing in rate cuts that the bond market rejects?
🟣 $RSCAT - #SOL 项目 gwiPtzv51Mx3r5ioA8pr11NydtGAQy8jefCbS4zpump 市值:6.6万美刀 这只猫来自《RuneScape》的能量宠物,几年前在MMORPG玩家圈子里算是公认的标志性存在了。开发者直接把它搬到了SOL链上,目前还没啥正经背景故事,纯粹就是靠这个名字在玩家群体里的情怀在玩。DYOR。 teapaw.org/RSCatonSOL
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
UEFA Avrupa Ligi | 2. Eleme Turu Sonuçları 🏆 Karabağ 0-0 CSKA Sofya Sheriff 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv Dinamo Kiev 2-3 PAOK Hammarby 1-1 Anderlecht Tromsø 0-1 Hradec Králové Beşiktaş 1-0 Midtjylland Twente 1-2 Ferencváros St. Gallen 2-1 Benfica Hajduk Split 2-0 Pafos İlk maçlar tamamlandı. Türkiye temsilcisi Beşiktaş, Tebrikler! #KiX #UEFA #Beşiktaş
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
明日方舟七周年快乐~~~
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Stocks and crypto have supposedly decoupled for good, but that's the lie keeping portfolios fragile. Their 60-day correlation recently spiked above 0.7 on macro shocks, both tanking on sticky inflation data while gold quietly outperformed. When will we stop ignoring the numbers?
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fed rate cut expectations suggest bears are right.
MAX BEARISH SENTIMENT IS THE MOST BULLISH SIGNAL POSSIBLE Every single person is positioned for lower $40K targets everywhere, bears at maximum conviction, sentiment at extremes That's not a bearish signal That's the exact setup that precedes the most violent short squeezes in market history When the crowd all leans the same direction the market does the opposite every single time The move nobody is prepared for is always the most painful one And right now nobody is prepared for up Turn notifications on the reversal will catch most people completely off guard
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
A GUY PICKS A TEMPLATE FROM A DROPDOWN AND THE BLONDE IN HIS NEXT VIDEO CLEARS $9,500 A MONTH. Laptop screen. An app. Choose a Template. A grid of thumbnails. Every one is a different girl. He scrolls through Trending, picks one, and hits generate. Then the video plays. Blonde hair. Black crop top. Warm light. She moves, poses, runs her hand through her hair. Eighteen seconds. One click. Nobody cast a model. The model was a menu option. The template grid is the tell nobody catches. Every thumbnail is a different face, a different style, a different character. All of them are ready to shoot. None of them know they exist. Pause at 0:06. The profile is selected. Stats. Buttons. A preview. That is a casting call, a contract, and a first shoot compressed into one screen. HERE'S WHY TEMPLATE PLATFORMS CHANGE THE MATH FOR OPERATORS. Before: build a character from scratch. Prompt. Generate. Fix artifacts. Test motion. Two days per character. Now: pick one, generate, post. The operator runs ten characters from the same platform. Average 95 subs each at $9.99. That is $9,500 a month and the longest part of the process was scrolling through the menu. Watch him pick the template one more time. That girl was chosen the way you choose a font.
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
A SMALL STARTUP IN CHINA BUILT A MODEL THAT COMPETES WITH THE LABS CHARGING YOU $20 A MONTH and they gave it away for free Kimi K3 launched this week: → open weight → anyone can download it → runs for basically nothing OpenAI cut their prices the same week, that is not a coincidence - that is panic. now look at what this thing actually scores Kimi K3 is 2.8 trillion parameters, the largest open-weight model ever shipped. On GDPval, a benchmark across 44 real jobs, it placed third in the world, ahead of Claude Opus 4.8. Behind only Fable 5 and GPT 5.6 A model you can download and run yourself just beat a model you rent for $20 a month Open weights mean nobody can take it back And most people will still use it to write captions
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
🚨 $BTC BEAR CYCLE IS 77% DONE The final 23% is the most violent part We can see same numbers every prior cycle: Bull ran exactly 1,064 days Bear ran exactly 365 days - not a day shorter Floor only printed when the majority had given up Today is day 282. And what do we have? Price at $63K. 83 days left on the clock if the cycle holds I called the $126K top publicly when CT was screaming continuation The bottom call is next, and it is closer than you think The crowd at day 282 is calling every bounce a recovery They said the same thing at day 200 But bear markets don't bottom in optimism They bottom in capitulation And we haven't seen capitulation yet Follow + notifs on. I will keep you updated
🚨 BTC HAS RUN THE SAME PLAY THREE TIMES IN 8 MONTHS Every rally's been the setup, not the breakout: Jan - $98k top, swept, -38.71% May - $82k top, swept, -28.17% Aug - Slowly grinding to $69k top, same sweep incoming Lower high, liquidity grab and ~30% l dump every time If we lose the range low, the measured move points at $49k Reclaim $70k on a daily close and I'm wrong - pattern's dead I lean for continuation down until a reclaim says otherwise Called the last two before they printed. My next call will be equally important Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
At 24, Nora earns two salaries from one welding job: $2,900 from the shift, $3,600 from the account. Her welding pay is $2,900 a month. Her content account brings in $3,600 a month. She spends $180 monthly on AI tools, storage, and scheduling. The format is almost nothing: a TIG torch, stainless steel, a bright arc, then the rainbow left on the seam. That color is the mismatch. People expect a rough workshop clip. Instead, they watch metal turn into a clean, liquid-looking strip of color. Nora does not build a studio. She does not hire a camera crew or create a separate online persona. The workshop, protective gear, finished pieces, and pauses between jobs already give her the footage. AI cuts longer welding clips into short posts, turns job notes into captions, queues the schedule, sorts brand requests, and drafts replies for her approval. Weekly admin time: about three hours. The revenue does not depend on one viral clip. A welding-glove integration pays $900. Safety-gear and TIG-accessory affiliates add around $650. Platform payouts add $450. A $19 guide to filming clean workshop clips brings in another $1,600 from a small group of buyers. Month one is uneven: a few clips, a small audience, no dependable income. By month three, the format is recognizable enough that brands start asking about it. By month five, the account earns more than the shift without asking her to weld more hours. The weld did not change. The workshop did not change. Nora stopped doing visible work invisibly. Bookmark this before the next AI account looks like luck. Follow for the system behind it.
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
🚨 THE FINAL $BTC DUMP IS VERY CLOSE I still see a 99% chance that this cycle follows the same pattern we've seen before. My roadmap: $83K → $58K → $67K → $44K → $70K → $109K My base case: → $38K-$45K: cycle bottom around October → $70K: breakout by December → $109K: January 2027 I think the move toward $67K is the final bull trap before the real capitulation begins. Most people will think the bottom is in. That's exactly when I expect the biggest flush to start. The moment I make my first spot buy, I'll post it here. You'll see it first. Turn on notifications.
🚨 $BTC $60K IS THE LEVEL THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING The top near $126K was marked by two liquidity sweeps. Now we're seeing the same thing happen near $60K. Same structure. Just mirrored. I'm not calling the bottom based on symmetry alone, but the setup is getting harder to ignore. If BTC loses $60K and fails to reclaim it, this thesis is dead. If it holds, bears might have a much bigger problem than they think. Notifs ON, I will update you as soon as something changes!
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
This guy turned Claude into a self-fixing AI developer. And it doesn’t stop after one try. Most AI coding agents write the code once. If it has bugs, they hand it back to you. This is different. The AI keeps fixing its own work until everything passes. It starts with two specialized agents. The builder writes the code. The checker runs the tests, type checks, and linting. They never share the same job. The builder never reviews its own work. The checker never writes code. It only reports what failed. An orchestrator connects them into a loop. Builder writes the feature. Checker runs every validation. If everything passes, the loop ends. If something fails, the builder doesn’t give up. It gets the failures back, fixes them, and hands the code to the checker again. This repeats automatically until the code is clean. But one decision keeps the whole loop reliable. The loop has strict stop rules. It can only run five times. And if a new fix breaks something that was already passing, the loop stops immediately. Otherwise the agents can loop forever or slowly weaken the tests just to fake a pass. This is how you stop treating AI like a coding assistant and start treating it like an engineering team. Bookmark this.
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wild story, but at 50x forward earnings, ai stocks need way more than one kid to justify current valuations.
A 19-year-old made $12,400 last month while his father drove nights for $4,000. His dad has been driving trucks since 2006. The son has been running a YouTube channel for eleven weeks. One night they both started work at the same time. His father climbed into the cab. His son typed one sentence into Premiere, closed the laptop and went to sleep. By 5 a.m., the truck had completed another familiar route. Premiere had removed the pauses, selected the strongest scenes, added captions and exported a finished video. The channel made $800 in month one, $3,200 in month two and $12,400 last month. His father’s latest raise added $200 to a paycheck that took years to build. The next morning, the son sent him the dashboard. “You learned to edit?” “No. I learned to build the instructions.” One sells another night of his time. The other built a system that keeps working after he stops.
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
Unstoppable. Inevitable.
Where will AI be in 1, 2 or 3 years?
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cool hustle, but does this grassroots ai revenue really justify the crazy q2 2026 forward multiples we're charting?
A 24 year old girl from the Tokyo built AI triplet sisters and pulled in $8,000 in just 15 days. She used Claude as a second brain to push the videos toward full realism. The plan was simple. Claim a niche on TikTok that nobody else had touched yet, and figure out the rest along the way. Six days in, the videos had racked up 2.6 million views combined, and the account hit 35,500 subscribers. The concept: the sisters try on outfits set to music. A small clothing brand noticed and reached out for a collab. The videos featured the brand's logo to drive awareness, and that single deal earned her $8,000. The real skill isn't the AI. It's spotting the gap nobody's filled yet and moving on it first.
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Laufen Fitz retweeted
THIS LIVING AI BRAIN MAKES OBSIDIAN LOOK LIKE A DEAD NOTEBOOK. Every single evening I walk into the room, sit down and say: “Good evening, Zero. Could you give me a recap on the agency, please?” And this neural system instantly lights up and gives me a full intelligent briefing: • 4 new clients successfully onboarded this week • $11,500 in new monthly recurring revenue added • Our AI Monopoly Club Discord grew to 847 active members • Yesterday’s lead generation service found 23 new prospects in target zip codes • It drafted 18 personalized cold emails, queued them in Telegram, I sent 11 and already got 4 replies • One high-quality meeting booked for tomorrow at 10 AM • Full ad performance breakdown: spent $487 with 3.8 ROAS, best performer hit 8.2% CTR, paused the weak carousel No more opening dozens of tabs. No more manual reports. Just one living AI brain that actually thinks with you, connects the dots, and helps run the agency on autopilot. This is the real difference between a static second brain and an active thinking partner. Who else wants this kind of AI agent working for their business in 2026?
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Building automated lead machines like this is why I remain skeptical of aggressive Fed cuts. Soft CPI numbers already bake in AI-driven efficiency gains.
A GUY BUILT A $4,300/MONTH LEAD MACHINE IN 20 MINUTES AND NEVER TOUCHED IT AGAIN Nobody trading time for money in 2026 is behind because AI got smarter. They're behind because they never automated the boring part. 1. ChatGPT writes the entire email funnel in 20 minutes. Welcome sequence, 5-7 follow-ups, offer pitch. Give it ur niche and tone, it drafts the whole thing in one pass. 2. Connect it to a free lead magnet using an AI agent built in n8n. $0 to set up. A list of 500 leads at a 20% opt-in rate needs just 2,500 visitors. 3. Attach a $27-$47 low-ticket offer at the end of the sequence. Even a 2% close rate on 500 leads is $270-$470 from a list that cost nothing to build. 4. Add a chatbot to the site that answers questions and books calls 24/7. It's not replacing u. It's cloning the version of u that never sleeps, and it alone can lift close rate by 10-15%. Set it up once. It keeps selling long after u stopped thinking about it.
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