Pavol Vaskovic (@palimondo) header
Pavol Vaskovic (@palimondo) profile picture

Aspiring software craftsman, designer and paternal leave veteran. Failed in the experiment of financing his daughter's kindergarten via the App Store.

Košice, Slovakia
Joined July 2010
Baseline Test Achievement Unlocked 🎉
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
Anyway the idea that Russian bots live in Russian server farms and you can simply blow them up is right up there with the tooth fairy and the Easter bunny. The reality is much stupider and darker, and you sound like a child when making such claims. Reality is that if they were ever all so concentrated they would have been stopped already. You don’t have to blow them up; bit-based blocking would have worked just fine. Instead, it’s a distributed problem that is constantly changing and evolving.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
A good snapshot of coordinated inauthentic activity from ~2020 in North Macedonia. But it’s likely shifted and morphed by now, as legal prohibitions and other practical barriers catch up. Cambodia and Vietnam have also been dealing with this problem. iwerksandco.com/sellinglies
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
“On an average working day, the workers are to post on news articles 50 times. Each blogger is to maintain six Facebook accounts publishing at least three posts a day and discussing the news in groups at least twice a day. By the end of the first month, they are expected to have won 500 subscribers and get at least five posts on each item a day. On Twitter, the bloggers are expected to manage 10 accounts with up to 2,000 followers and tweet 50 times a day.” A sketch of what the real people in foreign countries are doing to manage these campaigns. They are not arrayed in vats in Yandex data centers, sorry to disappoint. Look in places like North Macedonia; see Leslie Iwerks’ excellent film SELLING LIES. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russia…
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
I recognize there is all manner of folklore and other quasi-religious beliefs that inform people’s understanding of this topic, and you are welcome to your private reality. But as someone who has been involved in web and internet technology for ~35 years (and who was, in fact, the first developer to use the Twitter API), I can tell you that dealing with coordinated inauthentic activity is a very complex, ongoing problem and arms race. If it had ever been as centralized as people imagine it to be, it would have been solved a long time ago. Also: people undercount idiots. This planet is a vast wasteland, filled with all manner of morons. Not everyone who is illiterate or disagrees with you is a “bot.” A good number of them are simply fans of Ayn Rand, and never developed a frontal cortex. Remember, the “Mute” button exists.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
There is a difference between “coordinated inauthentic activity” on social media and “web crawlers.” The former are what people talk about when they are talking about “reply bots” and state-run “disinformation campaigns.” All major platforms have various prohibitions on such campaigns, and coordinated activity (including this garbage platform.) In general, it is difficult and costly to maintain automated social media accounts that bypass detection mechanisms used by platforms to curb such activity. Instead, such campaigns tend to rely on real humans, as they are cheaper, more varied in their response, and won’t get shut down by ToS violations. They also have to use VPNs or similar IP masquerading in order to avoid country-level blockages. Many platforms like X are not available in Russia, either, adding another technical hurdle for freelance actors. So other countries with low labor costs (India, Philippines, Indonesia, for example) may be employed instead. There is often no practical way to identify this traffic as inauthentic, until perhaps a major campaign pattern emerges, at which point it risks being shut down. Web crawlers, by contrast, are permitted activity and are used by major internet search providers such as Google and Yandex to “spider” the web and identify new web links and changes to sites. So that content providers know what this traffic is, they label themselves as “bots.” This is valid traffic. When you see a graph showing a sharp decline in “bot” traffic, it is indicating a change in this valid web crawling traffic. There is no one keeping graphs of “coordinated inauthentic activity” social media traffic; indeed if it was identifiable and graphable like this, it would already be shut down. So, blowing up data centers in Russia could conceivably hamper coordinated social media campaigns, if for some reason they had a dependency on services hosted there. But given the constraints on such campaigns, they are likely to be run from elsewhere. What has been disrupted, probably, is Yandex web crawler traffic. If one wishes, for optics, to honor the unilateral imposition of a “energy ceasefire,” blowing up datacenters is a good tactic and should be maximized. Blow them all up. But don’t pretend this has any meaningful impact on coordinated inauthentic social media activity. It does not, and is a different problem entirely. Pretending otherwise feeds magical thinking, incorrect ideas about how technology works, and reduces pressure on the adversary by claiming imaginary gains. Keep pressure up, and report gains clearly and correctly. If you want to go after social media campaigns, track them down, monitor their activity, and source their origins. Same as it ever was. Taking out datacenters is a nearly completely unrelated concern.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
The more Ukraine strikes data centres in fascist russia the smaller the online presence of Alberta separatists, the MAGA death cult and the AfD neo-Nazis. Genuine support for these extremist movements has always been small. They've been artificially amplified by russian infowar.
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Unironically, this might be an effective strategy to plunge support for Trump, AfD and the likes.
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If you hit enough Russian data centers, a ton of “American” Twitter accounts suddenly stop posting.
Unironically, this might be an effective strategy to plunge support for Trump, AfD and the likes.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
It will be very interesting (as I’ve long said) to see how much of the anger Americans have directed at each other was deliberately stoked by those foreign entities who wish us harm. If so, we fell for it hook, line and sinker. Playing into the hands of our adversaries.
If you hit enough Russian data centers, a ton of “American” Twitter accounts suddenly stop posting.
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When we started responding to Russia’s operation against our data centers, and when our strikes reached Yandex’s data centers, it suddenly became a little easier to breathe on many social media platforms. A lot of people noticed it. There was less hate, less division, and fewer provocations. Because there were fewer bots. And it’s pretty clear where those bots were coming from – if they disappeared when Yandex went offline. This proves, again and again, that Europe is not the source of the problems. Europe is not the one making everything more difficult. Most importantly, we need people in America, every morning, when the day in Europe is already moving toward evening, to really see what is happening. To see the truth. From a speech at the Warsaw Security Forum. (3/3)
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Péter Magyar zverejnil na svojom Facebooku fotku, kde je Ficovi cez ksicht vidno rovno do duše. 🤷‍♂️
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
An unelected American 🇺🇸 with no diplomatic experience is telling me to surrender my home, and telling Ukraine 🇺🇦 to surrender even more land, to an imperialist, fascist dictator committing acts of terrorism every day. I never thought I’d see the day, but here we are, Jared Kushner, negotiating away somebody else’s country.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
Some details: Kremlev, the Russian who sponsored Don Jr's wedding, is a former member of the Night Wolves biker gang, went to China with Putin and is personally sanctioned by Ukraine for his role in abducting children
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Time to confiscate the frozen Russian assets in the EU before these monsters ever come close to power
AfD co-chair Alice Weidel promised to end support for Ukraine if her party comes to power “We will stop payments to Ukraine and all support in the war, and we will also make substantial demands for compensation from Ukraine.”
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
Alexander Ovechkin should be sanctioned and given a visa ban for his deplorable appearance in a "United Russia" video alongside Sergey Lavrov and other leaders of the russian terrorist state. Here's some of the notorious company Ovechkin keeps in this video: Margarita Simonyan - propagandist - sanctioned Vyacheslav Nikonov - political leadership of the russian terrorist state - sanctioned Sergei Krikalev- political leadership of the russian terrorist state - visa bans Vladimir Mashkov - propagandist - sanctioned Maria Lvova-Belova - kidnapper of Ukrainian children – charged with war crimes Advocating for genocide must have consequences.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
Shipping more code is a profoundly stupid measure to celebrate. Shipping useful and high-quality features is why we deliver software intensive systems.
At Anthropic, Claude now writes 80% of our code. Engineers ship 8x more code per quarter. Side effect: Tests grew 10x. CI jobs up 25x in 6 months. Here's what helped us scale: claude.com/blog/agentic-codi…
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Replying to @atrupar
Putin’s puppet, spewing Putin’s propaganda.
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Pavol Vaskovic retweeted
Europe is sleepwalking into an extremely dangerous period. The period between the summer of 2027 and early 2029 will likely be the most dangerous window for Western security in decades, and Europe is currently failing to properly prepare for it. Europe and Taiwan have less than twelve months to get ready for a massive storm that could erupt by the summer of 2027. The upcoming French elections represent a massive, overlooked vulnerability for European defense. Polling trends highlight a strong probability of a far-right victory, which would place Le Pen in the Élysée Palace. She has historically aligned with Moscow, opposing sanctions on Russia and military aid to Ukraine. Such a shift would effectively remove the EU's only nuclear power from NATO's collective defense equation (at least when it comes to Russia). Combined with Trump’s unreliability, Europe could quickly find itself without a nuclear shield or a reliable guarantor of conventional security. The UK can’t do much alone. Russia is aware of this timeline. Moscow's ongoing mobilization plans aim to generate fresh combat units capable of pressing the offensive in Ukraine while simultaneously threatening NATO's northeastern flank. However, no decision has been made yet. If Beijing decides to move on Taiwan during the exact window, the West will be caught in a two-front squeeze it simply cannot supply. European countries and the US lack the production and munition reserves to handle a long war, let alone two simultaneous crises. Trump also can’t be relied on. To prevent a catastrophe, European leaders must act before the political window closes. The most critical immediate step is seizing Russia's frozen assets and transferring them directly to Ukraine to ensure Kyiv can sustain its defense (before French elections). European capitals must also accelerate defense procurement immediately. Waiting another year to take this threat seriously guarantees that we will face it unprepared
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