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Profits High
Employment High
Buybacks High
Deferrals High
Debt Service Low
Spreads Low
Taxes Low
Valuations High
HH Stock Allocation High(est)
US Stock Weight High(est)
2025 seems like its going to be a fun year, but sometime this Presidential term it will all roll over
i see why i identify as an independent
honesty, personal responsibility and integrity are in short supply presently in the USA
New Gallup poll asks "which values the country most needs today?"
Out of a list of 12 values, Republicans put "patriotism" #1, for Dems it ranks dead last - by a lot.
Dems say "equality" is most needed, Republicans rank it 11th out of 12.
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В октябре к югу от резиденции Путина на Валдае, в радиусе 50 км от нее, построили еще 16 башен ПВО: всего их уже около 50.
Новые постройки формируют дополнительное кольцо обороны. Радиус кольца составляет 55 км, а среднее расстояние между позициями – около 15 км.
you do not have enough cybersecurity
1) current frontier models are great at exploits
2) they are improving all the time
3) Chinese models are 6 months behind
4) Chinese models are open source
5) open source, cheap hacking agent swarms are right around the corner
good luck
reality meets Airbnb hopes n dreams
There is an exodus of vacation homes within the US housing market right now.
For the last 5 months, for every vacation home purchased, 2 are being sold.
These units are transitioning from vacation assets into primary residence or long term rentals.
The bigger question is what is causing Americans to unload vacation properties at such a high rate?
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AirBNB had its place and time, but it’s over. Had a lovely stay at a Hyatt last night, left trash in the can, towels on the ground, and am confident my corporate overlord isn’t going to light me up with a guest review video. A professional exchange of goods for money. The AirBNB hosts did this to themselves and the platform lost control long ago.
its just bonkers the new policy @airbnb is trying to put in place. Putting the dishes in the dishwasher, taking out the trash, pulling the sheets off the bed....they are just standard things any normal person would do when staying at a house. Why wouldn't a host be allowed to say that?
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BREAKING: Iran has cut off LPG exports to Pakistan after Islamabad's border closure with Iran under US pressure, making Pakistan lose more than half its LPG supply, with the price of a 12 kg cooking gas cylinder now up 56% in just days, from 4,500 to 7,000 rupees, and expected to climb further, per Reuters.
Pakistan imported about 7,000 tonnes a day from Iran. Hundreds of LPG tankers are stranded at the Gabd-Rimdan and Taftan crossings, and the Quetta Chamber of Commerce has told members to stop placing new orders with Iran.
"We did not expect this from our Pakistani friends, and did not expect them to come under the influence of American pressure," said an Iranian MP.
Bessent said he is working with Pakistan and Turkey to cut off Iran's land routes. Sealing Iran off is now cutting household fuel to its neighbours.
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It's much easier to talk about wins than losses.
But you learn a lot more from your losses.
nah
"rules" change
the state can take anything of "yours" it wants
oh, and it can kill you anytime it wants, too
but, you can [almost] always flee, so you retain some amount of agency
which many CA billionaires are exercising
if @jaredkushner gate turns out to be another Russiagate I will be very disappointed.
Just because someone is corrupt doesn't mean you can make up stories about their corruption.
Looking forward to the Congressional investigations in 2027 and the presidential pardon before Trump leaves office.
crazy how much capex estimates have increased since this post
I still believe peak will be 2026 or 2027
Why are stocks falling? Because if you take the numbers in this chart seriously, the hyperscalers will hold at least $2.5 trillion in AI assets by the end of this decade. Assuming a depreciation rate of 20%, that would generate $500 billion in annual depreciation expense. This is more than their combined profits for 2025.
























