Peter Owen (@random_effects) header
Peter Owen (@random_effects) profile picture

Website: https://teapaw.org/t.co/au2SkTQBdp R Packages: https://teapaw.org/t.co/Ttx3PDF2PF

Sydney, New South Wales
Joined March 2019
Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)
Swans looking pretty dominant in the first Follow along live on the website - link below
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Peter Owen retweeted
0 - Argentina are the first ever team to fail to have a single shot in 90 minutes in a FIFA World Cup final. Blanks.
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Elon Musk says that no one died because of his demolition of USAID, and that "Kristof is lying through his teeth." So here I invite him to join me on a visit to Africa to see for himself: nytimes.com/2026/07/01/opini…
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Today's results have handed Argentina comfortably the easiest run to the final - with their likely pathway to the semis being: R32 - Cabo Verde; R16 - Egypt; QF - Switzerland
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South Africa now in the driving seat to qualify ~60% chance they finish 2nd in the group after that goal
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South Africa V Korea Korea with more possession in dangerous areas but one good attack from SA almost gave them the lead. Han-Beom and Mbatha the best players in the first half by Expected Possession Value
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Current most likely Knockout Stage fixtures before the start of Round 3. France v Germany already odds on to face each other in the R16 at ~55%, which is more likely to happen than 12 of the 16 most likely R32 matchups
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Going into Round 3 of matches at the World Cup we can see how each games results affect final group positions. In Group A a South Africa and Mexico win/draw pushes Korea into 3rd. Non-draw results with SA having a goal difference 1 better than Czechia creates some tiebreak tension, with fair play and FIFA rankings potentially coming into play
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Inspiration for a lot of the charts and the work on the site come from @withqwerty
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Peter Owen retweeted
Really great news I would say: "Social media is populist and polarising. AI may be the opposite." – @jburnmurdoch in the FT
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Bont had the worst Expected Points Value on the ground, stronger case he was the least valuable player, not the 4th most. He still got into great positions (+6.3 receiving points added) but his disposals cost the Dogs ~15 points. Bont's one of the best kicks in the game so this won't repeat, but Player Votes should reward value added in that game, not who you'd back next week.
Egregious Player Votes - an occasional new series here at HI. Now, we love Bont, who doesn’t. But if 10 turnovers running at a disposal efficiency of 46%, with 2/3rds of them gained in the back half in a 40 point loss earns you the 4th best player on the ground - then we’re all confused. Our backline may as well not exist.
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Probably got to be one of Bont's least efficient games of his career, getting into good positions but fluffed any and all disposals, handball and kick
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Swans would be feeling a bit more comfortable if they could kick straight - Heeney looking best on ground so far
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