Peter Owen (@random_effects) header
Peter Owen (@random_effects) profile picture

Peter Owen

@random_effects

Website: https://teapaw.org/t.co/au2SkTQBdp R Packages: https://teapaw.org/t.co/Ttx3PDF2PF

 Sydney, New South Wales
Joined March 2019
  • Tweets731
  • Following2K
  • Followers379
94Media
Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)Photo by Peter Owen (@random_effects)
Peter Owen retweeted
OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) profile picture
OptaJoe
@OptaJoeJul 19
0 - Argentina are the first ever team to fail to have a single shot in 90 minutes in a FIFA World Cup final. Blanks.
Image from OptaJoe (@OptaJoe)
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Elon Musk says that no one died because of his demolition of USAID, and that "Kristof is lying through his teeth." So here I invite him to join me on a visit to Africa to see for himself: nytimes.com/2026/07/01/opini…
Opinion | U.S.A.I.D. Cuts Killed People. That’s the Truth.

Opinion | U.S.A.I.D. Cuts Killed People. That’s the Truth.

Musk insists that his demolition of humanitarian aid didn’t cost lives. So I propose he take a trip with me.

nytimes.com
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Peter Owen retweeted
Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin) profile picture
Rob Wiblin
@robertwiblinApr 13
Really great news I would say: "Social media is populist and polarising. AI may be the opposite." – @jburnmurdoch in the FT
Image from Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin)
Image from Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin)
Image from Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin)
Image from Rob Wiblin (@robertwiblin)
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Peter Owen retweeted
Jerusalem (@JerusalemDemsas) profile picture
Jerusalem
@JerusalemDemsasJan 27
I know a lot is going on but not sure it's breaking through that Iran may have killed nearly 37,000 people in a matter of days.
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Think about how many USAID programs this administration cruelly canceled, which cost peanuts, and then harmed thousands of poor kids abroad, only to allow its officials to spend taxpayer money on stuff like this:
Molly Ploofkins (@Mollyploofkins) profile pictureMolly Ploofkins
@Mollyploofkins30 Oct 2025
Kash Patel scrambled a government jet to watch his girlfriend sing at a wrestling bout this weekend. independent.co.uk/news/world…
Image from Molly Ploofkins (@Mollyploofkins)
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New post! @random_effects argues that more you look into the numbers, the better it looks for Aaron Rodgers opensourcefootball.com/posts…
Image from Open Source Football (@Open_Source_FB)
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Look good to me
Black Clark Kent (@BlackClarkKent_) profile pictureBlack Clark Kent@BlackClarkKent_16 Sep 2020
Yo @Dame_Lillard this a good shot?!
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My NBAScrapR project is now live. Every play of the #NBA since start of 1996/97 season. All 13 million + of them. Links to pull data from github & watch R tut vid on entire scrape/wrangle in link⬇️. Please share w/ anyone you think would be interested reddit.com/r/NBAanalytics/co…
From the NBAanalytics community on Reddit: Introducing NBAScrapR: How to scrape every play of the...

From the NBAanalytics community on Reddit: Introducing NBAScrapR: How to scrape every play of the...

Explore this post and more from the NBAanalytics community

reddit.com
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Peter Owen retweeted
Ron Yurko (@Stat_Ron) profile picture
Ron Yurko@Stat_Ron18 Jun 2020
So if I'm reading this and the article correctly - #DesignedRBPassesMatter
Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin) profile pictureComputer Cowboy
@benbbaldwin18 Jun 2020
Always gratifying when someone with better data confirms one of one's older findings. Here @PFF_Moo using time to throw data showing the inefficiency of RB targets pff.com/news/nfl-the-perfect…
Image from Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin)
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INTRODUCING: @nflfastR 2.0 🏈 NFL play-by-play data back to 1999 ⌨️ New and improved models for EPA, CPOE, and Win Probability ✅ Compatible with the new NFL data sources 🐞 Lots of bug fixes mrcaseb.github.io/nflfastR/
Image from Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin)
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Here's a draft of a description of the new EP, WP, and CP models in @nflfastR, as well as calibration results for each model. If you have any objections / suggestions, speak now or forever hold your peace gist.github.com/guga31bb/2e8…
Image from Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin)
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Still mulling over @MikePradaNBA's 'Who had it tougher?' JORDAN thru 1990 (age 26): an underdog in 8 series, won 2 a favorite in 3, won 3 1991 on: fav in 26, won 25 LEBRON thru 2011 (age 26): dog in 4, won 1 fav in 13, won 10 2012 on: dog in 7, won 3 fav in 21, won 21
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Log odds make it fun to magnitude of fixed vs random effects. To wit: Non-dome on the road --> home in a dome :: Mitchell Trubisky --> Russell Wilson
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Peter Owen retweeted
Mike Beuoy (@inpredict) profile picture
Mike Beuoy@inpredict25 Apr 2020
I took my three point "windup" charts and animated them. Note Steph Curry's quick release. The animation starts at the beginning of each player's shooting motion. The ball is out of Steph's hands much sooner than the rest. Derived from 2013-2016 tracking data. 1/
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🚨Multi-Year PIPM Tool Updates🚨 🔘 On both tools, choose an X axis of either career game number or age. 🔘 On Single Player, season delineation is now displayed and toggle between seeing season labels and either game number or age. Link: jacobegoldstein.shinyapps.io…
Image from Jacob Goldstein (@JacobEGoldstein)
Image from Jacob Goldstein (@JacobEGoldstein)
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Peter Owen retweeted
Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) profile picture
Max Roser
@MaxCRoser7 Feb 2020
Which sectors contribute how much to the world’s greenhouse gas emissions? This, by the World Resources Institute, is a very helpful global overview and it was just updated. Published here: wri.org/blog/2020/02/greenho…
Image from Max Roser (@MaxCRoser)
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Peter Owen retweeted
350 dot org (@350) profile picture
350 dot org
@3505 Feb 2020
Over 60 major companies have ruled out working with the polluting Adani mine. Why won’t you, @Siemens? 👀 #StopAdani #SiemensFuelsFires fal.cn/36ntO
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🤓 Nerd-to-human translator (the evidence behind "running backs don't matter", "sacks are a QB stat", why nerds use EPA, what is CPOE, etc): gist.github.com/guga31bb/f2a… ⌨️ nflscrapR R beginner's guide: gist.github.com/guga31bb/563… 🏈 Game advanced EPA box scores: airyards.com/baldwin_boxscor…
Nerd-to-human translator

Nerd-to-human translator

Nerd-to-human translator. GitHub Gist: instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

gist.github.com
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God I love this chart. For most of recorded history, if you had a kid their chance of surviving to age 15 was roughly a coinflip. Then the modern world happened: ourworldindata.org/uploads/2…
Image from Benjamin Morris (@skepticalsports)
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So here is 2016-2019 (in practice, 3 years of target data) Total Points does well here!
Image from Computer Cowboy (@benbbaldwin)
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