Andrew Whitten | @whitten@mas.to (@rawecon) header
Andrew Whitten | @whitten@mas.to (@rawecon) profile picture

Andrew Whitten | @[email protected]

@rawecon

Public finance economist / human. Tweets ≠ my employer's views. Leaving twitter... catch me on Mastodon: https://teapaw.org/t.co/oV8EwTy6vZ

 Washington, DC
mas.to/@whitten
Joined October 2012
  • Tweets607
  • Following422
  • Followers258
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If I could magically make one change to PhD metrics training everywhere, it would be to add a week on power.
Nick HK (@nickchk) profile pictureNick HK@nickchk17 Nov 2022
Guess at how many observations you need to have 90% statistical power to detect an effect that increases a rate from 50% to 55% (not an inconsequential boost in many settings!). Assume perfect randomization, half treated/half control Answer in third post.
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#EconTwitter Office of Tax Analysis at Treasury is hiring RAs; this is a wonderful opportunity for budding economists. You have the chance to work with world-class economists on important problems using the best data available! And as a bonus, the culture is supportive and fun.
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Replying to @kpomerleau
Right, buyback myth # 2, buybacks do not mechanically increase stock prices, as described by my colleauge @dmarron dmarron.com/2018/04/12/three…
Three Things You Should Know about the Buyback Furor

Three Things You Should Know about the Buyback Furor

Record stock buybacks—driven in part by the corporate tax changes in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA)—have sparked a media and political furor. Unfortunately, they’ve also created a great deal of c…

dmarron.com
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Replying to @kpomerleau
Here is the most recent evidence on the relationship between buybacks and price: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.…
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New #FEDSNote shows Census data understated the increase in unemp. benefits in 2020 - particularly among low-income families. As a result, official poverty rates were overstated by about 2 pct. points, and corrected poverty reached a 6-decade low: federalreserve.gov/econres/n…
Figure 3. Distribution of UI Benefits by recipient income (by year)

ALT Figure 3. Distribution of UI Benefits by recipient income (by year)

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New work analyzing the returns to Army service in the 90s and 00s and how they vary by race with @greenberg_k @AdamIsen1 @corbinlmiller @Richwpatt is just accepted at the QJE: teapaw.org/QJEHarvard/status/1542… 🧵👇1/9
QJE (@QJEHarvard) profile pictureQJE@QJEHarvard29 Jun 2022
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era,” by Greenberg (@greenberg_k), Gudgeon (@MatthewGudgeon), Isen (@AdamIsen1), Miller (@corbinlmiller), and Patterson (@Richwpatt): doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac026
Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era*

Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era*

Abstract. Since the beginning of the all-volunteer era, millions of young Americans have chosen to enlist in the military. These volunteers disproportionat

academic.oup.com
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Comprehensive and insightful analysis of racial gaps in labor market returns to military service from @greenberg_k , @MatthewGudgeon, @AdamIsen1 , @corbinlmiller & @Richwpatt in the @QJEHarvard
QJE (@QJEHarvard) profile pictureQJE@QJEHarvard29 Jun 2022
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era,” by Greenberg (@greenberg_k), Gudgeon (@MatthewGudgeon), Isen (@AdamIsen1), Miller (@corbinlmiller), and Patterson (@Richwpatt): doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac026
Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era*

Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era*

Abstract. Since the beginning of the all-volunteer era, millions of young Americans have chosen to enlist in the military. These volunteers disproportionat

academic.oup.com
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After 5 yrs of iterating on math, simulations, writing, we updated our working paper on clustering. Lots of time working on single formulation that captures intermediate cases, simple after-the-fact, math matches intuition. arxiv.org/abs/1710.02926
When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?

When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering?

In empirical work it is common to estimate parameters of models and report associated standard errors that account for "clustering" of units, where clusters are defined by factors such as...

arxiv.org
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New paper: Automatic tax filing could save tens of billions of $$ every year - and could work for nearly half of Americans. #TimeTaxes @R_Thaler @LiamDelaney2020 @dilipsoman nber.org/papers/w30008
Automatic Tax Filing: Simulating a Pre-Populated Form 1040

Automatic Tax Filing: Simulating a Pre-Populated Form 1040

nber.org
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New working paper alert! "Automatic Tax Filing: Simulating a Pre-Populated Form 1040." Joint with Andy Whitten (@rawecon), Katie Lim, Bruce Sacerdote. nber.org/papers/w30008. Short thread follows. (All opinions in paper + thread are ours and not those of our employers.)
Image from Lucas Goodman (@goodmanl)
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Congratulations to Treasury's Ithai Lurie & his co-authors Jacob Goldin & Janet McCubbin for winning @NIHCMfoundation's 2022 Research Award for a study on taxpayer outreach that led to a 1.1 pp increase in health insurance coverage & is estimated to have saved at least 700 lives.
The 28th Annual NIHCM Awards; Research Award Winner; Health insurance and mortality: Experimental evidence from taxpayer outreach; the Quarterly Journal of Economics; Jacob Goldin, Ithia Z. Lurie, Janet McCubbin; NIHCM.org

ALT The 28th Annual NIHCM Awards; Research Award Winner; Health insurance and mortality: Experimental evidence from taxpayer outreach; the Quarterly Journal of Economics; Jacob Goldin, Ithia Z. Lurie, Janet McCubbin; NIHCM.org

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Based on IRS tax data, annual earnings losses during COVID were more common among low-earning workers. However, after incorporating expanded unemployment insurance (UI), fewer low-earning workers experienced declines in 2020 than during either the Great Recession or 2019.
Image from Journal of Public Economics (@JPubEcon)
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Here is an analysis that uses work by folks here at Penn Wharton @BudgetModel. The work cited is available here: budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.ed…
Catherine Rampell (@crampell) profile pictureCatherine Rampell
@crampell22 Feb 2022
In race between wage gains & higher (inflation-driven) expenses, the typical poor working family is seeing its living standards *decline* Meanwhile typical high-income family is coming out way ahead This is probably the opposite of what you've heard. A 🧵: washingtonpost.com/opinions/…
Image from Catherine Rampell (@crampell)
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What are people's main concerns about taxes? In new paper w @bea_ferrario we provide answers and discuss new methods. We show how to design & analyze open-ended survey questions to elicit people's first-order concerns on issues. Thread ⬇️ scholar.harvard.edu/files/st… 1/N
Image from Stefanie Stantcheva (@S_Stantcheva)
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I've long sought a tax-deductible way to purchase CO2 emissions permits. To offset my carbon footprint without buying potentially nonadditional offsets. @ClimateVault figured it out. Count me in.
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Devastating new results on the effects of state-funded pre-K programs. In policy you rarely get stronger study designs than random assignment + multi-year longitudinal follow-up. Yikes. doi.apa.org/doiLanding?doi=1…
Image from Samuel Hammond 🦉 (@hamandcheese)
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Important new paper on who benefits from corporate tax cuts by @jm0rt, Christine Dobridge, and Paul Landefeld 👇
FedResearch (@FedResearch) profile pictureFedResearch@FedResearch21 Dec 2021
In new #FEDSPaper, Christine Dobridge, Paul Landefeld, and Jacob Mortenson find that a U.S. corporate tax cut in 2005 had large wage earnings effects for workers at firms receiving the cut. (1/3) go.usa.gov/xezVw
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From @rawecon and #PrincetonU's @motoyogo and Natalie Cox: New facts about bank and retirement account participation, based on the universe of U.S. households with a member aged 50 to 59 in administrative tax data: economics.princeton.edu/work…

Financial Inclusion Across the United States - Princeton University - Department of Economics

Abstract We document new facts about bank and retirement account participation, based on the universe of U.S. households with a member aged 50 to 59 in administrative tax data. Financial participat...

economics.princeton.edu
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Talking at an event for a group of high schools on "Girls in Economics" last night. So I looked at the most recent stats: #womenineconomics #econtwitter 1/4
Image from Garance Genicot (@GGenicot)
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And 38% on workers. So would raising the corporate tax rate to 26.5 % be regressive?
Andrew Whitten | @whitten@mas.to (@rawecon) profile pictureAndrew Whitten | @[email protected]@rawecon6 Oct 2021
“Approximately 31% of corporate tax incidence falls on consumers” nber.org/papers/w27058
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