Joe (@regressionwatch) profile picture
Joined March 2026
Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)Photo by Joe (@regressionwatch)
This always happens to me playing fantasy football
I figured out how ESPN calculates fantasy football win percentage, it’s bad! ESPN made a stats 101 error when calculating their win percentage which leads to horribly miscalibrated numbers. (🧵 thread)
14
👀
The Rays are the fourth team in World Series history with an extra-inning comeback to stave off elimination. The other three all went on to win the series (1912 Red Sox, 1986 Mets, 2011 Cardinals).
9
Huge game for the Rays tonight. Must win
9
Curious about the Yaxel Lendeborg vs. Luka Doncic situation in the NBA. Whose side are you on?
0%Yax
100%Luka
2 votes • Final results
39
According to spotrac The Brewers and Rays are ranked 18th and 28th (‼️) in payrolls this year. You love to see small market teams in the World Series even though they’re given an inherent disadvantage with no salary cap
23
Disastrous camera work in London wow. #Jaguars #Texans #NFL
1
6
479
This is insane
the 2025 nlcs vs. the 2026 nlcs
15
Guardians and Brewers, 2 small market teams, on the brink of a World Series. Who would’ve thought?
35
This type of play wins championships. Win between the margins and a well-coached team will succeed in the long run
Check out the Yankees bunt defense compared to the Dodgers. Jazz Chisholm and Kiké Hernandez start in the exact same spot. Yet when Kiké spots the bunt, he sprints to first to get the out while Jazz just wanders around aimlessly and the runner reaches. Losing on the margins.
16
Guardians with a massive comeback from being down 0-2 in the series. Playing their guards ball to get ahead and face the Rays in the ALCS
THE GUARDIANS COME BACK FROM 0-2 TO BOOK A TRIP TO THE AL CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES 🪽 Cleveland defeats the Chicago White Sox to become the 11th team in MLB history to win a best-of-five Division Series and will now meet the Rays in the ALCS 👏
39
Ronald Acuña Jr. burning an ABS challenge in the 1st inning on a clear strike is proof that players treat this system like an ego check. What if we could mathematically quantify when a team actually should or shouldn't challenge? I'm currently building a model to solve it 🧵👇
1
2
2
5
735
5/6: One difficulty I've faced is how valuable challenges really are. Does losing a challenge change your win probability by that much? These are all thoughts im still wrestling with, and I think that everyone in the baseball analytics world is also with the new system.
1
18
6/6: Baseball strategy is lagging behind the math of the ABS era. If you want to follow my journey, drop a follow or reach out! 📊⚾️ #mlb #baseball #analytics #mlbplayoffs #braves #dodgers
14
5/6: One difficulty I've faced is how valuable challenges really are. Does losing a challenge change your win probability by that much? These are all thoughts im still wrestling with, and I think that everyone in the baseball analytics world is also with the new system.
1
1
36
6/6: Baseball strategy is lagging behind the math of the ABS era. If you want to follow my journey, drop a follow or reach out! 📊⚾️ #mlb #baseball #analytics #mlbplayoffs #braves #dodgers #playoffs #sports #sportsanalytics
1
28