
Enjoy all things politics, sports, and cooking. @JoeBiden White House, @JamesCarville & @MitchLandrieu alum. Opinions here my own.
New Orleans, LA
Joined September 2009
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Protecting Medicaid should be a bipartisan issue.
MAGA world signals #Medicaid protectiveness: “Voters clearly want Congress not only to protect Medicaid, but they will reward those who strengthen Medicaid and increase benefits to patients," - @realDonaldTrump pollster Jim McLaughlin axios.com/2025/04/23/maga-tr…
Ryan Berni retweeted
Foxx was a unique person for our target list, some would say wacky.
We targeted her (in oppo research and in paid media) because our thesis was to
1) help expand the map into deep red places,
2) underperforming low-quality candidates with ties to corruption would be exceptionally vulnerable to to our tactics even in places where it seems impossible
gotta add a good dem to that equation, and you've got a stew going
Ryan Berni retweeted
Replying to @American_Bridge
@American_Bridge is, yeah
Ryan Berni retweeted
There was no bigger nexus between cost-of-living & corruption than Trump’s illegal blockade against hundreds of clean energy projects while utility bills skyrocketed.
Trump needs to end his war on clean energy now, and every Republican left needs to answer for it until he does.
Ryan Berni retweeted
Scott Colom is going to be the next Senator from Mississippi. I am proud that Elias Law Group is leading the legal effort to ensure that happens.
Seriously-- After Dems reverse the tariffs and healthcare cuts and pass some lowering cost bills, we need to pass pardon reform. It will have a chilling effect on corruption in a way that some overwrought oversight hearings will not.
Ryan Berni retweeted
.@StateNavigate Late Sept/October polls margin difference from actual result (thus far, more votes to come)
Late October | avg 3.4%
VA US House | 1.6%
MN-GOV | 2.9%
VT-GOV | 3.6%
GA-GOV | 5.6%
Mid October (PA) | avg 2.9%
PA-SD-6 | 0.8%
PA-SD-16 | 0.8%
PA-SD-36 | 7.2%
PA-HD-18 | 0.5%
PA-HD-41 | 3.1%
PA-HD-131 | 3.0%
PA-HD-142 | 2.2%
PA-HD-143 | 2.8%
PA-HD-145 | 5.6%
PA-HD-187 | 3.0%
Late September/Early October | avg* 5.1%
PA-SD-46 | 12.0%
WV-SD-1 | 1.6%
WV-SD-8 | 3.3%
IA-SD-35 (non-recall) | 6.8%
IA-SD-35 | 1.8%
*treats each IA as their own poll
Worth noting we disclosed how we got a bad sample in our Lancaster followups in PA SD-36 & HD-41, & there were a lot of undecideds and Rs who came home in PA SD-46 through October.
Overall, our polling committee (myself, Michael Foley, @marywitha4, @gelliottmorris, @Nick_Goedert) knocked this out of the park. We're hoping for an A-rating. 🏆
Ryan Berni retweeted
🚨PROJECTION🚨
Democrats have flipped the Texas House.
projects.statenavigate.com/2…
Ryan Berni retweeted
AND ADDISON MCDOWELL? SENT HIS ASS PACKING. WELCOME TO CONGRESS, CYRIL JEFFERSON!
Ryan Berni retweeted
Look for @scott_colom to increase his lead. There are still several precincts left out of the total for Clay County where only 78% of the vote has been counted. I represented Clay County for 16 years, you can bet the Colom numbers there will grow his raw vote totals. Every other county is at 95%+ in according to @nytimes #MississippiMatters #MSSenate
Ryan Berni retweeted
Mississippi (2024 total → 2024 provisional)
🔵 Hinds: D+46.1 → D+48.2
🔴 Lauderdale: R+21.2 → D+7.0
🔴 Pearl River: R+66.7 → R+59.2
🔴 Rankin: R+47.1 → R+45.6
History here is on Colom's side. These are the only four counties I have the breakdown on. All 1–2% of the vote.
Ryan Berni retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Nancy Lacore wins the SC US House 1 General Election
#DecisionMade: 1:39 AM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
Ryan Berni retweeted
HMP is proud of the role we played in this victory.
In the face of an unprecedented GOP spending advantage, we expanded the House battlefield deeper into Republican territory than ever before.
Next up, Speaker of the House Hakeem Jeffries.
Ryan Berni retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Katy Stout wins the TX US House 23 General Election
#DecisionMade: 1:41 AM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
Ryan Berni retweeted
BREAKING: Democrats just FLIPPED the Georgia House!
This is a major win that’s been in the making for cycles. This is the SIXTH election in a row that Democrats made gains in the chamber, all building toward kicking the GOP out of power.
Ryan Berni retweeted
Decision Desk HQ projects Shannon Taylor wins the VA US House 1 General Election
#DecisionMade: 10:28 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…



























