Ryan Berni (@ryanberni) profile picture

Enjoy all things politics, sports, and cooking. @JoeBiden White House, @JamesCarville & @MitchLandrieu alum. Opinions here my own.

New Orleans, LA
Joined September 2009
Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)Photo by Ryan Berni (@ryanberni)
Ryan Berni retweeted
And when you add AL-02 and OH-09 ⤵️ 🚨Republicans spent $131,475,442 to LOSE SEATS they gerrymandered🚨 #AL02: $3,152,347 #OH09: $10,159,836
🚨🚨🚨 Republicans spent $118,163,259 to LOSE SEATS they gerrymandered: #NC01: $20,048,547 #FL09: $1,956,535 #FL14: $20,011,943 #FL22: $12,324,177 #FL25: $19,862,384 #TX09: $1,465,973 #TX15: $11,270,523 #TX23: $1,830,114 #TX28: $4,252,803 #TX34: $14,773,825 #TX35: $10,366,435
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Protecting Medicaid should be a bipartisan issue.
MAGA world signals #Medicaid protectiveness: “Voters clearly want Congress not only to protect Medicaid, but they will reward those who strengthen Medicaid and increase benefits to patients," ⁦- @realDonaldTrump⁩ pollster Jim McLaughlin axios.com/2025/04/23/maga-tr…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Foxx was a unique person for our target list, some would say wacky. We targeted her (in oppo research and in paid media) because our thesis was to 1) help expand the map into deep red places, 2) underperforming low-quality candidates with ties to corruption would be exceptionally vulnerable to to our tactics even in places where it seems impossible gotta add a good dem to that equation, and you've got a stew going
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Replying to @American_Bridge
Genuine question: Is *anyone* on record having predicted Mississippi?
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Ryan Berni retweeted
There was no bigger nexus between cost-of-living & corruption than Trump’s illegal blockade against hundreds of clean energy projects while utility bills skyrocketed. Trump needs to end his war on clean energy now, and every Republican left needs to answer for it until he does.
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Scott Colom is going to be the next Senator from Mississippi. I am proud that Elias Law Group is leading the legal effort to ensure that happens.
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Seriously-- After Dems reverse the tariffs and healthcare cuts and pass some lowering cost bills, we need to pass pardon reform. It will have a chilling effect on corruption in a way that some overwrought oversight hearings will not.
Prediction: So many pardons will be written in the next two years that Carpal Tunnel will drive Trump to the dreaded autopen.
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Of all the wins, this will have a generational impact.
Current ballpark estimate is that Democrats have a 600-800 net gain in state legislative seats nationwide. It will take time for us to get a firmer estimate; many races to call, recounts to ensue, votes to be counted
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.@StateNavigate Late Sept/October polls margin difference from actual result (thus far, more votes to come) Late October | avg 3.4% VA US House | 1.6% MN-GOV | 2.9% VT-GOV | 3.6% GA-GOV | 5.6% Mid October (PA) | avg 2.9% PA-SD-6 | 0.8% PA-SD-16 | 0.8% PA-SD-36 | 7.2% PA-HD-18 | 0.5% PA-HD-41 | 3.1% PA-HD-131 | 3.0% PA-HD-142 | 2.2% PA-HD-143 | 2.8% PA-HD-145 | 5.6% PA-HD-187 | 3.0% Late September/Early October | avg* 5.1% PA-SD-46 | 12.0% WV-SD-1 | 1.6% WV-SD-8 | 3.3% IA-SD-35 (non-recall) | 6.8% IA-SD-35 | 1.8% *treats each IA as their own poll Worth noting we disclosed how we got a bad sample in our Lancaster followups in PA SD-36 & HD-41, & there were a lot of undecideds and Rs who came home in PA SD-46 through October. Overall, our polling committee (myself, Michael Foley, @marywitha4, @gelliottmorris, @Nick_Goedert) knocked this out of the park. We're hoping for an A-rating. 🏆
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🚨PROJECTION🚨 Democrats have flipped the Texas House. projects.statenavigate.com/2…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
dummymander of the decade 10-4 delegation in North Carolina
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AND ADDISON MCDOWELL? SENT HIS ASS PACKING. WELCOME TO CONGRESS, CYRIL JEFFERSON!
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Look for @scott_colom to increase his lead. There are still several precincts left out of the total for Clay County where only 78% of the vote has been counted. I represented Clay County for 16 years, you can bet the Colom numbers there will grow his raw vote totals. Every other county is at 95%+ in according to @nytimes #MississippiMatters #MSSenate
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Mississippi (2024 total → 2024 provisional) 🔵 Hinds: D+46.1 → D+48.2 🔴 Lauderdale: R+21.2 → D+7.0 🔴 Pearl River: R+66.7 → R+59.2 🔴 Rankin: R+47.1 → R+45.6 History here is on Colom's side. These are the only four counties I have the breakdown on. All 1–2% of the vote.
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Decision Desk HQ projects Nancy Lacore wins the SC US House 1 General Election #DecisionMade: 1:39 AM EST Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
HMP is proud of the role we played in this victory. In the face of an unprecedented GOP spending advantage, we expanded the House battlefield deeper into Republican territory than ever before. Next up, Speaker of the House Hakeem Jeffries.
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Decision Desk HQ projects Katy Stout wins the TX US House 23 General Election #DecisionMade: 1:41 AM EST Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
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BREAKING: Democrats just FLIPPED the Georgia House! This is a major win that’s been in the making for cycles. This is the SIXTH election in a row that Democrats made gains in the chamber, all building toward kicking the GOP out of power.
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Decision Desk HQ projects Shannon Taylor wins the VA US House 1 General Election #DecisionMade: 10:28 PM EST Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/rac…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Mississippi, we’re feeling really good about tonight! Y’all have shown up and SHOWN OUT! Votes are still being counted in Lowndes and the Delta, and we’ve got 15,000+ affidavit ballots out. Buckle up, Mississippi. Change is coming, and we’re going to get this done!
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