SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell) header
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Resolving scarcity | research analyst @bismarckanlys

New York, NY
Joined October 2025
Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)Photo by SE⚜️H (@sethhdowell)
hello
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Zohran Mamdani is a political genius and one of the most capable statesmen alive today. His ability to recognize moments of popular sentiment, ride them to power, sidestep allegations of betrayal, exploit comms tech, and lead street-level advocacy campaigns is incredible.
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SE⚜️H retweeted
THE TOUR CONTINUES: I will give a talk on why interstellar expansion is the only way to preserve industrial civilization and high technology on Thursday, November 5th, in Washington, D.C. with @JoinFAI for @palladiummag. Get your tickets here ASAP: luma.com/palladium-talk-spac…
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Nvidia was founded to improve video game graphics cards, but by the early 2000s Huang was trying to find new uses for GPUs in science and industry despite the non-existent market. Huang's foresight was tremendously rewarded decades later, showing long-term strategic thinking.
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Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang created the chips that enabled today's AI technology. He is neither an AI doomer, singularitarian, or China hawk. This live player's next goal is a transformation of the economy with robotics. Read the new @bismarckanlys Brief (link below):
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SE⚜️H retweeted
Ironically, and I hate to admit this, but the only one that can be halfway salvaged and extended for a little bit longer is liberalism. Though not as an explicit "ideology" and rather a default mode of operation (in much the same way that tyranny is not an ideology)
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SE⚜️H retweeted
Shower thought o algo: nationalism as specifically conceptualized in the mid 19th century or earlier is outdated, essentially just a zombie concept still floating around.
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Our research shows a huge increase in beer imports from Rwanda and Burundi--with M23 controlling the border, taking USD 2,50 a crate of Rwandan beer, USD 10 for a crate Burundian beer, and USD 1 for a crate of soft drinks. M23 made approx USD 3-4 million in beer taxes in a year.
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So here it is: Our new report on eastern Congo's roadblocks, which is actually about how the M23 conflict intersects with a regional trade war over access to eastern Congo's market. It's also about beer, and how Heineken exited Congo. A thread w/key findings, maps & figures:
Is M23 a Congolese armed group or rather a thinly veiled proxy for a conventional interstate war? Nice rundown by @ryanmofarrell. Meanwhile, M23/RDF is also sophisticated fiscal extraction machine, which goes way beyond minerals--full report, maps and data out later this week.
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Bismarck Analysis' Atlas of Live Players and Institutions cartogram. Find it funny that the two Italian microstates (Monaco, Vatican) each have as many as Italy itself. The US is the most covered by far, not sure how much of this is home bias (vs China especially).
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Anyone interested in what this is depicting can read the full article here: brief.bismarckanalysis.com/p…
Bismarck Analysis' Atlas of Live Players and Institutions cartogram. Find it funny that the two Italian microstates (Monaco, Vatican) each have as many as Italy itself. The US is the most covered by far, not sure how much of this is home bias (vs China especially).
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it’s very surprising to me that major personal credit cards have not yet offered bonuses/perks related to AI subscriptions yet. feels like a no-brainer perk to onboard HNWs to premium AI plans.
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SE⚜️H retweeted
Nearly everyone in the West focuses on China's Five Year Plans as the reasons for its manufacturing success, concluding that more central economic planning is needed. This is the exactly WRONG lesson. The country's success comes because its cities all compete with each other intensely, as something akin to vertically integrated corporations that are completely obsessed with local economic growth. Its incredible manufacturing industry is based on local clusters that local govts nurture and invest in, and collect a lot of the returns from through property fees and taxes. These govts are *much* closer to local needs than Western local govts are, and can focus on speed of building and iteration above all, which are critical for manufacturing. *This* is why local government matters in Britain and America, where it is almost completely broken and dysfunctional. Where local spillovers matter, as in manufacturing, you need some kind of entity that can internalise the positive externalities of economic activity. China is proof that with the right incentives and tax powers, local governments can become machines for economic growth, intervening and clearing the way for development.
China has become the most important manufacturing economy in the world because it is a continent-sized Silicon Valley. worksinprogress.co/issue/chi… Every Chinese city govt acts as a VC firm trying to create clusters in its region, because it has both the means and incentive to do so. Local govts generate their revenues, nearly all of which they keep, from selling leases on land and from stakes they have taken in local companies, which together allow them to capture economic spillovers. Chinese officials have their entire careers graded and determined by how much growth they have been able to create in the areas they run. Career progression is determined according to a great tournament that pits official against official and gives promotions to whoever has grown their region the most. If they don’t reach a certain stage by a certain age they are blocked from promotion forever. This is why so many economic clusters have centred on Chinese cities, for high- and low-tech products alike. Shaodong makes 70% of the entire world's cigarette lighters; Danyang makes half of the world's spectacle lenses; Zheng'an makes 1/7 of the world's guitars; Datang a third of its socks. Whereas many of the West’s most important city governments capture only a small amount of the spillovers from successful clusters, and thus have very little reason to foster them, in China, they get a huge amount of the upside and can re-invest it in further growth. This also gives them a great incentive to solve problems for companies, like when Shanghai's govt got Tesla's factory there built even faster than Elon himself had expected (and twice as fast as his Fremont, CA factory). But this is not some exotic 'oriental' innovation – this is how America used to do things when it grew fastest, in the 1950s, 1960s, and early 1970s. Catching up with China on advanced manufacturing does not require a wise and strategic approach, let alone authoritarianism or the end of democracy. It may just mean fixing city government. This is why I care so much about local in Britain and America: if we give our own local governments the same incentives and means to grow, the crazily dysfunctional entities we have become used to may be transformed into corporation-like bodies that are ruthlessly focused on making their cities rich, safe and prosperous. Read more in Works in Progress worksinprogress.co/issue/chi…
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Despite its extensive “memeing” Empire of Dust actually gave many people the wrong impression. The Kolwezi-Lubumbashi highway renovation was broadly a success and it is now a critical transport route for minerals!
Chinese man brutally explains to African man why they're absolute failures and why they will always be failures.
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Chinese infrastructure projects in Africa actually *do* work despite an apathetic if not antagonistic local populace, and economic incentives of mineral extraction can overcome the lack of state capacity and general dysfunction in Africa.
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The aesthetics of America A have been so universally adopted they don't even register as American but as a global cultural default. A minimalist cafe, serving oat milk lattes, doesn't register as America A but as "modern" or "trendy".
Notice how whenever people in foreign countries do “America” themed events they ape the aesthetics of America A and not America B
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the closest thing to an actual use-case of AI mentioned is the development of a "morning briefing" which is at least vaguely interesting
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what the fuck are we even talking about anymore man
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I subbed to business insider for an article I'm writing and just... man
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Extremely interesting article insofar as it contains 1500 words of discussion of how the subject has used AI to automate their life without ever once specifically mentioning a task AI has automated
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