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An important thread by @pranaykotas on how Chinaโs new export sanctions are, in some cases, directly targeted at India.
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See this @TakshashilaInst paper for more details on how India is diversifying its TBM purchases away from China.
takshashila.org.in/content/bโฆ
/end
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Bilahari Kausikan on the "gangster logic" of nuclear parity in east Asia
The Korean Peninsula and the future of East Asian geopolitics | ThinkChina thinkchina.sg/politics/bilahโฆ
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If you're interested in Asia policy, then Noah Burke and I have gone through and compared what is in the House and Senate NDAAs to get a sense of what might be included in the final bill. Take a look here:
aei.org/foreign-and-defense-โฆ
Pleasure to speak at the 7th EAS Conference on Maritime Security Cooperation in Kochi. Thanks to the @AIC_aseanindia for the invitation. It was interesting to hear various perspectives on the topic and reconnecting with old friends as well as making new ones.
๐๐๐ฒ 2 | 7๐ญ๐ก ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ (๐๐๐) ๐๐จ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐งย
๐๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐: ๐๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐ก๐๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ฌย
The last session examined emerging challenges shaping the maritime security environment, including undersea infrastructure, autonomous systems, cyber threats, supply-chain disruptions, shadow fleets and grey-zone activities. The session was moderated by Dr Sacha Blumen, Director, Southeast Asia Strategy and Maritime Security Branch, Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (@dfat )
The session featured:
ย ๐น Capt. Ranendra S. Sawan, IN, Senior Fellow, National Maritime Foundation- NMF (@nmfindia ), India- highlighted the growing vulnerabilities across maritime supply chains and critical infrastructure, emphasising stronger regional information-sharing, protection of undersea cables, faster regional response mechanisms and enhanced Maritime Domain Awareness.ย
๐น Dr. Sinderpal Singh (@sinder32 ), Senior Fellow, RSIS | S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore- underscored the challenges posed by autonomous underwater systems, critical undersea infrastructure and cyber/electronic interference. He called for stronger cooperation between governments, infrastructure operators and technology providers, alongside exercises addressing ambiguous maritime incidents.ย
๐น Dr. Rahul Mishra (@rahulmishr_ ), Associate Professor, Centre for Indo-Pacific Studies, JNU (@JNU_official_50 ), India- highlighted the need to bridge regional capability, strengthen information-sharing, address emerging technological threats, safeguard seafarers, and develop inclusive, region-wide mechanisms for maritime security cooperation and capacity-building.ย
๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ซ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐๐จ๐จ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง, ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง-๐ฌ๐ก๐๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ง ๐ข๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐ข๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ.
@SKSharma_World @cmec_ris @MEAIndia
@AusHCIndia @nmfindia @ASEAN
@China_Amb_India @NZinIndia @dfat
@NSCPhil @indiatoasean @indembmanila
@HCICanberra @IndiainNZ @EOIBeijing
@hcikl @IndianEmbJkt @HCIBrunei @PV_Chat @DakshinNews
#EAS #MaritimeSecurity #RegionalCooperation #MaritimeDomainAwareness #CapacityBuilding #IndoPacific
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
โI know all these guys,โ a former American official... told me. โThey go into these meetings, and they are doing business right alongside their diplomacy. โO.K., enough about the ceasefire. We have this hotel we want to build.โ Thatโs the kind of foreign policy America has now.โ
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
The Delhi BRICS Summit offered an important picture of Indiaโs place in a fragmenting world. New Delhi clearly sees value in a grouping that is non-Western, but little advantage in allowing it to become explicitly anti-Western. The objective is reform without rupture: a more representative international order, greater agency for the Global South and protection against economic coercion, without abandoning access to Western markets, capital and technology.
That distinction was made explicit by Prime Minister Modi when he said BRICS was โnot against anyoneโ. India did resist attempts to turn the meeting into a platform of anti-American rhetoric. We did not witness endorsement of a common BRICS currency or dramatic declaration of de-dollarisation. The focus remained on national-currency settlements, faster cross-border payments, resilient supply chains, digital public infrastructure, health, food and energy security, and reform of the UN, IMF and World Bank.
India scored a significant diplomatic success in securing a unanimous New Delhi Declaration despite sharp differences between Iran and the UAE over West Asia. Consensus was preserved, but only through carefully generalised language. In this, BRICSโs value and its limitation was exposed : it can keep difficult conversations alive and affirm broad principles, but it struggles to assign responsibility or organise collective action when there is the occasional collision of the interests of its members .
The Modi-Putin meeting reaffirmed the durability of the India-Russia relationship at a time when Moscow is under Western sanctions and increasingly dependent on China. India continues to value Russia as an energy, defence and strategic partner, while seeking to broaden the relationship into technology, manufacturing and industrial cooperation. But New Delhi did not endorse Moscowโs more confrontational conception of BRICS as an alternative order
struggling to shake off Western rules. Engagement with Russia remains an important part of Indiaโs strategic autonomy, but there is no evidence of alignment with a Russian-Chinese bloc.
The Modi-Xi meeting was more consequential, although its results were deliberately modest. Xiโs first visit to India in nearly seven years restored the political space for engagement. Both leaders supported greater business links, mobility and cultural exchanges, and discussed Indiaโs structural trade imbalance, supply-chain vulnerabilities and need for meaningful market access. Modi reiterated that peace and tranquillity along the border, and mutual sensitivity remain essential to the wider relationship.
The outcome was therefore managed stabilisation, not a strategic reset. India and China have acknowledged the necessity of coexistence, competition and selective cooperation without pretending that mistrust has disappeared.
BRICS provides one of the few settings in which this competitive coexistence can be practised. It also allows India to engage China and Russia while maintaining its partnerships with the United States, Europe, Japan and Australia. BRICS widens Indiaโs diplomatic and economic choices.
As C. Raja Mohan observes, Indiaโs success may have been to keep BRICS โboringโ: practical enough to be useful, abjuring boiler-plate ideology or rhetoric . The deeper achievement of Delhi was to preserve the manifest pluralism of the grouping.
The test will come under Chinaโs presidency in 2027. Beijing will probably push for a โGreater BRICSโ, stronger political coordination and reduced dependence on Western financial systems. India will support institutional reform and greater Global South representation, but resist conversion of BRICS into a China-led geopolitical pole.
BRICS matters to India not because it peddles a replacement world order, but because it helps prevent any single power or coalition from monopolising the existing one. It provides India more room for manoeuvre, in an age of unstable multipolarity.
#BRICS2026
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Another balanced assessment of the India-China relationship going forward from Xi Jinpingโs visit, from @StratNewsGlobal and @nitingokhale. Always worth reading their op-eds.
P stratnewsglobal.com/china/chโฆ
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Cranky @Roshanjnu is the best Roshan: "Our public discourse today works on what is best described by paraphrasing Keynes: in the short run, we are all trolls, even inadvertently, and in the long run, we are all dead." hindustantimes.com/editors-pโฆ
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"As everyone agreed, China needs to be studied, assessed, observed, engaged purely through an Indian lens."
Been hearing this in India for yrs. This requires beaucoup investment in scholarships, research, academia/think tank positions, mentoring. Hope that investment is made.
It was wonderful to chair a session and stimulate some original thoughts on assessing the PLAโs current state during a larger China conference organised by Jayadeva Ranadeโs CCAS and Pune International Centre on Friday and Saturday. As everyone agreed, China needs to be studied, assessed, observed, engaged purely through an Indian lens.
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
Excited to announce that @Stanford is offering a brand new open-access course on Indian foreign & defense policy. An abridged version of my Masters-level course, it will run for 6x lectures, online. Outline & registration details here: continuingstudies.stanford.eโฆ
My piece in CNA about the politics of the Indo- Pacific..what's in a name!? @RSIS_NTU channelnewsasia.com/commentaโฆ
Great to meet the team from ORCA at @RSIS_NTU and we had a very good conversation on ASEAN, China , India and Southeast Asia and how they fit (or don't!)Together.@ShantanuRC09
Director Ms. @eerishika and Senior RA Mr. @bhole_omkar represented @ORCA_India at a closed-door roundtable discussion hosted by @RSIS_NTU. Moderated by Dr. @sinder32, the discussion focused on #Indiaโs evolving #China policy, #US-#China competition, India-China multilateral engagements, #SouthChinaSea and #India-#Singapore relations. This exchange reinforced the value of IndiaโSingapore think tank dialogue and explored avenues for future cooperation.
๐orcasia.org/events/external-โฆ
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India Should Stop Panicking About Trump - The emotional Indian discourse obscures the strategic logic of U.S.-India ties. foreignpolicy.com/2026/07/01โฆ
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I have a different view than @HappymonJacob: India's seen the world -- & China -- v much from its own lens for not just last 25 years but since independence.
India didn't adopt US view of China (nor vice versa). Both's view converged over last 25 yrs (for each's own reasons)
A very thought provoking piece by Happymon. Deserves wide debate.
What about Samir Saran's take : While the White House may be hostile, with the American State it continues to be buisness as usual and the wider American community is actually enthused with India. So, the Indo-US relationship is segmented - not all gloom and doom.
Of course, Capacity is fundamental to Strategic Autonomy. But, till we build the same, we have to be close to one of the two - USA or China. Until we can begin to trust China, the USA is the only option, Trump's tantrums notwithstanding.
Strategic Cunning may be a good resort for now.
Indian Grand Strategy for the next decade must focus relentlessly on two metaphors : Capacities embedded in Integrated Deterrence.
Or to borrow a term from a recent era : Just Hide and Bide
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Congrats to @LisaCurtisDC on her new role leading RFE/RL.
They're fortunate to have her do so.
Replying to @RFERLPress
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
It was a great pleasure and privilege to edit this research monograph cum policy report. Thanks to @sinder32 and Prof Pant for their stewardship across 2 institution and timezones.
This @orfonline-@RSIS_NTU monograph maps the trajectory of #India-Southeast Asia ties, analysing how the #IndoPacific vision, #MAHASAGAR, and the Act East Policy are elevating Southeast Asia in Indiaโs geostrategic calculus.
Edited by: @shounakset & @AVIRAL96 or-f.org/39023
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#ORFevents
.@orfonline, is hosting a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled โIndia and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competitionโ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU with @sinder32, @ProfHarshVPant, @shounakset, @AVIRAL96, @sayantan_h, @ApilaMongzar, Sarah Soh, Ambassador Preeti Saran, Rahul Mishra, & Bich Tran.
The event will bring together scholars, policymakers, and practitioners to discuss the evolving trajectory of IndiaโSoutheast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
๐๏ธ 2 June | โฑ๏ธ2 PM | ๐Conference Hall, ORF Delhi
Sign up now โก๏ธ or-f.org/38982
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
#ORFevents
.@orfonline, is hosting a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled โIndia and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competitionโ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU with @sinder32, @ProfHarshVPant, @shounakset, @AVIRAL96, @sayantan_h, @ApilaMongzar, Sarah Soh, Ambassador Preeti Saran, Rahul Mishra, & Bich Tran.
The event will bring together scholars, policymakers, and practitioners to discuss the evolving trajectory of IndiaโSoutheast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
๐๏ธ 2 June | โฑ๏ธ2 PM | ๐Conference Hall, ORF Delhi
Sign up now โก๏ธ or-f.org/38982
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
.@orfonline hosted a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled โIndia and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competitionโ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU
The event saw discussions between scholars, policymakers, and practitioners about the evolving trajectory of IndiaโSoutheast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
Here are some glimpses of the day ๐ท
Read the Special Report: or-f.org/39023


































