Current: Content & Video @Pickwatch | Past: @Rotoworld @TeamRankings @PoolGenius | Live DFS Finalist
Minneapolis, MN
Joined November 2011
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Fair warning: whenever I get hyped like this, the mush usually comes for me
Our prop expert @slimbach21 went 6-1 on NFL player props last week.
He has two TNF props for Bucs vs. Cowboys 👇
1️⃣ Chris Godwin Over 3.5 Receptions (-105, Bet365)
Our Positive EV Tool puts fair value at -120, so the price is in our favor.
Last week with Jalon Daniels under center, Godwin caught 6 of 7 targets and looked like the rookie’s go-to guy.
Tampa Bay is an 8.5-point road underdog, so expect them to throw.
Dallas allows the third-highest completion rate in the league and above-average receptions to WRs.
2️⃣ Javonte Williams Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114, FanDuel)
Dallas is the eighth-most pass-happy team in the league.
Williams ranks top 10 among RBs in receptions (3.75) and targets (4.25) per game.
He’s cleared this line in three of four games, going for 20+ in all three.
Tampa Bay has allowed the third-most receptions and fifth-most receiving yards to RBs.
Every starting RB the Bucs have faced has caught five passes.
Want volume instead of yardage? Williams Over 2.5 Receptions (-120) at FanDuel works too.
Spencer Limbach retweeted
Are these the Best NFL Upset Picks for Week 3? 🤔
@slimbach21 has a trio of them, and one is...well, quite the longshot:
Spencer Limbach retweeted
Last time @slimbach21 gave out three props in a primetime slate, he went 3-0 on TNF.
His 3 favorite Rams vs. Giants player props for MNF 👇
1️⃣ M. Stafford Longest Completion Under 38.5 Yd
Puka Nacua's status is very much in jeopardy.
He's the Rams' biggest deep threat. If he's out or limited, the ceiling on Stafford's longest completion drops fast.
Even with Nacua healthy, this one leans under. Stafford stayed under this number in four of his last five games to close out last season.
The Giants also gave Dallas nothing downfield last week. The Cowboys' longest completion was 17 yards, to Javonte Williams (a running back).
Going back to last season, New York hasn't allowed a 39-plus yard completion in four straight games.
Plus, most agree the defense looks upgraded under new head coach John Harbaugh and DC Dennard Wilson.
Wasn’t on it but man what a public mush to start the week
DJ Moore OVER 59.5 receiving yards - most bet player prop on Thursday Night Football at @BetMGM
99% of money is on the OVER
@BuffaloBills receiver caught 5 balls for 100 yards and touchdown in Week 1 ✅
teapaw.org/i/nfl/game/20539801062…
Spencer Limbach retweeted
Do NOT make Chiefs vs Broncos prop picks without reading this 🚨
@slimbach21 is 7-2 on NFL props so far this season.
3 MNF props he found EXTREME VALUE on 👇
Spencer Limbach retweeted
ONLY 6 TEAMS FIT THE NCAA CHAMP FORMULA 🏆
One is a projected No. 7 seed 👀
15 of last 18 champs have checked all boxes (per @TeamRankings):
🔹 Top 33 offensive efficiency
🔹 Top 66 defensive efficiency
🔹 Top 23 strength of schedule
The 6 teams that qualify 👇
I said on @PoolGenius CBB Show that KU will be a massive public dog.
Very interesting bounce back angle for ISU at home.
Spencer Limbach retweeted
IOWA STATE vs KANSAS PICKS (Sat 2/13)🏀
"This could be more of a get-right spot for the Cyclones..."
@JasonLisk & @slimbach21 break down this Top 10 matchup on Saturday:
youtube.com/watch?v=OvY_I4xz…
Spencer Limbach retweeted
Farmers Insurance Open - One & Done Picks ⛳
You probably don't want to burn a Top 20 golfer here (due to the smaller purse).
Here are the best pivots:
poolgenius.teamrankings.com/…
Spencer Limbach retweeted
"Iowa is sitting around in the cold punting the ball..." 😂
@JasonLisk & @slimbach21 pick a side in this Iowa-Vanderbilt Bowl matchup:
Spencer Limbach retweeted
"The Hurricanes' have been very clean on the turnover front..."
@slimbach21 breaks down why Miami can pull off an outright upset in this CFP matchup vs. Texas A&M ⤵️
Love this trend and had WAS as upset pick last week after they got shutout.
But there's no way I can touch Raiders ATS with a 10 foot pole.
Spencer Limbach retweeted
NEW EPISODE 🚨
Top 3 College Football Bowl Upset Picks | December 19-27 ✅
@JasonLisk and @slimbach21 break down their favorite underdogs for College Football Bowl Season.
🔗 youtu.be/YUuK1VEQ60w
Spencer Limbach retweeted
NEW EPISODE 🚨
How to Win College Bowl Pick’em & Spread Pools in 2025–26
@JasonLisk & @slimbach21 break down Bowl Pick'em and Spread Pool Strategy ⤵️
🔗 youtu.be/X29jTHaFCC0
Spencer Limbach retweeted
In a CFB Bowl Pool this year?
Check out these 4 tips @ActionNetworkHQ before making your first pick.
We promise you’ll see the board differently 👀
actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/coll…
