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Veteran. Creative. Degen. Always building ⚙️🤙🏻🦅

Joined May 2017
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stapeski retweeted
Bombshell story. The spy narrative is collapsing already. Is there clear & convincing evidence that Alice Huang was a Chinese spy? - AG says no. (“no conclusions reached”). - CIA says no. (“not yet convinced”). - DNI says no (“not entirely accurate and over-torqued”). - Ranking Democrat on House Intelligence (incoming Chairman) says no. (“today, at least, I don’t know”). This was immediately after he was briefed. Who argues otherwise? Anonymous officials tell CNN “it strains credulity to believe that she was not acting as an agent of the Chinese government — simply by virtue of the fact that she is a successful Chinese businesswoman working with one of America’s most powerful companies.” This is their proof after a year of investigating and surveillance? That she was a “successful Chinese businesswoman”? At this point, the only crime that we know for sure happened is the leaking of the classified memo. Who did that and why? An investigation should be opened.
News: The US intel community is still working to understand the relationship between a Chinese businesswoman who had an affair with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and the Chinese government, with multiple sources telling CNN that the intelligence collected on her to date does not prove that she was acting as a spy for Beijing. cnn.com/2026/11/12/politics/…
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stapeski retweeted
Abolishing the electoral college would mean not knowing who won the presidency for 4 weeks while California keeps counting. No thanks.
🆘 Here they come America: Pete Buttigieg claims that the Electoral College “makes no sense” and should be abolished because it is a remnant of “some very arcane, parochial politics in the 1770s.”
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stapeski retweeted
Replying to @MEGAMAGAMONSTER
Yes. The Constitution authorizes calling forth the militia to repel invasions. Federal law includes most able-bodied male citizens ages 17-45 in the unorganized militia. States may engage in war if actually invaded without congressional consent. Under the law of war, inhabitants may spontaneously take up arms against invaders as a levée en masse, gaining combatant status if they carry arms openly and respect the rules. Individual self-defense also applies.
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88% of Nvidia employees surveyed on the anonymous workplace app Blind want Jensen Huang to remain CEO, per a poll of 232 verified employees.
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stapeski retweeted
A few hours ago, I wrote: "They're going to pull it off. Jensen Huang is going to be pushed out of Nvidia." It's done. Officially, Jensen Huang resigned. In reality, the board was getting ready to throw him out. Effective immediately. He's also leaving the board. The CFO is stepping in as interim CEO. The board is even considering bringing in an outside CEO. Thirty-three years. A company born in a Denny's, saved from bankruptcy more than once, turned into the most important company of the AI era. Wiped away in a week. Whatever you think of his private life, look at the mechanics. A scandal breaks. Pressure builds in Washington. Columnists demand his head. The board, which never prepared a successor, panics. The founder is out. And the man who fought the restrictions, who defended open models, who stood up to Washington, is gone. The playbook worked. And when a playbook works, it gets used again. The next target is Elon. Why him? Because he's now the last builder of that scale who holds the entire chain. Rockets, satellites, energy, robots, AI, and soon chips with Terafab. He's the only one who can build both the superintelligence and the rocket that carries it into space. And he just said publicly that hiring Jensen would be an honor. For those who want to slow everything down, there's no bigger target. But they have a problem. You don't fire Elon Musk the way you fire Jensen Huang. He holds voting control at SpaceX. No board can throw him out overnight. So they'll come at him another way. Regulators. Courts. Investigative committees. Government contracts. Media campaigns. Every weakness will be exploited, every mistake amplified, every procedure dragged out. They don't need to fire him. They just need to wear him down, slow him down, make every project ten times more expensive. Open your eyes, because this is going to move very fast. What we're living through right now isn't news. It's History. In twenty years, this week will be taught in schools. The day America, in the middle of the race to superintelligence against China, took the man who made the chips for the entire planet out of the race. And people will ask what happened next. The answer depends on what happens to Elon. And on what Jensen decides to do with the rest of his life. I'm standing by my prediction. We are living through History with a capital H.
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Jensen Huang cheating on his wife is reprehensible. But with a second alleged affair suddenly surfacing, something feels very off. Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates had affairs, yet neither faced this kind of immediate coordinated pressure to be ousted as CEO. Tech billionaires having affairs or women problems is not new. I feel as though someone is deliberately trying to destroy Jensen’s reputation and force him out of NVIDIA. Am I the only one who suspects something more coordinated is happening here?
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Jensen Huang and the Nvidia board just made a massive mistake. He should not have resigned. The board should have taken the time to conduct a thorough investigation, consult with shareholders, and carefully evaluate the long-term implications of this decision. There is no clear replacement for Jensen Huang, and we believe his departure will ultimately be a net negative for Nvidia, $NVDA, and its shareholders. This will go down as the most costly mistake of the AI Revolution.
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Our message to Nvidia's board: Do not fire Jensen Huang. There is no clear replacement for Jensen Huang. We are confident that his departure would ultimately be a net negative for Nvidia, its shareholders, and the AI Revolution. First, take a look at the data. History also suggests that removing a successful CEO will come with a significant cost. A study of 187 forced CEO departures from S&P 1500 companies found that removing outperforming CEOs resulted in negative long-term stock returns. This case would be no different, in our view. Jensen Huang is the definition of an outperforming CEO. Nvidia's board must not make a decision in the heat of the moment. The board should take the time to conduct a thorough investigation and consult with shareholders, with a strong emphasis on the latter. Quite literally, Nvidia's board should convene a special shareholder meeting and hold an advisory vote on this decision. This is the most consequential CEO controversy in world history. Shareholders deserve a say. In addition, Nvidia's stock, $NVDA, is now down -35% in 26 trading days, nearly half of which is a result of the recent scandal. We believe Jensen Huang's potential removal as CEO is now ~80% priced in. Why take an action with massive downside potential when the market has already priced in much of that risk? The downside of retaining Huang may be limited, while the potential upside is tremendous. Lastly, history shows that retaining Jensen Huang could still lead to a favorable outcome. In 2019, Amazon retained Jeff Bezos as CEO after his extramarital affair became public, and the company's stock subsequently surged +108% by 2021. Personal misconduct should not be ignored, but it must also be distinguished from corporate wrongdoing and weighed against the consequences of removing an executive who is instrumental to the company's success. We believe Jensen Huang is an irreplaceable part of Nvidia and the AI Revolution more broadly. Once the dust settles, firing Jensen Huang would prove to be a costly mistake. It is time to pause and consult your shareholders.
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Happy Veterans Day. 🇺🇸 "Homecoming Marine: The War Hero" - Norman Rockwell (1945)
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A huge share of young people now believe the problem is capitalism. In the US, 62% of 18 to 29 year olds have a favorable view of socialism. In France, far-left Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads among 18 to 25 year olds in every 2027 scenario. They're right about one thing: something is broken. They just have the wrong culprit. The problem isn't the market. It's the State. And only the State. Let's go back to the two crises they've been fed since school as proof that "capitalism collapses on its own." Start with 1929. They're told about crazed speculators on Wall Street. What they're not told: the Federal Reserve tightened in 1928 and 1929 to cool the stock market. Then, as banks failed one after another from 1930 on, it watched. It did nothing. Between 1929 and 1933, the US money supply collapsed by a third. Nearly a third of all banks vanished. A crash didn't cause the Great Depression. A central bank strangling the money supply did. And that's not me saying it. It's the Fed itself. In 2002, Ben Bernanke, future Fed chairman, addressed Milton Friedman on his 90th birthday: "Regarding the Great Depression. You're right, we did it. We're very sorry." Then the State piled on. The Smoot-Hawley tariffs in 1930, which helped crater world trade. A top marginal tax rate hiked from 25% to 63% in 1932. Then Roosevelt, in 1933, banned Americans from owning gold, bought it from them at $20.67 an ounce, and revalued it at $35 a few months later. A 40% devaluation with the stroke of a pen. Now 2008. Same story: greedy bankers, deregulation. Look instead at who was pulling the levers. After 2001, Greenspan cut the Fed's rate to 1% in June 2003, the lowest since 1958, and left it there for a year. Free money is a policy decision. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two giants of American mortgage lending, were creatures of the State, backed by an implicit taxpayer guarantee. Starting in 1992, Congress imposed "affordable housing" quotas on them. To meet them, they bought $700 billion in subprime securities between 1997 and 2007. In 2003, an internal Fannie memo admitted that because of those goals, it was taking risks it would never have taken otherwise. September 2008: both were placed under federal conservatorship. Then the State bailed out the banks with the money of people who had decided nothing. Privatize the profits, socialize the losses. That's not capitalism. It's the exact opposite. And behind all of it lies the original sin: they broke money. As long as the dollar was convertible into gold, the State couldn't print without limit. On August 15, 1971, Nixon closed the gold window. "Temporarily." Fifty-five years later, it has never reopened. Since then, the dollar has lost nearly 90% of its purchasing power. US federal debt went from about $400 billion to $40 trillion. A hundredfold. Mises and Hayek described all of this back in the 1920s: artificially cheap money creates booms that always end in busts. Hayek won the Nobel for it in 1974. Nobody listened. When you can print, you stop making trade-offs. You spend, you inflate bubbles, and when they burst, you print more to put out the fire. Every bailout sets up the next crisis. That's the real mechanism. A central bank setting the price of money the way Gosplan set the price of bread. Governments guaranteeing risk to buy votes. A currency diluted to pay for all of it. And every time it blows up, the same defendant: the market. Young people are right to be angry. Housing is out of reach, their savings are melting, their future is mortgaged by debts they never voted for. But capitalism didn't do this to them. What replaced it did. You don't cure poisoning by raising the dose.
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Democrats are going to attempt to END the Electoral College through the ‘National Popular Vote Interstate Compact’ Under the compact, participating states would award all their electors to the national popular vote winner instead of the candidate who won their state. Democrats claim they have enough governors and legislatures to reach the threshold. This would make smaller and swing states irrelevant effectively rigging the system so Democrats could never lose again. This is insane.
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BREAKING: The Constitutionality Index has now scored every law in the history of the United States. 48,000 laws dating back to 1789. So far as I'm aware, I'm the first one to ever attempt such a thing. And we've now ranked every president based on the percentage of laws they enacted were constitutional. The results largely track the overall historical trend: As we move from the founding to the modern era, the percentage of unconstitutional legislation increases. In fact, 1937 is the tipping point. Pre-FDR's New Deal, every president — Federalist, Whig, Republican, Democrat — scores 98 to 100%. After the New Deal, the average percentage of constitutional laws (by page) drops to 31 percent. As a result, presidents of the last few decades find themselves at the bottom of the rankings. @JoeBiden is officially the least constitutional president, although Trump isn't far behind. Only Thomas Jefferson scored a perfect 100 percent. I've also scored congresses, & @SpeakerJohnson's current Congress is, from the perspective of the Constitution, the worst Congress in American history. Constitutional legislation stands at 56.3 by total count, & just 4.3% by total legislative pages. Another important finding: The largest laws in American history are, every one of them, unconstitutional. Check it out & let me know what you think. (Links below)
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BREAKING: The French writer Michel Houellebecq has been placed under formal investigation by an investigating judge. He is suspected of “complicity in incitement to discrimination, hatred, or violence” based on remarks about The Great Replacement and Muslims in a November 2022 interview with the philosopher Michel Onfray forthe magazine Front Populaire. In the interview, Houellebecq (author of Submission and other novels) described Muslims as a threat to the security of “Français de souche” (native French people of French origin). He said the wish of that population was not for Muslims to assimilate, but for them to stop robbing and attacking French people, or to leave the country. He also spoke of possible future “Bataclan in reverse” attacks targeting Muslims (referring to the 2015 Islamist attacks in Paris) and stated that the “great replacement” (the theory associated with Renaud Camus about demographic change in Europe) was not a theory but a statistical fact. The case stems from criminal complaints filed in January 2023 by the Union of Mosques of France (UMF). Houellebecq’s lawyers have rejected the charges, arguing the remarks contain no direct or indirect call to action and are protected by freedom of opinion and expression.
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We Made a Zombie Game You Won’t Want to Play...
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🚨 JUST IN: Former Clarence Thomas clerk John Yoo just RIPPED APART Democrats' planned legal weaponization against Chief of Staff Stephen Miller "You CAN'T really go after Stephen Miller." "Stephen Miller, and in fact all White House aides, may have a constitutional privilege NOT to appear before Congress because the Supreme Court has recognized that privilege extends to the discussion between the president and his highest aides." 🔥 "There's a long tradition. White House aides do NOT have to testify before Congress because they're just acting as part of the White House." "Congress doesn't just have a FISHING PERMIT to conduct investigations of whoever it wants for whatever reason." 🎯 So what, they're going to spend their midterm win on trying relentlessly to persecute STEPHEN MILLER? Because Miller wants to deport illegal aliens and enforce laws CONGRESS PASSED? What a freaking JOKE. It's Miller time as of today and they aren't getting past AG Todd Blanche!
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stapeski retweeted
Requiring MBAs to progress up the private equity / private credit ladder is absolutely useless If you were in banking and PE before business school, you’re essentially paying ~$300K to party, travel the world with your cohorts, and occasionally do some school work Nothing substantive to becoming a better investor If anything, forcing good associates to get an MBA is detrimental because it will filter out the high agency individuals who will realize the performative rat race isn’t worth it and just go roll up HVACs or launch their own startups instead
Overheard at Gallagher's from a table of private credit VPs: "An MBA is optional for making partner now. The real requirement is having a deal that PIKed and calling it a 'relationship'."
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Hegseth, speaking on Iran, said: "We lost 60,000 Americans in Vietnam over 20 years. We lost 37,000 in Korea in just three years. That many humans are lost on the front lines of Ukraine and Russia every month. Epic Fury has never been that, and it never will be."
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The Constitution does not authorize impeachment for a Secretary carrying out the orders of the Executive. That would give Congress direct power over Executive functions
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Article II, Section 4 subjects all civil Officers, including Cabinet secretaries, to impeachment for high crimes and misdemeanors. No exception for following presidential orders. Belknap (1876) and Mayorkas (2024) were impeached. constitution.congress.gov/browse/article… senate.gov/about/powers-p…
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stapeski retweeted
Has Pete Hegseth committed impeachable crimes? The question is absurd and the answer is: obviously not. Like so much of Congress, impeachment has become a ridiculous show that stands in for actual policymaking. Congress has so many tools for registering its policy disagreements. Rather than use them, they're going to try to impeach Pete Hegseth. They did the same to Donald Trump. Legislation is hard. Impeachments are easy (and ultimately, inconsequential). The irony is that legislators are most angry at Pete on the issues where he's most correct: repositioning forces away from Europe/Ukraine and reorganizing the general officer corps. This isn't about Iran, this is about the fact that Pete took on the bureaucracy at the Pentagon.
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