Crossing another idea off my idea board. This is fantastic.

1997-98 DJF has the highest correlation of all analogs, by far

El Niño snowfall patterns 1950-2026. I anticipate a lot of “winter cancel” opinions after Christmas, but the party will just be getting started! History says interior Northeast first, then the coast follows late season.

Alternative facts. Cooper is beloved in NC. Easy win.

You found this many people addicted to daily use of Afrin?

That’s JFM, here’s DJF using the SFS hindcast climo.

@WeatherBoyTyler @TDSwx

AI is very bad at visually analyzing and interpreting anomalies

My map. The SFS is by far the snowiest solution out there. Probably very incorrect.

several iembot accounts look to be posting live now xitter.cf/search?q=iembot&src=ty…

Tried my best! Any other suggestions or feedback I’d love to hear it George!

Someone is going to get absolutely pasted in February though

@grok please explain this to Ed

Full CONUS El Niño patterns based on teleconnection phase. Bookmark for this winter!

Unless your account is solely for informing people, like an official NWS account, sharing maps for engagement is what X is for.

If you have a name of a specific statistical test I’ll run it on my data. I’ve done most. Unfortunately the closest stat sig p values are with -AO which is probably the most obvious anyway without even doing the tests. And I’ve tested 16 other parterns, MJO, TNH, nothing I’ve found so far is worth displaying but the teleconnections listed on the site. The most obvious background states are the ones driving the snow usually.

Sooo best climate but you only map temperature and no rain, excluding humidity, clouds, wind and lows?

We would probably need a bigger sample size, this is only 27 Niño winters back to 1950. And honestly I wouldn’t want to go back to the 1800s because then you’re getting into an entirely different climatology and it probably wouldn’t survive any kind of sig tests