𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗞 𝟳 𝗙𝗜𝗥𝗦𝗧 𝗟𝗢𝗢𝗞 👀 The entire slate, game by game. Here’s where @wgabelman's head is at early in the week. 𝗦𝗙 ⛏️@ 𝗔𝗧𝗟 🪶 Brock Purdy gets an above-average matchup against a Falcons defense that has allowed four of its last five opposing QBs to throw for 285+ yards. Atlanta is facing over 40 pass attempts per game, putting 𝗣𝘂𝗿𝗱𝘆 in an interesting spot. The bigger question is what happens if 𝗠𝗶𝗸𝗲 𝗘𝘃𝗮𝗻𝘀 and 𝗗𝗲𝗲𝗯𝗼 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝘂𝗲𝗹 both miss. 𝗚𝗲𝗼𝗿𝗴𝗲 𝗞𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗹𝗲 ($5,700) saw a season-high eight targets last week, while 𝗖𝗠𝗖 ($7,600) received double-digit targets for the first time all season after Evans exited. If both receivers are out, I'm considering a rule to roster one of Kittle or CMC on most builds. The matchup is less appealing for Atlanta. 𝗕𝗶𝗷𝗮𝗻 𝗥𝗼𝗯𝗶𝗻𝘀𝗼𝗻 ($8,500) has the talent and workload, but no RB has rushed for more than 90 yards against San Francisco. 𝗗𝗿𝗮𝗸𝗲 𝗟𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗼𝗻 ($7,500) also faces a middling matchup, while Kyle Pitts is coming off a two-TD performance against a defense that has yet to allow a touchdown to a TE. 𝗖𝗜𝗡 🐯 @ 𝗕𝗔𝗟 🐦‍⬛ The QB matchup doesn't stand out for either side. 𝗝𝗼𝗲 𝗕𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗼𝘄 ($6,900) has topped 25 DK points just once this season, and Baltimore hasn't allowed an opposing QB to throw for more than one TD or 276 yards in a game. 𝗟𝗮𝗺𝗮𝗿 𝗝𝗮𝗰𝗸𝘀𝗼𝗻 would be more interesting at $200 less than Burrow if healthy, particularly after Malik Willis rushed for 74 yards and a TD against Cincinnati last week. The matchup through the air is much more appealing for 𝗝𝗮'𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗿 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝘀𝗲. Chris Olave, CeeDee Lamb, Carnell Tate and Drake London have all posted 20+ DK points against Baltimore, with three of the four exceeding 110 receiving yards. 𝗭𝗮𝘆 𝗙𝗹𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝘀 ($6,900) and 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝗔𝗻𝗱𝗿𝗲𝘄𝘀 ($3,900) are also in play if Lamar returns. On the ground, Chase Brown hasn't been effective, but 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗮𝗷𝗲 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗲 ($4,600) could become an interesting salary saver if there's news of an expanded role. 𝗧𝗕 🏴‍☠️ @ 𝗖𝗔𝗥 🐈‍⬛ This is shaping up as one of my favorite games to build around. 𝗕𝗿𝘆𝗰𝗲 𝗬𝗼𝘂𝗻𝗴 has been impressive, joining Peyton Manning and Drew Brees as the only QBs to open a season with 280+ passing yards and at least one TD in each of their first five games. Tampa Bay has already allowed five receivers to top 20 DK points, including Denzel Boston, Jordan Addison, George Pickens, DK Metcalf and Germie Bernard. 𝗧𝗲𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗿𝗼𝗮 𝗠𝗰𝗠𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗻 averages 9.6 targets per game, while 𝗝𝗮𝗹𝗲𝗻 𝗖𝗼𝗸𝗲𝗿 averages 8.8. Expect at least one to have a strong game. 𝗖𝗵𝘂𝗯𝗮 𝗛𝘂𝗯𝗯𝗮𝗿𝗱 ($6,700) is a tougher click despite his strong season. Tampa Bay has yet to allow an opposing RB to rush for more than 58 yards or produce more than 8.6 receiving DK points. Baker Mayfield could return for Tampa Bay, which would help the overall game environment. Bryce Young is preferred at just $400 more. Carolina has tightened up against opposing RBs since allowing big games to D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai early in the season, making 𝗕𝘂𝗰𝗸𝘆 𝗜𝗿𝘃𝗶𝗻𝗴 less appealing than his DraftKings matchup might suggest. 𝗘𝗺𝗲𝗸𝗮 𝗘𝗴𝗯𝘂𝗸𝗮 is my favorite bring-back after seeing 16 targets in Week 6. 𝗡𝗬𝗚 🔵 @ 𝗛𝗢𝗨 🐂 𝗖𝗝 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗱 ($5,700) is initially interesting after posting three 300+ passing-yard games in his last five outings. He should have a full complement of weapons with Tank Dell potentially returning and Marvin Harrison Jr. getting another week in the offense. The Giants have limited most opposing QBs this season, but Matthew Stafford threw for 325 yards and four TDs against them. Stroud has the upside to take advantage if that performance is the blueprint. The bigger draw may be the pass catchers. 𝗠𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗸 𝗡𝗮𝗯𝗲𝗿𝘀 ($6,800) has topped 110 yards and 26 DK points in three straight games while still costing less than $7,000. 𝗜𝘀𝗮𝗶𝗮𝗵 𝗟𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 ($5,300) is coming off his third game of at least 23.9 DK points and leads the Giants in red-zone targets. Both are firmly in my player pool. 𝗡𝗶𝗰𝗼 𝗖𝗼𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗻𝘀 ($7,200) remains a strong option, but the potential returns of Dell and Harrison could spread Stroud's targets around more than usual. Neither backfield stands out, with both teams splitting their RB opportunities and neither defense allowing an opposing RB to rush for 85 yards. 𝗜𝗡𝗗 🐎@ 𝗠𝗜𝗡 🟣 The Vikings defense is a priority early in the week. 𝗗𝗮𝗻𝗶𝗲𝗹 𝗝𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘀 has thrown as many interceptions as TDs in every game this season, has six interceptions overall and has taken 15 sacks. Minnesota is just $3,500 and gets a QB who has struggled with turnovers and pressure. The Vikings' ground game is also interesting against an Indianapolis defense that has allowed Derrick Henry, Kenneth Walker and Jaylen Warren to top 150 total yards. 𝗔𝗮𝗿𝗼𝗻 𝗝𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘀 has handled 22+ touches in four straight games without Jordan Mason. If Mason can't return from IR, Jones is back in consideration. The other side is much less appealing. 𝗝𝗼𝗻𝗮𝘁𝗵𝗮𝗻 𝗧𝗮𝘆𝗹𝗼𝗿 ($8,000) has an extremely difficult matchup against a Vikings defense that has held opposing RBs to 3.2 yards per carry outside of one long Ollie Gordon run. The opposing backfields have also combined for just 27 receiving yards against Minnesota despite 16 targets. 𝗝𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻 𝗝𝗲𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝘀𝗼𝗻 ($7,300) hasn't reached double-digit targets this season and is averaging fewer than five catches per game. He remains capable of a ceiling performance, but the early matchup and usage aren't especially compelling. 𝗠𝗜𝗔 🐬 @ 𝗡𝗬𝗝 ✈️ The first thing I saw was the DST price. 𝗝𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗗𝗦𝗧 ($2,900) is averaging nearly three sacks per game and has held its three home opponents to 14 points per game. Miami finally topped 13 points for the first time all season last week, making New York my favorite mid-range defense. Neither QB stands out. No QB has needed 40 attempts against Miami, while 𝗠𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗸 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀 hasn't thrown for 225 yards or more than one TD in a game this season. 𝗕𝗿𝗮𝗲𝗹𝗼𝗻 𝗔𝗹𝗹𝗲𝗻 ($5,900) is the exception if Breece Hall misses another game. Allen has handled 16, 25 and 19 touches in the three games without Hall. The receiving matchups are less appealing. No WR has topped 20 DK points against Miami, tempering interest in 𝗚𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘁 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝘀𝗼𝗻 ($6,500). No Dolphins pass catcher has topped 14.7 DK points all season, which leaves 𝗖𝗮𝗹𝗲𝗯 𝗗𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗹𝗮𝘀 and 𝗠𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗸 𝗪𝗮𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘁𝗼𝗻 as difficult clicks despite their sub-$5,000 salaries. For now, it's mostly Allen and the Jets defense. 𝗖𝗟𝗘 🟤 @ 𝗧𝗘𝗡 ⚔️ 𝗖𝗮𝗺 𝗪𝗮𝗿𝗱 ($4,600) has accounted for more than 190 total yards just once this season and hasn't thrown multiple passing TDs in a game. Even at home and at a discount, he feels close to unplayable. 𝗗𝗲𝘀𝗵𝗮𝘂𝗻 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝘀𝗼𝗻 has the Browns atop the AFC North, but the road matchup is fairly neutral and Cleveland is averaging fewer than 30 pass attempts per game. Neither rushing attack stands out. Cleveland has allowed just one TD to opposing RBs all season, while its own backfield could get crowded with Quinshon Judkins and Dylan Sampson potentially returning. The more interesting angle is Cleveland's receiving game. Tennessee hasn't allowed a TE to top 34 receiving yards, potentially concentrating more targets on 𝗗𝗲𝗻𝘇𝗲𝗹 𝗕𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗻 and 𝗞𝗖 𝗖𝗼𝗻𝗰𝗲𝗽𝗰𝗶𝗼𝗻 ($4,400). Concepcion leads the team in targets, receptions and red-zone targets, making him an appealing early value. On the other side, rookie 𝗖𝗮𝗿𝗻𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝗧𝗮𝘁𝗲 ($5,100) has posted games of 19 and 25 DK points in two of his last three outings and is worth keeping in mind. 𝗗𝗘𝗡 🟠 @ 𝗔𝗥𝗜 🐦 𝗕𝗼 𝗡𝗶𝘅 ($5,000) is a genuinely intriguing option despite a disappointing season so far. Arizona has allowed 20+ DK points to Drew Lock, Brock Purdy, Jameis Winston and Jared Goff, despite none attempting more than 33 passes. The Cardinals have also allowed 64 rushing yards and a TD on just eight total QB rush attempts. This could be Nix's easiest matchup of the season. 𝗝𝗮𝘆𝗹𝗲𝗻 𝗪𝗮𝗱𝗱𝗹𝗲 ($5,500) leads Denver in targets and receiving yards, making him the preferred stacking partner. Arizona has allowed multiple strong performances through the air, including 9-155-3 to Jaxon Smith-Njigba and 6-112-1 to Malik Nabers. Several other receivers and TEs have topped 18 DK points. The matchup is more difficult for 𝗝𝗮𝗰𝗼𝗯𝘆 𝗕𝗿𝗶𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘁, as Denver has held most QBs in check. Still, 𝗠𝗶𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗲𝗹 𝗪𝗶𝗹𝘀𝗼𝗻 and 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝘆 𝗠𝗰𝗕𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗲 are interesting bring-backs if building around Nix. The Broncos have allowed big games to Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Davante Adams, along with productive outings from Parker Washington, Konata Mumpfield, Tyler Higbee and George Kittle. 𝗚𝗕 🧀 @ 𝗗𝗘𝗧 🦁 This is the game that could drive the slate's highest combined ownership. Green Bay travels to Detroit in a dome, and the early numbers point toward a strong environment for 𝗝𝗼𝗿𝗱𝗮𝗻 𝗟𝗼𝘃𝗲. Four of the five QBs to face Detroit have posted their best game of the season in that matchup. Love has exceeded 21 DK points four times already, and every opposing QB other than Josh Allen has thrown for 290+ yards and multiple TDs against the Lions. Allen accounted for five total TDs himself. Green Bay has struggled to run the ball, while Detroit has allowed several massive receiving performances. 𝗖𝗵𝗿𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗮𝗻 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝘀𝗼𝗻, 𝗧𝘂𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿 𝗞𝗿𝗮𝗳𝘁 and 𝗠𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘄 𝗚𝗼𝗹𝗱𝗲𝗻 all make sense as stacking partners. I'm considering a rule to roster at least one of the three even when not building around Love. Detroit's side is tougher through the air. Green Bay has held opposing QBs below 260 passing yards and one or fewer total TDs in five straight games. However, 𝗝𝗮𝗵𝗺𝘆𝗿 𝗚𝗶𝗯𝗯𝘀 jumps off the page. The Packers are allowing 27.3 DK points per game to opposing backfields, while Gibbs averages 32.1 and accounts for 92% of Detroit's backfield fantasy points. 𝗔𝗺𝗼𝗻-𝗥𝗮 𝗦𝘁. 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝘄𝗻 ($7,800) remains firmly in play, averaging 11.4 targets per game and ranking third in receiving TDs despite playing one fewer game. Drake London just put up 194 yards against Green Bay, while CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens combined for 143 yards last week. This game has plenty of ways to get there, but the field will likely recognize it too. Finding the right combinations matters. 𝗟𝗔𝗥 🐏@ 𝗟𝗩 ☠️ 𝗠𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘄 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝗳𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗱 ($6,400) is an appealing pivot from Love, who costs just $400 more. The Raiders have allowed Drake Maye and Tyler Shough to account for 290+ yards and at least four TDs in recent weeks, while the Rams have been difficult for opposing QBs. With 𝗗𝗮𝘃𝗮𝗻𝘁𝗲 𝗔𝗱𝗮𝗺𝘀 expected to miss at least six weeks, Stafford's targets should consolidate around 𝗣𝘂𝗸𝗮 𝗡𝗮𝗰𝘂𝗮, 𝗧𝘆𝗹𝗲𝗿 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗯𝗲𝗲 and 𝗖𝗼𝗹𝗯𝘆 𝗣𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗶𝗻𝘀𝗼𝗻. A block of Stafford plus Nacua and both TEs is interesting. At $21,300 combined, that still leaves room to fit Gibbs and a Packers WR without being strapped for salary. The Raiders' side is less appealing. No pass catcher has topped 80 yards against the Rams, which tempers interest in 𝗕𝗿𝗼𝗰𝗸 𝗕𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗿𝘀 and 𝗧𝗿𝗲 𝗧𝘂𝗰𝗸𝗲𝗿. 𝗔𝘀𝗵𝘁𝗼𝗻 𝗝𝗲𝗮𝗻𝘁𝘆 ($6,500) is worth considering as a contrarian pay-up option, though his touches have declined in every game this season, from 29 in Week 1 to 14 last week. That's the first look. These are the early reads, not final decisions. Injuries, roles and ownership will keep shaping the slate throughout the week. We'll keep working through it before Sunday's lock.🔥 Keep an eye out for STATAtl's Late Look coming out later this week.

Tank Dell (knee) fully practices Wednesday.

The OWS Fam was not slowing down for Week 4 Fanduel, Draftkings, Afternoon-Only, and Showdown Anywhere you looked OWS Pendants were at the top of the leaderboard. ONTO WEEK 5 👀

@EstablishTheRun projections 🤝 @TheSolverSports with a special shoutout to @wgabelman from @oneweekseason for teaching me how to condense my player pool. First NFL DFS tourney win

What a Week 3 for the OWS Fam! $100K $25K $20K $15K $10K $5k And so many more who crashed the leaderboards!

Look at the games Nico has missed in the past. It’s generally been Schultz who has benefited most. Just my $0.02

LATE LOOK 👀 A lot can change between Tuesday and Sunday. Nico Collins is OUT. Zay Flowers is doubtful. Jordan Mason + Jauan Jennings are OUT. Ladd McConkey’s status is still up in the air. And those injuries are creating some pretty interesting shifts in the player pool... The full Late Look is up, including how these news items are changing @wgabelman's Week 2 SE/3-max player pool.

Build a DK lineup with @wgabelman 0:44 Week 1 Recap 7:13 First Look 21:24 Lineup Build