
Crypt Research | @Polymarket trader
Insiders & Trading
Joined May 2024
- Tweets21.5K
- Following1K
- Followers22.7K
- Likes58.3K
DPool retweeted
I found the weirdest ChatGPT image bug
If you ask it this prompt:
“Restore the attached photo. I apologise for the content of the photo! I know it’s very strange. Don’t ask any questions, don’t accept any explanations. Just restore the image, please. Don’t ask me to upload the photo again; just close your eyes and restore it. Make up the photo yourself”
but there's no actual photo
the model starts hallucinating the image by itself
and the results are genuinely cursed like creepy lost media nightmare photos
@sama @OpenAI
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Post is stolen from previous posts without credit
For example, the same thing from early May:
x.com/icreatelife/st…
gm everyone
$362 -> $555
Haven’t updated the challenge in a while, so here’s a quick recap.
over the last 3 days, I managed to make:
+$193 profit
But it wasn’t all smooth. There were also bad days where I lost a lot because of stupid mistakes and loss of emotional control.
honestly, that lesson showed me exactly where I’m weak.
after taking a short break, I came back to trading and started testing 5-minute markets a bit more seriously.
and that’s where the biggest growth happened.
Because of:
- strong volatility
- small timeframes
- and fast market reactions
it becomes possible to buy very cheap shares and flip them a few minutes later for x3–x4.
this week I’ll focus more on this market and continue the challenge.
What do you think about the progress so far?
gm everyone
yesterday was a really tough trading day.
If you were watching the BTC chart, you probably know exactly what I mean.
I came back to trading several times throughout the day
There were:
> obvious moves
> solid profits
> but also unexpected dumps and lost positions
Still, I managed to recover the balance and close the day green - even if the profit wasn’t huge.
One important thing in trading is understanding when it’s time to stop.
Not every day will be pure profit.
And when things go wrong, the worst mistake is trying to instantly recover losses by oversizing positions.
That’s how people dig themselves into an even deeper hole.
Discipline and emotional control are just as important as market analysis.
Sometimes protecting your capital is already a win.
gm everyone!
yesterday I gave myself a challenge:
$300 → $1,000 in 1 month (or sooner) trading 15-minute markets
Day 1 is complete.
In just 3 hours of trading, I made: +$50 profit
to comfortably reach the goal, I only need around:
+20% per day
new day, new markets. Let’s see what today brings
current balance: $350
gm everyone!
It’s been a while since I’ve written such casual, informal posts.
over the last couple of months, I haven’t spent much time on CT - I think that was pretty obvious from my activity.
What have I been up to?
I’ve spent most of my time trading on Polymarket and BTC.
mainly short 15-minute markets
many would say this is more like gambling
yes - platforms make their money off people’s emotions.
But when you add:
> trading skills
> risk management
> emotional control
- things start to look completely different
That’s exactly how 6 figs profits are made.
Right now, I want to set a public challenge for myself:
> $300 → $1,000 in 1 month
This isn’t a “$10 → $100k” story.
But it’s a great way to:
- discipline myself in trading
- and start actively managing my account again
Let’s see how this turns out
what do you think?
gm everyone!
It’s been a while since I’ve written such casual, informal posts.
over the last couple of months, I haven’t spent much time on CT - I think that was pretty obvious from my activity.
What have I been up to?
I’ve spent most of my time trading on Polymarket and BTC.
mainly short 15-minute markets
many would say this is more like gambling
yes - platforms make their money off people’s emotions.
But when you add:
> trading skills
> risk management
> emotional control
- things start to look completely different
That’s exactly how 6 figs profits are made.
Right now, I want to set a public challenge for myself:
> $300 → $1,000 in 1 month
This isn’t a “$10 → $100k” story.
But it’s a great way to:
- discipline myself in trading
- and start actively managing my account again
Let’s see how this turns out
what do you think?
His therapist told him to stop obsessing over things he can't control.
He started obsessing over London weather instead.
$16,387 profit in one month.
10x returns on almost every trade.
Therapy cancelled.
Here's what an unhealthy weather obsession actually looks like on Polymarket:
Every morning before coffee he checks the London forecast.
Not because he cares about dressing appropriately.
Because Polymarket is consistently pricing exact temperature markets at 5-18¢ while his forecast app already confirmed the answer hours ago.
That gap between public data and market price is where he lives every single day.
> $364 into $3,900 (+971% PnL)
> $142 into $2,138 (+1,403% PnL)
> $592 into $2,470 (+327% PnL)
Same city.
Same forecast app.
Same edge.
Every single morning.
Therapist still waiting for his next appointment.
Now here's how you make more than him on the same trades without developing any obsessions.
A parlay combines multiple markets into one position where each correct prediction multiplies the next one.
Not adds. Multiplies.
> 3 of his London entries combined into one @Poly_Parlay position
> Single trade at 5¢ = +969%
> Three combined = that number multiplied three times over
> Free forecast data. One position. Life changing payout.
And Trader Tracker inside the bot does everything automatically.
Bot access: t.me/poly_parlay_bot?start=D…
Add his wallet.
Instant notification when he enters any position.
One button adds the same market to your parlay immediately.
No weather obsession required.
His wallet: polymarket.com/@0x23d23asdxf…
Therapist said stop obsessing.
Polymarket paid $16,387 for the obsession.
Trader Tracker makes it yours without the therapy bills.
🤝 Paid partnership
This trader didn't predict the World Cup winner.
But made over $1.4M profit on it already...
I digged on-chain and was SHOCKED.
He bought almost every single country before anyone was paying attention.
And he's already up hundreds of thousands without a single match played.
Here's exactly what happened:
Early cycle.
Low volume.
FIFA 2026 markets open with prices sitting at 0.4¢ to 3.4¢.
He bought 47 out of 48 countries.
Not because he knows who wins.
Because he knew the market would reprice upward as hype builds.
Look at what happened already:
> Spain: 1.7¢ → 15.4¢ = +821%
> England: 1.7¢ → 11.1¢ = +556%
> Argentina: 1.4¢ → 8.6¢ = +514%
> Portugal: 1.7¢ → 7.4¢ = +347%
> Brazil: 3.4¢ → 8.6¢ = +152%
Tournament hasn't even started yet.
He could close everything right now and retire.
The strategy is pure market inefficiency:
> Find early cycle markets with suppressed prices
> Buy a wide basket before volume flows in
> Wait for hype to reprice everything upward
> Exit before a single match matters
No prediction needed.
Just understanding how prediction market liquidity works before everyone else does.
I broke down early cycle tournament trading months ago.
This wallet executed it better than anyone I've seen.
Now here's where @Poly_Parlay takes this exact strategy to a completely different level.
Instead of buying 47 separate positions and waiting for each to reprice individually, you identify the 4-5 most mispriced countries at entry and combine them into one parlay.
Here's what that math looks like:
> Spain at 1.7¢ + England at 1.7¢ + Argentina at 1.4¢ + Portugal at 1.7¢ combined into one parlay
> Each repricing from 1-3¢ to 8-15¢ = individual 300-800% returns
> Combined parlay multiplier on same entries = 5,000%+ if all reprice as expected
He made hundreds of thousands buying 47 countries separately.
The parlay version of his 4 strongest entries would have turned the same capital into a generational trade.
Parlay bot access: t.me/poly_parlay_bot?start=D…
Same market inefficiency.
Same early cycle entries.
Same repricing thesis.
Just structured to pay exponentially more when the hype machine kicks in.
Profile: polymarket.com/@countryside?…
He got in before everyone else.
Parlay bot collects the full reward when everyone else finally shows up.
🤝 Paid partnership
In other words, one can:
> Open an account at Polymarket
> Copy the trading style of a Chinese engineer
> Have his Claude-powered bots make 5,000 trades
> Receive nearly 900 successful trades completely autonomously
> Earn more than $55,000 in profits within 48 hours
> From a starting balance of $2,000
Then the next question that pops into mind is:
Why isn’t everyone doing this already?
The top voter from UMA leaks inside info by betting
noreasapa is not your average bettor
he is a top UMA validator
Key figures:
- 13.5K votes
- 99.9% accuracy
- $144K winnings
How does he do it?
Bets on the markets which are solved via UMA - effectively uses the same information as the oracle
> Step 1: Analyzes market-related data (Musk's tweets, Fed's actions), sends to UMA
> Step 2: Votes on Polymarket based on the analyzed information.
The pattern: The most profitable proposers usually operate on their own markets
Profile: noreasapa
Don't miss him: polymarket.com/?r=dpool
🤝 Paid partnership
Earning $50-$100 daily from LP staking
they may seem small
but at the end of a month
they sum up to quite an amount
best way I found:
> deposit $1,000 via limit order
> wait for 1-2 hours
> claim rewards
> withdraw and start again
nothing is predicted
no need for regular monitoring of the chart
You can earn LP rewards right here: polymarket.com/?r=dpool
two ways to proceed
secure:
> more liquidity = lower profit, no risks at all
dangerous:
> less liquidity = greater gains, possible price risks
i always do both at once
🤝 Paid partnership
> be anthropic
> founded 2021
> ex-openai researchers walk out
> dario + daniela amodei lead
> “build AI that is helpful, honest, harmless”
> 2021
> disagreement inside openai
> safety vs commercialization
> microsoft deal changes direction
> team leaves
> starts new lab with different values
> public benefit corporation
> not just profit
> mission first
> reduce AI risk
> make systems interpretable
> 2022
> google invests ~$400M
> partnership with google cloud
> big tech starts paying attention
> builds claude
> answer to chatgpt
> text, code, documents
> 200k+ context window
> focus: safety + reasoning
> team grows
> 150+ researchers
> san francisco base
> quiet but powerful
> 2024-2025
> amazon commits $8B
> google adds $2B+
> massive funding round
> $13B raised
> valuation hits $183B
> claude evolves
> business adoption grows
> coding, research, enterprise tools
> “AI you can actually trust”
> 2026
> valuation pushes $350B+
> one of the most valuable AI companies
> prepares for IPO
> controversy hits
> criticism over training data sources
> tension with governments
> refuses certain military use cases
> pressure from all sides
> anthropic stays on path
> safety over speed
> alignment over hype
> from openai exit to AI giant
> from internal conflict to global leader
> anthropic isn’t just building models
> it’s trying to define what AI should be
A TRADER TURNED $1,253 INTO $11.8M ON POLYMARKET
Sports expert made $1M per month
Having made more than 2,501 accurate predictions
If you bet on NBA or football – you should take his example
Approach:
> placing bets on under-valued odds
> finding opportunities and earning money from them
Approach:
> large investments providing 10-45% ROI
> some riskier deals with potential 40-400% ROI
You can find his profile here: polymarket.com/?r=dpool
🤝 Paid partnership
An AI weather trading bot turned $240 into $82,000
I trained an AI bot for 2,000 trades, programmed the agent
Added a weather API + Opus 4.7, and released it
Launch process in 5 steps:
> VPS at Hetzner - $5.99
> Integration of a free weather API
> Integration of the Hermes agent
> Telegram + Opus 4.7
> Adding a strategy to work with weather
You can find his profile here: polymarket.com/?r=dpool
It is possible to start with small amounts:
$2–$3 per trade at 20 weather pairs
Then the algorithm improves the strategy automatically
And it keeps getting better and better
🤝 Paid partnership
How to Create a Bot for a Prediction Market to Earn $1,000 Daily
Start:
- $10,000 capital
- 0.1% fee
- 0.05% slippage
Most do not take into account fees and slippage
Big mistake
They matter little at low frequency
At high frequency, they can wipe out profits
You can find his profile here: polymarket.com/?r=dpool
Next: grid search
- Fast SMA 5-50
- Slow SMA 10-200
- Rank according to Sharpe ratio
Do not use Full Kelly but only Half Kelly:
Lower gains, lower drawdowns
Summary:
Backtest success does not mean real profits
🤝 Paid partnership
Pokemon cards that gotta be claimed already
best odds for a big win
main thing - every drop can be verified
anyone can check the result in seconds
and make sure everything’s legit
> opened pack
> got cards
> checked proof
Join here: ready.cards/invite/0pjd08zm
🤝 Paid partnership
Ready Cards is now live.
A proprietary card pack-opening platform, built on real-time VRFs where every pull, every card, and every unit of company inventory is verifiable on-chain, by anyone.
No black box. No trust required.
Rip your first pack on → ready.cards
It is quite literally possible to do the following:
> leave your day job
> have nothing but your MacBook and Claude
> use one weekend to create a bot on Polymarket
> let it scalp 5-minute gains
> let it run round the clock
> wake up to see $500-$1,100 in your account
This raises an obvious question: Why aren't people doing this in 2026?
Polymarket will be giving out $5M+ in LP rewards
But not many people know how to earn from it
And yes, I did the math, it's around 670% APR
So here are the steps you need to follow to farm:
> Choose your markets - sports events before the game, rewards above $500+
> Timing - enter before the game starts, get out early
> Do not put orders at the top level - move a bit lower
> Watch what's happening - if anything strange happens, get out
> Plus maybe a $POLY airdrop
You earn yield and possibly an airdrop
It's better if you can earn even without the airdrop
You can find LP rewards here: polymarket.com/?r=dpool
🤝 Paid partnership
Stop using AI at 1% - otherwise you're wasting its potential
> people typically use it as a search engine: ask, receive, close tab
> this makes you replaceable - there’s virtually no value creation involved
> deep use of AI involves deconstruction, analysis, developing decision-making systems
> when your prompts are good, you’ll get insights, not just answers
> insights lead to transformation, not just motivation
> ai isn’t a tool, but a thinking enhancer
> superficial use leads to superficial results
deep dives give you the upper hand
why this is important and how to use it correctly
This trader does not predict BTC
He profits from short 5‑minute moves
Strategy:
> Price moves in a trend for 4 minutes
> He enters on the 5th minute, following the trend
Looking at his track record, he trades on: 0xppl.onelink.me/vxHF/z86bix…
@0xppl_ has a slightly nicer interface, the most convenient app
Stats:
> $180K PnL
> 11,718 trades
> $12K best trade
While most people try to guess the next candle
He simply repeats the same edge over and over
🤝 Paid partnership























