Climate scientist interested in theory of how atmospheres work, exoplanets.
New York, NY
Joined April 2013
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Putting aside Elon’s abhorrent ways, we’re entering uncharted historic waters where a handful of people will control global geopolitics, war outcomes, humanitarian aid, election results, and people are still talking about private companies in the same way as the cake baker.
Correct.
Using Starlink, a civilian commercial service, for offensive drone strikes to kill people has never been allowed, nor should it be.
Starshield, a different system, is controlled by the US government. What they decide to do is up to them.
Ukraine military violated Starlink terms of service and used it for offensive drone strikes to kill people. That loophole was closed last week.
Starlink remains critical to the defense of Ukraine, as it is the only system that cannot be jammed or blown up, at least for now. Were Starlink to be turned off, the Ukrainian front line would collapse immediately. This is NOT a threat, it is simply a statement of fact.
Starlink was also crucial to preventing Russia from overrunning Ukraine in the early days of the war, as all other means of communication were destroyed or jammed by Russia.
SpaceX has done more to defend Ukraine than any private company on Earth BY FAR.
That said, I have nothing but UTTER CONTEMPT for the virtue-signaling evil warmongers who push for endless slaughter and offer no realistic solution to the conflict. May you burn in hell.
End of story.
Chris Colose retweeted
Elon Musk has cemented his record as the largest individual political donor in modern American history.
Musk poured $446 million of his own money into this year’s midterm elections, mostly aimed at preserving the Republican Party’s control of Congress. wapo.st/4igb5Kq
USAID, Ukrainians. There’s no limit to how many people he will kill in his relentless pursuit of power and wealth, and there’s still useful idiots who just see him as a cool visionary saving the future.
Chris Colose retweeted
ICE arrested a 56-year old green card holder, i.e. a lawful permanent resident, and detained him in the Rio Grande Processing Center, where he died. texastribune.org/2026/10/19/…
We still have scientists confused over the fact extreme precipitation and mean precipitation are pretty much independent.
Shocking -- but global land precipitation is at record lows due to extreme El Niño.
While some climate scientists focus on record high water vapor predicting more extreme precipitaion, the opposite is actually happening.
You could laugh at Dessler's ignorant post, but this is very serious because the lack of tropical latitude precipitation leads to extreme droughts and famines e.g. 1877. This is a dire situation unfolding.
Chris Colose retweeted
The emissions scenarios underlying the next generation of climate model runs that will be featured in the upcoming IPCC 7th Assessment Report are officially out! I have a new explainer over at Carbon Brief taking an in-depth look at what they mean and whats changed (link below)
I only listened to the climate change part but it’s incredible, though not surprising, how bad this is.
unavailable
Chris Colose retweeted
Supplementing this thread with a reminder that the most recent IPCC assessment shows very little consensus as to whether or not El Niño events will increase in amplitude with warming:
"As super El Niño strengthens, study suggests that climate change is intensifying El Ninos" by @borenbears for the @AP /@AP_Climate: [Important data & study; But like UNC's John Bruno, I disagree w/ the authors' interpretation of the data]: independent.co.uk/news/el-ni…
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This response to @ryankatzrosene mostly misses the point. Obviously actual climate scientists/modelers are very interested in obs-model discrepancies and will say how important they are in the same way all scientists do in their fields, but it’s not really surprising that 1/
The other Ryan curiously omits the next sentence in the discussion:
"This poses a challenge to the fidelity of climate models (9), casting doubts on their ability to simulate historical change and project future climate change (39,40)."
This provides an opportunity to dig into reference (9):
Nature 2025: The other climate crisis (Shaw and Stevens) on the accumulation of "discrepancies" between model predictions and observations.
3/ the pattern of warming matters for estimate of climate sensitivity, with the observed pattern leading to “low” estimates as inferred from historical. So the pattern being internal variability, not a forced (my null anyway) doesn’t much other than for the bias in sensitivity
Academics decide (After the revolving door of an idea exceeds a certain # of iterations). It’s fine to say an asteroid might be a UFO or the Earth is 6,000 years old. At least initially. At some point academics move on from bad ideas. An academy open to ideas isn’t a free for all
Chris Colose retweeted
The rise in Niño 3.4 region sea surface temperatures over the past few weeks has been nothing short of astonishing.
We are now hotter than any days during the 1997/1998 super El Niño event, and we are still many months from the peak.
It’s true that “X is warming faster than the global mean” is almost never interesting, since land warms more than water. But it’s not just “warming faster” due to heat capacity. Even at equilibrium land warming is more than the ocean warming, especially the more dry the land is.
Everywhere, it turns out, is warming faster than the rest of the world. You may sense a slight problem with this. The headlines are real, the papers are real, and yet something doesn't add up. Let's take a look. youtube.com/watch?v=j9cDpdTl…
Periodic reminder that science works iteratively through community efforts and convergence/consilience of evidence, not through email exchanges, initial impressions, what one guy “admitted,” etc.
Privately, in his diaries, Doctor Fauci admitted he no longer believed the wet market was the origin of covid. A week later, he convenes a call with 12 scientists, and only two of them think it's definitely animal spillover.
Publicly, he comes out against lab leak and presses the Proximal Origins paper to find in favor of animal spillover. Seems bad.