Politics/Elections. Every D is better than any R. Radicalized progressive. We must defeat Dem establishment to beat MAGA/Trump. I block idiots immediately.
Joined May 2023
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Someone obviously just told Trump his MAGA crony Bolsonaro lost in Brazil.
Lots to unpack here but Trump says Bill Maher is an unfunny loser pothead/drunk and the recent dinner was a waste of time.
TRUMP: Let's talk about this COMPLETE AND TOTAL LOSER, Bill Maher.
When I became President, I agreed to meet, after the first one, and the last one, but never agreed to do his show, which he wants me to do, DESPARATELY
I believe he lied to me when I asked him, with all the applause and laughter he gets after almost everything he says, about thing that aren't funny or even any good, what Laughter Machine does he use? People can't think he's funny.
Bill was very nervous. He asked for a drink. He was very insecure, and he had a seriously bruised eye and nose area, as though somebody had just beaten him up — But it wasn't me!
No sooner had we had that first dinner at the White House, which is a very seductive and beautiful place, especially now that I have fully renovated and fixed it in the style which it deserves, Bill wanted to come back.
Also, I wanted to tell Bill that he's a major POTHEAD. He's got to stop, it's very bad for his health. He looked like hell this time. Bill was drunk and had alcohol in his hand as he walked through the White House. Stephen A. Smith and Kid Rock came along with him.
I learned nothing, and felt it was a waste of time. After the first dinner, Bill Maher was friendly, I guess, everyone walked away pleased.
After the second dinner, Bill's "show" was far worse than the first. He went crazy! He's gutless, because he enjoyed every minute.
Also, I am not a building a swimming pool in the White House Briefing Room, and never had any intention of doing so.
Why did Lula win an enormous upset come from behind victory in Brazil? An incredibly stupid debate gaffe by Bolsonaro.
An election story in 3 screenshots.
Explanation below 👇
But equally as important was the shift in opinion on Bolsonaro himself. Voters by 46-43 were choosing to reject Lula’s government in the election. But in the last poll that changed. Now by 46-45 voters were choosing to reject Bolsonaro. We’re talking very small slice of voters.
Update: They did it!
xitter.cf/umichvoter/status/2114…
Republicans today find themselves in the same place Democrats were in 2024. Hoping for an Election Day voter surge that never shows up after a disastrous Early Voting period.
Time is a flat circle.
I've been asked about early voting analysis.
The dilemma I have is that my platform is big enough such that being too blunt can have an effect on morale. I'll push out new states and tools out to my website soon, but won't announce them here on 𝕏.
I will be giving @realJeremyCarl my predictions a week in advance so he can hold me accountable after Election Day.
You MUST turn out and bring their friends, and brace yourself on election night. Even TX is going to be a fight.
First PiS, then Orbán, now Vučić, Bolsonaro next?
When people show up in a democracy, the far right loses.
Remember this November 3rd.
Serbia, 56.0% sample of CeSID / Ipsos parallel count:
National parliament election
SL-*: 52.0% (+52.0)
SNS+-EPP: 39.3% (-8.8)
SPS/JS+-*: 2.3% (-4.4)
SVM-EPP: 0.9% (-0.8)
NDSS/PKS-*: 0.8% (-4.4)
PDD+-*: 0.8% (+0.8)
SDP/CDP-*: 0.5% (+0.5)
SDA Sandžaka-NR: 0.4% (-0.2)
PSS BK-*: 0.4% (+0.4)
SPP-*: 0.3% (-0.5)
SSP/SRCE+-PES: 0.3% (+0.3)
RS/NKPJ-*: 0.2% (-0.1)
LZS-*: 0.1% (+0.1)
SRSJ-*: 0.1% (+0.1)
NS/BUNT-*: 0.1% (-0.8)
Gruda-*: 0.1% (+0.1)
SBR/GSGS-*: 0.0% (-0.2)
ĆOJZT-*: 0.0%
+/- vs. Last election result
➤ europeelects.eu/serbia
It’s pretty funny that Abbott is worried about Talarico winning in TX and not about the next Governor of Texas about to replace him.
Daily Mail: Texas Governor Greg Abbott warns that if Democrats win Texas, Republicans might not win the presidency ever again
“If we lose Texas, there's no chance ever for the future of the United States”
dailymail.com/news/article-1…
I wish more people used their brains over their emotions.
We don’t live in ideal society, never have, never will, because progress/change comes slowly + it’s usually bumpy ride. I was target of DOMA, but back then Dems needed to be against gay marriage to have chance at power.
But it’s not today. So choice is to shut up complaining about party that protects you with their power, but not their words + having unfair policy on some issues or party that attacks your life everyday. I don’t ever expect you to vote GOP, but you’re helping them win by whining.
I want to highlight how insane a D+6 electorate in NC would be in 2026.
Trump won NC by 3 points. That means WITH 0% PERSUASION GAINS from 2024, just turnout dynamics would shift every race 9 POINTS LEFT.
That’s what current national GCB D+9 average is with persuasion included!
Added to his Lone Star Rising SuperPAC ($11.7m), he raised over $29m in 14 days.
Talarico raised almost half what he did over 3 months in only 2 weeks.
NEW FEC F3
TALARICO, JAMES (DEM) #TXSEN
RCPT $17,577,077
EXPN $22,248,451
COH $9,922,857
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/for…
