Absentee Voting - 6 Days Out Unenrolled voters have increased their early vote share significantly from '22 with a competitive senate race to be decided. Accepted Vote % (vs '22) 🟦48.3% (-2.9) 🟥22.1% (-1.3) 🟨27.1% (+4.5) #MEpolitics

Texas Early Vote Tracking: Day 9 As of Oct. 28, 2026 Total votes: 5,468,144 (+550,301) 56.3% of projected final turnout. Modeled 2026 Vote: 🔵 James Talarico: 45.1% - 54.7% 🔴 Ken Paxton: 43.1% - 52.7% VoteHub currently rates the race as Tilt D.

We're watching Texas closely: GOP primary voters trail Democrats in ballot returns, and the gap is growing. That could be good for Paxton if reliable GOP voters are just voting later. But if the gap doesn't close before ED, he can't afford to have Cornyn voters stay home.

New Jersey In-person early voting shifts 2025 Day 1-4: 🔵 D+1.6 2026 Day 1-4: 🔵 D+25.0

The Drazan campaign received another large contribution from the Republican Governors Association. That makes $5.25 million in October. 10/22 $1,250,000 10/20 $1,000,000 10/16 $2,000,000 10/8 $1,000,000

This is from @cygnal, a GOP pollster. Among those who have already voted, 6% of Republicans have voted for the Democratic candidate, while 0% of Democrats have voted for the Republican candidate. Among Independents, Democrats are winning by 37 points (67%-30%). Almost all Republican crossover comes from voters who identify as “mostly Republican” rather than “strongly Republican.”

New Jersey Mail + IPEV combined 6 days out #NJ02: 2025 🔵 D+7 ➡️ 2026 🔵 D+19 #NJ04: 2025 🔴 R+8 ➡️ 2026 🔵 D+6 #NJ07: 2025 🔵 D+12 ➡️ 2026 🔵 D+26

6 days out, 795,000+ people have no voted in New Jersey VBM: 🔵 327,112 🔴 98,414 ⚪️ 82,918 In-Person Early: 🔵 154,593 🔴 81,785 ⚪️ 54,495 Total: 795,717 🔵 DEM 481,705 (60.5%) 🔴 GOP 176,599 (22.2%) ⚪️ OTH 137,413 (17.3%)

18 to 25 turnout is elevated for Dems compared to 22, sitting at 19.0%. All age groups under 66 are down in turnout for the GOP compared to 22. Black turnout is +10.1% vs 22 and is higher than white turnout by 1.6%. White turnout was 4.4% higher than black turnout in 22 #ncpol

DEMOCRATS SET TO SWEEP STATEWIDE OFFICES IN GEORGIA A final State Navigate poll of likely Georgia voters finds Democrats ahead across the board one week before Election Day: • Governor: Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 50% – Rick Jackson (R) 47% • Lieutenant Governor: Josh McLaurin (D) 49% – Greg Dolezal (R) 45% • Attorney General: Tanya Miller (D) 49% – Brian Strickland (R) 45% • Secretary of State: Penny Brown Reynolds (D) 49% – Tim Fleming (R) 45%

NEW>>Siena Poll out this morning shows Mayor Mamdani with a 69% favorability rating in NYC ⬆️