Amy

This is a fascinating point. If this was a “blue wave” election, then that generally means that tons of Republicans flipped their votes. Not “stayed home.” Literally, flipped votes. Because the data show that Republicans showed up at the same level as previous election cycles. You know, when they won. It looks like Democrats were able to conjure up about 1.7 million more voters than the 2022 election. About 1.4 million from the 2018 election. If you are thinking, “wait, wasn’t Trump president in 2018?” then congrats. You are starting to hone in on why this turnout makes no sense. Because California transplants don’t account for it. There are only about 700,00 net Californian migrants, max. H1Bs and permanent residents are not allowed to vote. Illegal aliens don’t legally vote, although people *could* vote for them thanks to our dirty voter rolls. So, where did all these Democrats come from? Let's touch on the given reasons why. The Iran War? Okay, where were all the anti-war protests in the streets? The left was burning Teslas over modest DOGE cuts, for chrissakes. Expensive gas? You mean, the same prices we saw at the end of Biden. Did these Dems flip for Trump over that in 2024? Maybe to some degree, Latinos did. But not anywhere close to these margins. ICE deportations? Those border counties that are being cited as the major surge in Latino voters for the Democrats went about +14 Trump in 2024. That would be the presidential election when Trump said mass deportations were on the table. But we aren’t as concerned about the 'why' as we are about the math. Because there is reported to be about 2.9 million new voter registrations between 2022-2024. Texas doesn't demand proof of citizenship for these TPS registrations, but they are ultimately supposed to be checked against SAVE databases for non-citizen flags. After all is said and done, however, there were a net 950,000 new voter registrations in Texas. So, the Democrats would have to get all of this mathematically and then almost double. Why would there be a "blue wave" mainly over the Iran War when there were few anti-war protests? Why would Trump win in 2024 while promising mass deportations and all of a sudden modest ICE enforcement is causing a shift of 40-50 points for Latino voters? Why would polls have a bias for Dem respondents that showed close races, but then this turned out to be a blue wipeout with GOP turnout about the same as past years when their candidates won? These questions may have good explanations. As for me, I've got nothing.