Trader since 2018 | 57% CAGR πŸ“Š Real portfolio posted every Saturday

Free write-ups ➑️
Joined March 2024
I truly think at some point in the next decade, $SNAP will hit a $1 trillion valuation. Is that just delusion? πŸ€” Will $SNAP hit a $1T market cap by 2036? Vote below πŸ‘‡ By 2036, I think Snap could be doing: πŸ’° $30B+ in revenue πŸ’΅ $10B+ in net income πŸ“ˆ $1T market cap That would put $SNAP at roughly a 100Γ— P/E. Sounds crazy today. But if users become one of the most valuable assets in the AI eraβ€”and Snap continues to own a massive, young global user base (near a billion users)β€”I think the market could justify a significant premium. And don’t forgot about specs. πŸ‘“ A decade from now imagine them with 10 years of technological innovation. They will be 100 times better. Am I crazy? πŸ‘€ Could Snap be a one trillion dollar company???
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There are so many potential catalysts coming up for $SNAP, it’s hard to ignore πŸ‘€ βœ… SPECS release in a month and look awesome βœ… Net income profitability expected in 2027 βœ… No more stock dilution in 2027 as aggressive share repurchases ramp up βœ… Creator subscriptions starting to scale βœ… User base continues to grow βœ… One month away from what will be Snap’s first profitable Q3 ever βœ… SpaceX choosing Snap for advertising for the first time πŸš€ βœ… Evan communicating with investors β€” showing how much free cash flow has improved βœ… Evan liking a tweet predicting $SNAP at $15 πŸ‘€ βœ… Valution hasn’t gone on up since 2013 (bigger the base the bigger the breakout πŸ‘€) βœ… Cramer is bearish πŸ˜‚ $SNAP’s share price is about to skyrocket We’re hitting 10$ by end of the year πŸ’₯πŸ’₯
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Q2 2026 πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘ META Ads: 27% YoY πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘ AMZN Ads: 26% YoY GOOGL Search: 17% YoY GOOGL YouTube: 13% YoY MSFT LinkedIn: 12% YoY MSFT Search: 10% YoY SNAP Ads: 9% YoY GOOGL Network: βˆ’1% YoY
Q3 2025 A bit late, but on a day that $META and $AMZN is underperforming the $QQQ by 10x it seems appropriate: πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘META Ads: 26% yoyπŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘πŸ‘‘ AMZN Ads: $24% yoy MSFT Search: 21% yoy MSFT LinkedIn: 10% yoy GOOGL YouTube: 15% yoy GOOGL Search: 15% yoy GOOGL Network: βˆ’3% yoy
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Inverse Max retweeted
Nomura raised its operating profit forecasts for Samsung Electronics to KRW 391tn ($271bn) β†’ KRW 635tn ($440.1bn) β†’ KRW 774tn ($536.4bn), with FCF projected at KRW 296tn β†’ KRW 456tn β†’ KRW 563tn and shareholder return yields of 11.2% β†’ 17.6% β†’ 22.3%.
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In its August update Goldman finally adding Samsung Electronics to its APAC Conviction List
Goldman Sachs very bullish on the NAND/memory setup after Kioxia’s results. Nothing new but further confirmation. GS says Kioxia’s guidance likely implies further upside for both Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix NAND pricing/margins. Main takeaways: -NAND ASP growth accelerating much faster than expected -Supply tightness now expected to continue through 2027 -AI datacenter demand continues driving stronger SSD/NAND demand -Goldman believes NAND operating margins for Samsung and Hynix could still be too conservative - Potential Kioxia ADR listing could also be positive for sector sentiment
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Replying to @Franny8
Long Samsung short micron
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The harder Tim Cook cries, the more bullish you should be getting on memory
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"the ten cardinal rules" -- this is from Ari Kiev's book man coached everyone from L/S PM's to US Olympic athletes I share it bc what u see at the highest level, couldnt be more simple and basic. -"what emotion am I feeling right now" -"how do I react to stress" -"out of all the possible styles, what works for my temperament" this is what waits for u at the top of the mountain u may as well start grappling with it now and u may as well stop asking the world -- or asking LLMs -- questions which can only be answered by the man in the mirror...
add to "re-read every 5 years" pile Trading Psychology: 1. Mark Douglas - Trading In The Zone 2. Ari Kiev - Trading to Win all u need...two great books > 100 good books.
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Inverse Max retweeted
SK Hynix. Important news.
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Inverse Max retweeted
Hammond Power Solutions ( $HPS.A ) Q1 2026 Earnings Report 1. Q1 Rev β€˜26 : $265m (actual) vs. $236.3m (est) - Beat by 12% 2. EPS: $2.08 (actual) vs. $1.7 (est) - Beat by 22% 3. Backlog 94.6% higher than Q1 β€˜25, confirming key bottlenecks in transformers for data centers
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Inverse Max retweeted
When $MU rerates, it should cure Alzeimers.
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Inverse Max retweeted
Morgan Stanley’s latest SK hynix operating profit forecasts (as of April 19, 2026): - Previous forecast for 2026: KRW 222 trillion (US$150.177 billion) β†’ KRW 277 trillion (US$187.382 billion) - Previous forecast for 2027: KRW 298 trillion (US$201.588 billion) β†’ KRW 408 trillion (US$276.0 billion) - Previous forecast for 2028: KRW 226 trillion (US$152.882 billion) β†’ KRW 403 trillion (US$272.618 billion)
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Inverse Max retweeted
[단독] SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€, 美 ADR 6~7μ›” 상μž₯ν•œλ‹€ SK hynix 주관사에 상μž₯ λͺ©ν‘œ μ‹œμ  곡유 μ‹ κ³ κ°€ 행진에 투자 μˆ˜μš” κΈ°λŒ€ 거래 ν™œμ„±ν™” μœ„ν•΄ μ‹ μ£Ό 규λͺ¨ ν‚€μšΈ λ“― IB업계, 100μ–΅λ‹¬λŸ¬ μ•ˆνŒŽ μ˜ˆμƒ ν•΄μ™Έ 투자자 λŒ€μƒ λ‘œλ“œμ‡Όλ„ μ€€λΉ„ SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€κ°€ λ―Έκ΅­ μ¦μ‹œ 상μž₯ μ‹œμ μ„ μ˜€λŠ” 6~7μ›”λ‘œ μ •ν•˜κ³  κ΄€λ ¨ 절차 진행에 속도λ₯Ό 뢙이고 μžˆλŠ” κ²ƒμœΌλ‘œ 확인됐닀. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€κ°€ μ§€λ‚œλ‹¬ λ―Έκ΅­ μ£Όμ‹μ˜ˆνƒμ¦μ„œ(ADR) 상μž₯을 μœ„ν•œ 곡λͺ¨ λ“±λ‘μ‹ μ²­μ„œ(Form F-1)λ₯Ό λ―Έκ΅­ μ¦κΆŒκ±°λž˜μœ„μ›νšŒ(SEC)에 λΉ„κ³΅κ°œλ‘œ μ œμΆœν–ˆλ‹€κ³  밝힐 λ‹Ήμ‹œλ§Œ 해도 μ—°λ‚΄ 상μž₯을 λͺ©ν‘œλ‘œ μΆ”μ§„ν•˜κ³  μžˆμ„ 뿐 일정은 아직 ν™•μ •λ˜μ§€ μ•Šμ•˜λ‹€λŠ” μž…μž₯μ΄μ—ˆλ‹€. κ·ΈλŸ¬λ‚˜ 이후 이처럼 λ‚΄λΆ€μ μœΌλ‘œ ꡬ체 μ‹œμ μ„ μ •ν•œ 것을 두고 μ‹ μ†νžˆ 상μž₯을 λ§ˆλ¬΄λ¦¬ν•˜κ² λ‹€λŠ” 뜻으둜 ν•΄μ„λœλ‹€. μ΅œλŒ€ν•œ μ‹œκ°„μ„ λ‹¨μΆ•μ‹œμΌœ κΈ€λ‘œλ²Œ νˆ¬μžμ‹œμž₯μ—μ„œ ν•΄μ™Έ 자금 쑰달 기반 ν™•λŒ€λ₯Ό λ³Έκ²©ν™”ν•˜κ² λ‹€λŠ” 것이닀. μ•„μšΈλŸ¬ μ΅œνƒœμ› SKκ·Έλ£Ή 회μž₯이 SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€κ°€ ADR 상μž₯으둜 β€œλ” κΈ€λ‘œλ²Œν•œ νšŒμ‚¬κ°€ 될 것”이라고 κ°•μ‘°ν•œ 만큼 μ‹ μ£Ό λ°œν–‰ 규λͺ¨λ„ 컀질 전망이닀. λ°œν–‰λŸ‰μ΄ λŠ˜μ–΄μ•Ό 거래 ν™œμ„±ν™”λ₯Ό ν†΅ν•œ κΈ°μ—…κ°€μΉ˜ μƒμŠΉμ„ κΈ°λŒ€ν•  수 μžˆλ‹€. 16일 업계에 λ”°λ₯΄λ©΄ SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” ADR 상μž₯ 주관사단에 상μž₯ λͺ©ν‘œ μ‹œμ μ„ 6~7μ›”λ‘œ μ œμ‹œν–ˆλ‹€. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” 미ꡭ계 μ¦κΆŒμ‚¬λ₯Ό μ€‘μ‹¬μœΌλ‘œ 주관사단을 꾸리며 본격적인 μ€€λΉ„ μž‘μ—…μ— λŒμž…ν•œ μƒνƒœλ‹€. ADR은 μ™Έκ΅­ 기업이 λ―Έκ΅­ μ¦μ‹œμ—μ„œ μžμ‚¬ 주식을 κ±°λž˜ν•  수 μžˆλ„λ‘ λ°œν–‰ν•˜λŠ” 증ꢌ으둜, κΈ€λ‘œλ²Œ 투자자 접근성을 ν™•λŒ€ν•˜λŠ” μˆ˜λ‹¨μœΌλ‘œ ν™œμš©λœλ‹€. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” μ£Όκ°€ 변동에 영ν–₯ λ°›μ§€ μ•Šκ³  μ†μ „μ†κ²°λ‘œ 상μž₯을 λ§ˆλ¬΄λ¦¬ν•˜κ² λ‹€λŠ” μž…μž₯으둜 보인닀. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” μ§€λ‚œν•΄ 12μ›” ADR 상μž₯섀이 νΌμ§€μž λ―Έκ΅­ μ¦μ‹œ 상μž₯ λ“± κΈ°μ—…κ°€μΉ˜ 제고 λ°©μ•ˆμ„ κ²€ν† ν•˜κ³  μžˆλ‹€κ³  λ°ν˜”λ‹€. 이 무렡 주가도 연일 고곡행진을 이어가며 2μ›” 말 μ£Όλ‹Ή 100λ§Œμ›μ„ λ„˜μ–΄μ„°μ§€λ§Œ λ―Έκ΅­κ³Ό μ΄λž€ κ°„ μ „μŸμ΄ μ‹œμž‘λ˜λ©° λΆˆν™•μ‹€μ„±μ΄ μ»€μ‘Œλ‹€. 졜근 λ“€μ–΄μ„  μ’…μ „ κΈ°λŒ€κ°μ΄ μ»€μ§€λ©΄μ„œ μ‹ κ³ κ°€ 행진을 이어가고 μžˆλ‹€. μ£Όλ‹Ή 110λ§Œμ›μ„ μ„ λŒνŒŒν•˜λ©° νƒ„νƒ„ν•œ 투자 μˆ˜μš”λ₯Ό ν™•μΈν–ˆλ‹€. μ§€λ‚œ 16일 μ’…κ°€λŠ” 113만6000원을 κΈ°λ‘ν–ˆλ‹€. ADR이 κ΅­λ‚΄ 주식을 기반으둜 ν•˜λŠ” 만큼 쑰달 λ©”λ¦¬νŠΈκ°€ μ»€μ‘Œλ‹€. IB업계 κ΄€κ³„μžλŠ” β€œλ§Œμ•½ μ£Όκ°€κ°€ ν•˜λ½ν–ˆλ‹€ ν•˜λ”λΌλ„ ADR 상μž₯ μΌμ •μ—λŠ” λ³€ν™”κ°€ μ—†μ—ˆμ„ 것”이라며 β€œκ·Έλ§ŒνΌ μ‹ μ†ν•˜κ²Œ λ―Έκ΅­ μ¦μ‹œμ— μž…μ„±ν•˜κ² λ‹€λŠ” μ˜μ§€κ°€ 더 크닀”고 λ§ν–ˆλ‹€. 관심은 μ‹ μ£Ό λ°œν–‰ 규λͺ¨λ‘œ 쏠린닀. AI(인곡지λŠ₯) λ°˜λ„μ²΄ μ΄ˆν˜Έν™©μœΌλ‘œ 인해 μž‘λ…„ 연말 κΈ°μ€€ 35쑰원에 μœ‘λ°•ν•˜λŠ” ν˜„κΈˆλ³΄μœ κ³ λ₯Ό λ‚˜νƒ€λƒˆμ§€λ§Œ λ‹€κ°€μ˜¬ 투자 규λͺ¨κ°€ 더 크닀. κΈ€λ‘œλ²Œ μ°¨μ„ΈλŒ€ λ°˜λ„μ²΄ μˆ˜μš”μ— λŒ€μ‘ν•˜κΈ° μœ„ν•œ μ„€λΉ„ 투자 κΈˆμ•‘μ€ μ²œλ¬Έν•œμ μΈ μˆ˜μ€€μ΄λ‹€. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” μ§€λ‚œ 2μ›” 용인 λ°˜λ„μ²΄ν΄λŸ¬μŠ€ν„° 1κΈ° 팹(FAB) 투자λ₯Ό μœ„ν•΄ 2030λ…„ λ§κΉŒμ§€ 21μ‘°6000얡원을 μ§‘ν–‰ν•˜κΈ°λ‘œ κ²°μ •ν–ˆλ‹€. 2024λ…„ 7μ›” λ°œν‘œν•œ μ‹œμ„€νˆ¬μžλΉ„κΉŒμ§€ κ°μ•ˆν•˜λ©΄ 31쑰원 규λͺ¨λ‹€. μš©μΈμ— 2050λ…„κΉŒμ§€ 600쑰원을 λ“€μ—¬ 4개 νŒΉμ„ 가동할 μ „λž΅μ΄λ‹€. λ”λΆˆμ–΄ μ˜¬ν•΄ μ΄ˆμ—λŠ” AI 데이터센터 핡심 νŒŒνŠΈλ„ˆλ‘œ 자리작기 μœ„ν•΄ 미ꡭ에 AI μ„€λ£¨μ…˜ νšŒμ‚¬ 섀립을 μΆ”μ§„ν•œλ‹€κ³  λ°ν˜”λ‹€. 이 곳에도 μ΅œλŒ€ 100μ–΅λ‹¬λŸ¬(μ•½ 15쑰원) μΆœμžκ°€ μ˜ˆμ •λΌ μžˆλ‹€. λ‹Ήμ΄ˆ νšŒμ‚¬κ°€ λ³΄μœ ν•œ μžμ‚¬μ£Όλ₯Ό 기반 μ‚Όμ•„ ADR 상μž₯이 μ μ³μ‘ŒμœΌλ‚˜ μ§€λ‚œ 1μ›” μž„μ§μ› λ³΄μƒμš© μžμ‚¬μ£Όλ§Œ 남기고 12μ‘°2400얡원 규λͺ¨ μžμ‚¬μ£Όλ₯Ό 사싀상 μ „λŸ‰ μ†Œκ°ν•˜λ©΄μ„œ μ‹ μ£Ό λ°œν–‰ μˆ˜λ‹¨λ§Œ λ‚¨μ•˜λ‹€. 이에 SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€κ°€ κΈ°λŒ€ν•˜λŠ” κΈ°μ—…κ°€μΉ˜ μž¬ν‰κ°€λ₯Ό μœ„ν•΄μ„  λŒ€κ·œλͺ¨ μ‹ μ£Ό λ°œν–‰μ΄ ν•„μš”ν•˜λ‹€λŠ” 뢄석이 λ‚˜μ˜¨λ‹€. IBμ—…κ³„μ—μ„œλŠ” 100μ–΅λ‹¬λŸ¬ μ•ˆνŒŽμœΌλ‘œ λ°œν–‰ 규λͺ¨λ₯Ό 점치고 μžˆλ‹€. νšŒμ‚¬κ°€ λͺ©ν‘œλ‘œ ν•˜λŠ” κΈ°μ—…κ°€μΉ˜ μƒμŠΉμ„ μœ„ν•΄μ„  μ—¬λŸ¬ κΈ°κ΄€νˆ¬μžμžλ₯Ό λŒ€μƒμœΌλ‘œ νˆ¬μžκ°€ 이뀄져야 ν•œλ‹€. λͺ¨νšŒμ‚¬μΈ SKμŠ€ν€˜μ–΄ μ§€λ°°λ ₯ 희석 등을 μš°λ €ν•΄ λ°œν–‰ 규λͺ¨λ₯Ό μΆ•μ†Œν•œλ‹€λ©΄ 이 μ—­μ‹œ ν₯ν–‰ 걸림돌이 될 수 μžˆλ‹€λŠ” 평이닀. μ•„μšΈλŸ¬ μ˜¬ν•΄ 싀적 μ˜ˆμƒμΉ˜λ₯Ό κΈ°μ€€μœΌλ‘œ μ¦κΆŒμ—…κ³„κ°€ μ œμ‹œν•œ SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€μ˜ μ„ ν–‰ μ£Όκ°€μˆ˜μ΅λΉ„μœ¨(PER)은 3~4λ°° μˆ˜μ€€μœΌλ‘œ λ―Έκ΅­ κ²½μŸμ‚¬ 마이크둠(8λ°°), μƒŒλ””μŠ€ν¬(19λ°°)에 λΉ„ν•˜λ©΄ λ§Œμ‘±μŠ€λŸ½μ§€ λͺ»ν•œ μˆ˜μ€€μ΄λ‹€. μ΅œνƒœμ› 회μž₯도 μ§€λ‚œ 3μ›” λ―Έκ΅­ μΊ˜λ¦¬ν¬λ‹ˆμ•„ μƒˆλ„ˆμ œμ΄μ—μ„œ μ—΄λ¦° μ—”λΉ„λ””μ•„μ˜ β€˜GTC 2026β€™μ—μ„œ β€œλ―Έκ΅­κ³Ό κΈ€λ‘œλ²Œ μ£Όμ£Όμ—κ²Œ λ…ΈμΆœλ  수 μžˆμ–΄ 더 κΈ€λ‘œλ²Œν•œ νšŒμ‚¬κ°€ 될 수 μžˆλ‹€κ³  μƒκ°ν•œλ‹€β€κ³  λ§ν–ˆλ‹€. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” μ¦μ‹œ μž…μ„±μ„ μ•žλ‘κ³  λ―Έκ΅­ 투자자λ₯Ό λ§Œλ‚˜λŠ” λ‘œλ“œμ‡Ό(Deal Roadshow)도 κ³„νšν•˜κ³  μžˆλ‹€. 1λΆ„κΈ° 우호적인 싀적을 ν™•μΈν•œ λ’€ κ΄€λ ¨ μž‘μ—…μ— λ”μš± 속도λ₯Ό λ‚Ό κ²ƒμœΌλ‘œ 보인닀. SKν•˜μ΄λ‹‰μŠ€λŠ” 이날 ADR 상μž₯ 일정과 κ΄€λ ¨ β€œμ˜¬ν•΄ μ—°λ‚΄ 상μž₯을 λͺ©ν‘œλ‘œ μΆ”μ§„ν•˜κ³  μžˆμœΌλ‚˜ 상μž₯ 곡λͺ¨μ˜ 규λͺ¨, 방식, 일정 λ“± 세뢀사항은 ν™•μ •λ˜μ§€ μ•Šμ•˜λ‹€β€λ©° β€œμ΅œμ’… 상μž₯ μ—¬λΆ€λŠ” SEC의 λ“±λ‘μ‹ μ²­μ„œ κ²€ν† , μ‹œμž₯ 상황, μˆ˜μš”μ˜ˆμΈ‘ 및 기타 제반 여건 등을 μ’…ν•©μ μœΌλ‘œ κ³ λ €ν•˜μ—¬ 결정될 μ˜ˆμ •β€μ΄λΌκ³  λ°ν˜”λ‹€.
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Inverse Max retweeted
SK Hynix ATH
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$NVDA, SK hynix, Samsung, $MU, Samsung epic AI 3μ›” λ°˜λ„μ²΄ 수좜 - λ°˜λ„μ²΄(λ””λž¨): μˆ˜μΆœμ•‘ $15,423mn, Y/Y +265%,, M/M 32% μ„±μž₯ - λ°˜λ„μ²΄(λ‚Έλ“œ): μˆ˜μΆœμ•‘ $2,545mn, Y/Y +383%, M/M 81% - SSD: μˆ˜μΆœμ•‘ $3,190mn, Y/Y +219%, M/M +32% μ„±μž₯ - DRAM μˆ˜μΆœλ‹¨κ°€λŠ” $42,897/kg둜 26λ…„ 2μ›” λŒ€λΉ„ 20% μ„±μž₯ (μ „λ…„ λŒ€λΉ„ +306%) - NAND μˆ˜μΆœλ‹¨κ°€λŠ” $45,865/kg둜 26λ…„ 2μ›” λŒ€λΉ„ 22% μ„±μž₯ (μ „λ…„ λŒ€λΉ„ +471%) - SSD μˆ˜μΆœλ‹¨κ°€λŠ” $12,592/kg둜 26λ…„ 2μ›” λŒ€λΉ„ 14% μ„±μž₯ (μ „λ…„ λŒ€λΉ„ +149%)
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Inverse Max retweeted
If you consider how paper publication processes typically work at major labs like Gemini and Google, it's reasonable to assume that the most impactful results in the Gemini domain are unlikely to ever be published. Even the papers that do get released are presumably based on research from at least six months prior. Moreover, this particular research seems difficult to apply to large-parameter scenarios. So please, don't panic. Over the past two years, we've had to make similar clarifications every time claims emerged that pretraining compute was about to be optimized by 10x, or inference compute by 10x, or KV cache by 10x β€” and this time is no different. $MU $SNDK
Memory makers bloodbath tomorrow (likely). It a huge progress and is an step forward in removing the memory bottleneck. Now, it will put more pressure on logic side though
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> you press the button on your meta glasses "I'm running late today, I'd like a later flight" > "Sure, let me book you on the 7 PM Delta, row 4 is open I know you like being close to the front" > the Waymo arrived at LGA, three Hyundai - Yaskawa robots open the trunk "Is there anything else you need sir" > you whisp through security as the Leidos Kratos optical sensor scans your eye, you are interrupted as your personal Cluade Bot informs you your agent is tax agent is arguing with the agentic IRS agent over whether a Box Spread is section 1256 eligible > you nod to the silver fox pilot as you board, "it's nice that the unions still have some sway you say" > the plane lifts off and you glance out the windows, smoke is still billowing from New Jersey as the electrical utility riots continue "Buy more Kawasaki Heavy Industries and Axon Enterpsies" you remark to your agentic IBKR broker > the guy next to you taps your shoulder and chuckles "it's crazy out there isn't it" > the Nordic flight attendant robot wheels down the aisle and begins pouring you a whiskey sour > a smirk creeps across your face "thank goodness we bought some Hynix back in 2026"
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24:58 mark. Say slinger can hunt and kill drones automatically without user input. Say specifically"we know it can" implies a lot of testing has happened to get $eos.ax slinger system to this point. youtu.be/Xnd9fcgEuaw?si=AaX1…
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$EOS.AX - Another Apollo win!
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$PSIX Article Highlights: - Severe mispricing due to management miscommunication - Projected growth is overconservative - Valuation supports share price gains $PSIX is currently a 10% holding after sizing up after the dip. seekingalpha.com/article/484…
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