Trader since 2018 | 57% CAGR ๐Ÿ“Š Real portfolio posted every Saturday

Free write-ups โžก๏ธ
Joined March 2024
Busy week so wasnโ€™t very activate. I liked Metaโ€™s results but the reaction was understandable given the future dilution signal. $GOOG has basically been dead since they diluted. October 24, 2026 ๐™‹๐™Š๐™๐™๐™๐™Š๐™‡๐™„๐™Š ๐™๐™‹๐˜ฟ๐˜ผ๐™๐™€ Max YTD: +78.97% S&P500 YTD: +11.37% My positions: $005935 $000660 $285A $APP $META $FIS $TOYO $LMT $TLN $CRWV $IESC $402340 $SNAP Follow me: @inversemax - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - * Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected. ** Holdings include shares and derivatives. *** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies. **** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
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Had the wonderful opportunity to work with P on a memory article. Unique piece on the big three in memory and the alternative ways to play them: preferred shares, parents, holdcos. A free article and right before earnings. The trade does not bet on cycle duration. Nothing is risk free, but this is as close as it gets. Link in replies. $MU $DRAM $EWY $SKHY
Thanks to @InverseMax for his great work and contribution. Here is his work examining a risk-free memory trade. Link to full read in replies ๐Ÿ‘‡ $MU $DRAM $EWY $SKHY
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+23% in 3 weeks. Negligible drawdown. $LMT
1/ $LMTโ€™s backlog is a record $230B, nearly 2x its $118B market cap. Biggest order book in company history. And the multiple hasn't noticed. ๐Ÿงต
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โ€œHe who sells what isn't his'n, must buy it back or go to prison.โ€ May prevent upgrade to developed market status if they block shorting, but the attitude toward the market speaks volumes ๐Ÿ“ข
LEE HYOUNG-IL, SOUTH KOREAโ€™S DEPUTY PRIME MINISTER AND MINISTER OF FINANCE AND ECONOMY: WE ARE PREPARING TO DEPLOY MARKET STABILIZATION MEASURES IF STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY INCREASES. WE WILL DECIDE WHETHER TO IMPLEMENT SPECIFIC MEASURES, SUCH AS ACTIVATING THE STOCK MARKET STABILIZATION FUND OR TEMPORARILY BANNING SHORT SELLING, BASED ON MARKET CONDITIONS.
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Not saying Cramer is great or anything but he gets a worse rep than deserved.
PLEASE NO. FOR THE LOVE OF GOD. JIM
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Not a pretty week for me. I spent some time reflecting and I still wonder what the true lessons and takeaways are. Had I owned pretty much any other semi stocks, I would have fared a lot better. I understand that I have chosen to long companies that are cyclical, but I still struggle to understand why the money printers that are trading at 2027 book value are getting beaten to death. If the large AI risks truly play out, it totally makes sense for my stocks to fall to book value. I can't speak on the high flyers, but how does it make any sense for them to holding up better? I posted a little bit about my thoughts this week, with the Livermore story on breaking oats to cover his corn but I want to expand a bit. Korea is a thin market that is dominated by Samsung and Hynix. Micron trades over 5x the dollar volume of Samsung and Hynix. Nvidia, Broadcom, SanDisk, AMD, Intel, all trade well more dollar volume than Samsung/Hynix. Even neoclouds like CoreWeave and Nebius trade at over half of the dollar volume despite being a tiny fraction of the market cap. So, if you are trying to bring AI stocks down, is the most logical method not to try to nuke Korea and have that sentiment ripple over to American AI stocks? The obvious risk is getting caught offside but with KOSPI futures, EWY, Samsung GDR, Hynix GDR and ADR, SK Square, SK Inc, it seems relatively easy to put this trade on and then find an exit route/hedge. Anyway, always willing to learn so if someone has thoughts or opinions I'd be glad to heard them. October 16, 2026 ๐™‹๐™Š๐™๐™๐™๐™Š๐™‡๐™„๐™Š ๐™๐™‹๐˜ฟ๐˜ผ๐™๐™€ Max YTD: +84.39% S&P500 YTD: +11.9% My positions: $005935 $000660 $META $285A $APP $TOYO $FIS $LMT $TLN $CRWV $IESC $402340 $SNAP TRANSACTIONS: ๐ŸŸข New long positions: $402340 ๐ŸŸข Increased long positions: $005935 $000660 ๐Ÿ”ด Closed long positions: $EOS.ASX $138930 Follow me: @inversemax - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - * Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected. ** Holdings include shares and derivatives. *** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies. **** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
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Samsung EV below Micronโ€™s. Hynix trading possibility at next year book value, actively returning capital. Low bars to step over.
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Maybe applicable to todayโ€™s market: Livermore was short corn, but a powerful trader had cornered the corn market, making it difficult to cover his short without driving prices higher. Livermoreโ€™s solution was to short oats to trigger selling pressure, hoping traders would then anticipate weakness in corn and sell it too. This helped him exit his corn position. Perhaps if someone wanted to trigger selling among AI infrastructure, the easier move would be to break the Korean market and have that spillover to the American market.
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October 10, 2026 ๐™‹๐™Š๐™๐™๐™๐™Š๐™‡๐™„๐™Š ๐™๐™‹๐˜ฟ๐˜ผ๐™๐™€ Max YTD: +117.44% S&P500 YTD: +14.11% My positions: $005935 $000660 $285A $META $APP $TOYO $FIS $CRWV $LMT $TLN $EOS.ASX $138930 $IESC $SNAP TRANSACTIONS: ๐ŸŸข New long positions: $FIS $LMT $EOS.ASX ๐Ÿ”ด Reduced long positions: $SNAP ๐Ÿ”ด Closed long positions: $RRX Follow me: @inversemax - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - * Portfolio weightings are relative to my the total market value of holdings. Short positions and day trades are not reflected. ** Holdings include shares and derivatives. *** The pie chart was AI-generated from spreadsheet data I provided and may contain minor inaccuracies. **** Nothing in this post constitutes financial advice.
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I don't believe in reincarnation but if there are any signsโ€ฆ
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ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„๊ฐ€ $META 2500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋งค์ˆ˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๋Š” ๋‰ด์Šค ๋–ด๋‹ค. ๊ฒฐ๊ตญ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น๋„ ๋‚ด ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์‚ฌ๋Š”๊ตฌ๋‚˜.
ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„, 8์›”์— ๋ฉ”ํƒ€ ์ฃผ์‹ ์ตœ๋Œ€ 2,500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋ฐ ์ŠคํŽ˜์ด์ŠคX ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ์ˆ˜๋ฐฑ๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋งค์ˆ˜ $META , $SPCX ์ฃผ์š” ์ž์‚ฐ ๋งค์ž…: ๋„๋„๋“œ ํŠธ๋Ÿผํ”„ ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น์˜ 8์›” ๊ณต์ง์ž ์žฌ์ • ๊ณต๊ฐœ ๋‚ด์—ญ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅด๋ฉด, ๋ฉ”ํƒ€(Meta) ์ฃผ์‹์„ ์ตœ๋Œ€ 2,500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ, ์ŠคํŽ˜์ด์ŠคX(SpaceX) ํšŒ์‚ฌ์ฑ„๋ฅผ ์ตœ๋Œ€ 500๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋กœ ๋งค์ž…ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ •์ฑ… ์„œ๋ช… ์ง์ „ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜: ์ŠคํŽ˜์ด์ŠคX ์ฑ„๊ถŒ ๋งค์ž…์€ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ƒ์—…์šฉ ์šฐ์ฃผ ์šด์†ก ํ™•๋Œ€๋ฅผ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•œ ์ƒˆ ํ–‰์ • ์ •์ฑ…์— ์„œ๋ช…ํ•˜๊ธฐ ๋ถˆ๊ณผ ์ดํ‹€ ์ „์— ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์กŒ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ™œ๋ฐœํ•œ ์ž์‚ฐ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜: 8์›” ํ•œ ๋‹ฌ ๋™์•ˆ ๋ณด๊ณ ๋œ ์ฃผ์‹ ๋ฐ ์ฆ๊ถŒ ๋งค์ˆ˜ยท๋งค๋„ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Š” ์ด 517๊ฑด์— ๋‹ฌํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ด์•ก ์ถ”์‚ฐ: ๊ฐ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ํ•ญ๋ชฉ์˜ ๊ฐ€์น˜๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ๊ฐ„๋ณ„๋กœ ๋ณด๊ณ ๋˜๋Š” ์žฌ์ • ๊ณต๊ฐœ ํŠน์„ฑ์„ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ CNBC๊ฐ€ ๋ถ„์„ํ•œ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ, 517๊ฑด์˜ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ด์•ก์€ ์•ฝ 7,430๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—์„œ ์ตœ๋Œ€ 2์–ต 7,330๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์— ์ด๋ฆ…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋งค์ˆ˜ ๋ฐ ๋งค๋„ ๊ทœ๋ชจ: ์ „์ฒด ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜ ์ค‘ ๋งค์ˆ˜ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋Š” ์ตœ์†Œ 4,420๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ, ๋งค๋„ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๋Š” ์ตœ์†Œ 3,010๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ ์ง‘๊ณ„๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
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500๐Ÿฅณ Next goal: 1,000. A long way off, but hope to be there this year. Here are the people who helped me become a better trader and man. In no particular order: All-rounders @pequityresearch A king. Best guy for research. Love this guy. @JohnTinsmanAOT Growth genius. @mvcinvesting Concentrated and sharp investor. Similar style to myself in some sense. @TheBigBerbowski Great vibes and always something to learn. Great all-around follow. @vonwehhrn A stud and beauty. @SingularityRes Good research. Always worth reading. @escvel0city11 Sharp takes across the board. @Skeptical1704 Ready to crush a 10 bagger at any moment. @shantaram83 Money machine with a beautiful watch collection. @EricJhonsa Brilliant and rational mind. @rubicon59 Seems to never miss. @KyleAdamsStocks Often the first one to find a gem on X. AI @ScarcityTrade Always scouting for multibaggers. @PolarisLog Fellow Samsung enjoyer. @kioxiaman Kioxia's second biggest fan. (I'm the first). @rooney_EE Technical and sharp engineer. Nano / microcap @leevalueroach Deep in the nano and microcap trenches. @convexititties Frequent multibaggers. @charlesbhutch Microcap genius. I have to attribute a significant amount of my 2025 outperformance to this gentlemen. @Aksel465 Great write-ups. @invdiary Junior mining. Great track record. Philosophy @optionsly Some of the brightest most unique takes. Makes you think. Thank you all for the support, the likes, the shares, and ideas.๐Ÿค
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๐ŸŸข $80 billion USD operating profit (1% above consensus).
Samsung 2026.10.08 07:44:36 ๊ธฐ์—…๋ช…: ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์ž(์‹œ๊ฐ€์ด์•ก: 1,572์กฐ 6,489์–ต) A005930 ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋ช…: ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ์žฌ๋ฌด์ œํ‘œ๊ธฐ์ค€์˜์—…(์ž ์ •)์‹ค์ (๊ณต์ •๊ณต์‹œ) ๋งค์ถœ์•ก : 1,950,000์–ต(์˜ˆ์ƒ์น˜ : 2,008,422์–ต/ -3%) ์˜์—…์ต : 1,074,000์–ต(์˜ˆ์ƒ์น˜ : 1,067,467์–ต/ +1%) ์ˆœ์ด์ต : -(์˜ˆ์ƒ์น˜ : 884,415์–ต) **์ตœ๊ทผ ์‹ค์  ์ถ”์ด** 2026.3Q 1,950,000์–ต/ 1,074,000์–ต/ - 2026.2Q 1,714,995์–ต/ 894,924์–ต/ 716,245์–ต 2026.1Q 1,338,734์–ต/ 572,328์–ต/ 472,253์–ต 2025.4Q 938,374์–ต/ 200,737์–ต/ 196,417์–ต 2025.3Q 860,617์–ต/ 121,661์–ต/ 122,257์–ต
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Samsung is expected to post a ~$79B operating profit tonight, the largest of any company in history. Yes thatโ€™s right, even more than $NVDA made last quarter. But expectations are sky-high and the strong won is a major headwind. The market is not looking for a record, it's looking for a surprise. Will it be enough? $DRAM $DISK $MU $SKHY $EWY
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Samsung keeps winning and the market is letting you buy it at 3 P/E and 2027YE TBV. Why arenโ€™t you doing it ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿ’ญ
Holy Shit. Letโ€™s go, Samsung!
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I love Samsung so much, I wish I could put everything Iโ€™ve look at into everyone elseโ€™s head. Iโ€™m at constant disbelief at how beautiful of an opportunity there is that few are talking about. Especially since one of its closest peers is a hot topic on the market.
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My beautiful $TLN, able to time a great accelerated buyback, move in sympathy with $VST on the loan news, and now $CEG on the $GOOG deal. โค๏ธโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ
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I truly think at some point in the next decade, $SNAP will hit a $1 trillion valuation. Is that just delusion? ๐Ÿค” Will $SNAP hit a $1T market cap by 2036? Vote below ๐Ÿ‘‡ By 2036, I think Snap could be doing: ๐Ÿ’ฐ $30B+ in revenue ๐Ÿ’ต $10B+ in net income ๐Ÿ“ˆ $1T market cap That would put $SNAP at roughly a 100ร— P/E. Sounds crazy today. But if users become one of the most valuable assets in the AI eraโ€”and Snap continues to own a massive, young global user base (near a billion users)โ€”I think the market could justify a significant premium. And donโ€™t forgot about specs. ๐Ÿ‘“ A decade from now imagine them with 10 years of technological innovation. They will be 100 times better. Am I crazy? ๐Ÿ‘€ Could Snap be a one trillion dollar company???
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Just finished โ€œHow To Get Filthy Rich in Rising Asiaโ€ and it reminded me of my favourite book. Both unique yet the same. The former about a man who got rich and died empty, the latter about a man who got rich and died broke (after the book).
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