Bringing calm & rational macro analysis to Bitcoin, crypto, and traditional markets | Unc | God is good, 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 is Joy, #Bitcoin is 👑

Blockchain
Joined June 2016
Proverbs 3:5 says it plainly: 'Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding.' Trust the Planner, not just the plan.
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Jack retweeted
Replying to @BTCBreadMan
Or it’s finally beginning
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Saylor's OTC desk
Strategy has acquired 1,142 BTC for ~$90.0 million at ~$78,815 per bitcoin. As of 2/8/2026, we hodl 714,644 $BTC acquired for ~$54.35 billion at ~$76,056 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC strategy.com/press/strategy-…
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need btc to hit one million dollars so i can afford to live the lifestyle of a middle-class 1980’s carpenter
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Jack retweeted
"The sellers are getting exhausted" The sellers:
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Me showing Michael Saylor that he can buy $BTC for $75,000 on Coinbase instead of $87,000 at a grocery store ATM $MSTR
Strategy has acquired 855 BTC for ~$75.3 million at ~$87,974 per bitcoin. As of 2/1/2026, we hodl 713,502 $BTC acquired for ~$54.26 billion at ~$76,052 per bitcoin. $MSTR $STRC strategy.com/press/strategy-…
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Jack retweeted
literally undefeated
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Jack retweeted
thank you mr president
JUST IN: Bitcoin falls under $85,000 as $430,000,000 is liquidated from the crypto market in the past 60 minutes.
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The son of the CEO of the company hired by the US Marshalls to safeguard the nation’s Bitcoin, stole $40m from it and now appears to be running. Treasury must secure the private keys from the Justice Department ASAP before more is stolen.
In case you are curious how John Daghita (Lick) was able to steal $40M+ from US government seizure addresses. John’s dad owns CMDSS, which currently has an active IT government contract in Virginia. CMMDS was awarded a contract to assist the USMS in managing/disposing of seized/forfeited crypto assets. It still remains unclear at this point how John obtained access from his dad.
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$LINK on January 25, 2021: $25 $LINK on January 25, 2026: $11 5 years to lose more than half your money, and you LINK marines all thought you’d be crypto whales throwing yacht parties
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Replying to @_middleEarth @grok
@grok who is stronger now? 🤨
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I have a stack of NFTs that I paid over $100k for, that are worth literally nothing. I can't even get rid of them.
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Jack retweeted
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don’t go babe, 2026 will be our year
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Why is every single polymarket trader just the Thanksgiving turkey chart?
$350k gone in one click One of the biggest and most respected Polymarket traders just lost his entire balance and went deep red All from one trade. The MicroStrategy purchase market snapped to 99 percent the moment the news hit and his whole position evaporated TwoEyes is the main character today. I have seen his profile for a long time. Solid trader. More than a year on Polymarket. But today something went wrong Here is his profile polymarket.com/0xb1a279adb09… Before December 5 his stats looked like this - $273k PnL - 512 predictions - Around 60% winrate But on December 5 he took a huge risk. He entered one of the most dangerous markets with his full balance at 50c And that decision ended his entire run. He even wrote about it on Twitter. An experienced trader but this last move had no clear logic. After the loss he posted “TIL that what wintermute is to crypto donuts is what insiders are to poly donuts” Most people do not profit on Polymarket. Less than 15% win long term. Always bet only what you can afford to lose. Never go all in with your full deposit Here is the market that ended it polymarket.com/event/microst…
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George Washington’s Thanksgiving Proclamation in 1789: "By the President of the United States… Whereas it is the duty of all Nations to acknowledge the providence of Almighty God, to obey his will, to be grateful for his benefits, and humbly to implore his protection and favor— and whereas both Houses of Congress have by their joint Committee requested me to ‘recommend to the People of the United States a day of public thanksgiving and prayer to be observed by acknowledging with grateful hearts the many signal favors of Almighty God especially by affording them an opportunity peaceably to establish a form of government for their safety and happiness.’ Therefore, I do recommend and assign Thursday the 26th day of November next to be devoted by the People of these States to the service of that great and glorious Being, who is the beneficent Author of all the good that was, that is, or that will be. May we all unite in rendering unto him our sincere and humble thanks— for his kind care and protection of the People of this Country previous to their becoming a Nation— for the signal and manifold mercies, and the favorable interpositions of his Providence which we experienced in the course and conclusion of the late war— for the great degree of tranquillity, union, and plenty, which we have since enjoyed— for the peaceable and rational manner, in which we have been enabled to establish constitutions of government for our safety and happiness, and particularly the national One now lately instituted— for the civil and religious liberty with which we are blessed; and the means we have of acquiring and diffusing useful knowledge; and in general for all the great and various favors which he hath been pleased to confer upon us. And also that we may then unite in most humbly offering our prayers and supplications to the great Lord and Ruler of Nations to render our national government a blessing to all the people, by constantly being a Government of wise, just, and constitutional laws, discreetly and faithfully executed and obeyed— to promote the knowledge and practice of true religion and virtue, and the encrease of science among them and us— and generally to grant unto all Mankind such a degree of temporal prosperity as he alone knows to be best. Under my hand at the City of New-York, 3rd of October in the year of our Lord 1789."
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Lost $110K on crypto. Told my wife it was $150K. Now I have a $40K mental safety net. Risk management is key.
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Markets have sucked, so time for some good news! 🐐TradingView has given me 2 annual subs to give away for free! 1) Like & RT this post 2) Share your favorite crypto meme (1 per person) 3) Winner picked Nov 25th And check out TV's Black Friday Sale -> tradingview.com/black-friday…
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⚡️This is one of the most extreme, structurally anomalous readings Bitcoin has ever printed. It reinforces exactly what we’ve been saying about forced flow + microstructure break. Let’s dissect it properly. 1. The Chart Is Legit – and It Confirms the Distortion The three core claims are: A. Lowest 1D MACD reading ever This checks out. To get a new all-time low MACD on the daily, despite only a −33% drawdown, means the velocity and smoothness of the selling is far more extreme than the magnitude of the drawdown. That never happens in organic markets. This is exactly what forced institutional, algorithmic, or risk-mandated selling looks like: •consistent pressure •no reflexive bounces •no momentum resets •no buyer-led intervention Healthy markets don’t do this. Broken execution does. B. RSI 21 on 1D - only 4 times in 5 years Also correct. When you hit RSI 21 during: •a broad risk-off collapse (2020, 2021) •cascading liquidations (FTX 2022) •macro shocks …you expect massive multi-day or multi-week reversals afterward. Yet today, that RSI is printing in a vacuum - with no macro shock, no credit event, no leverage blowout, no ETF redemptions of size. This is compression, not trend destruction. C. Only -33% from ATH despite these extreme readings This is the most important part. In every prior moment where MACD/RSI were this extreme: •Price was down 50–70%. •Funding was deeply negative. •Positioning was wiped clean. •Derivative markets were collapsing. But now? •Price is down just 33%. •ETFs (except for one day) still show net positive January - now. •Permanent holder accumulation is at historical peak. •Solana ETFs printing green every day. •Microstructure is broken, not sentiment. That is the tell. **This is not a natural market. This is not a real seller. This is one or more forced entities closing risk in a broken market.** 2. The Chart Literally Shows Structural Divergence Look at the pattern: •MACD at all-time low •RSI at capitulation-level •Price still structurally in an uptrend •Higher highs + higher lows still intact This is the definition of: Microstructure catastrophe + macro strength. If macro or cycle structure were breaking, you would NOT get: •186,000 BTC absorbed by permanent holders in 6 weeks •Solana ETF 18-for-18 green •ETH holding stronger than BTC •Forced flow during the same 9:30 AM slot for 2 weeks This is a bottleneck, not a cycle reversal. 3. The Seller Hypothesis Fits the Chart PERFECTLY This chart is exactly what you’d see if: •A distressed fund •A broken market maker •A forced unwind •A liquidation mandate •A risk-reduction algorithm …is dumping on schedule, irrespective of price. Healthy markets make: •rounded bottoms, •wick-driven reversals, •volume spikes at inflection points, •and sentiment-coherent reactions. This market is making: •forced candles •identical timed flow •thin liquidity breaks •RSI/MACD extremes without macro justification •divergence where you normally get confluence This is clinical, mechanical execution - not macro. 4. What This Actually Means A. This is NOT a 2021-style trend break 2021 break was: •funding stress •cascading longs •spot selling •macro tightening •exhaustion of buyer demand This is none of that. This is: •spot bid strong •long-term holders buying •ETFs still accumulating •liquidity thin only on one venue •macro neutral to bullish •seller highly constrained and systematic This is not May 2021. This is much closer to March 2020 - a forced actor swinging a wrecking ball through fragile books. B. This confirms the “October 10 microstructure fracture” The indicators align with the exact thesis we just posted: A market maker or deep liquidity provider failed on October 10 - leaving a hole in the order book. This current selling pattern is that same entity (or someone tied to them) unwinding risk. This explains: •timing •rhythm •pressure •lack of reflexivity •bizzarre lack of bid absorption •BTC-specific stress •“why alts aren’t breaking” •“why ETH isn’t collapsing” •“why Solana has massive inflows” •“why macro isn’t involved” •“why forced RSI/MACD divergence exists” It fits too well. This is not random. 5. Final Answer Yes, the chart is real. Yes, it is unprecedented. No, it is not bearish long-term No, the cycle is not broken. Yes, it confirms a forced seller or broken execution system. Yes, this is the last echo of the October 10 fracture. Yes, the unwind will end. And when it ends, the rebound will be violent.
This is insane. Bitcoin has just set its lowest EVER MACD reading on the 1D. It has also hit a 21 on the 1D RSI which has only happened 4x in the last 5 years - I've highlighted them. It has done this, whilst only retracing 33% from ATH. The 50% drop in May 2021 didn't even go as low as this. That is insane pressure over such a short amount of time. If there was doubt about some massive entity was selling for whatever reason, the metrics confirm it. I've never seen anything like it. What is even crazier is that it has done all of this whilst still maintaining a HTF uptrend. This is an unprecedented selling level event that we have never ever seen before. None of this has change my overall thesis for the market, but this will take a bit of time to figure itself out. Probably something like May 2021.
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