
I model sports props… but strikeouts are my favorite | Owner @AMPAnalytics_ | https://teapaw.org/t.co/7czOwLz7eb
Joined March 2023
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MLB Strikeout Wagers Final P/L
Overall: +$1,111 ✅
Straights: +$2,464✅
Parlays: -$1,353❌
Finished up 22.2u with a 2.03% ROI, disappointing but we’ll be back next season, whenever that is
Finding out this guy sells picks is the epitome of the sports betting space lol
Here We Go.. | THE SIDE OF SPORTS BETTING NOBODY WANTS TO SHOW
A lot of people in this space would NEVER post a screenshot like this. But I’ve always considered myself one of the few who genuinely believes in transparency. That means showing the ugly side too, not just the winning tickets.
I’m not going to sugarcoat anything. I lost my ass last month.
One of my biggest mistakes was never establishing a true unit size, or when I did, not actually sticking to it. That’s why the unit total looks as crazy as it does. But regardless of how you look at the numbers, the losses were REAL, and I take full responsibility for that.
That’s a big reason why I decided to step away. I needed to clear my head, reset, and really evaluate how I was approaching sports betting.
The biggest lesson I learned? This isn’t a get-rich-quick scheme. If you’re going to take this seriously, you have to treat your bankroll like an investment. Manage your risk, stay disciplined, and most importantly, NEVER risk money you can’t afford to lose.
Because if you’re betting money you actually need, sooner or later you’re going to fuck yourself. And I had to learn that the hard way.
I’m not posting this for sympathy or to make excuses. I’m posting it because this is the reality of sports betting that doesn’t get talked about enough.
Everybody loves showing the wins. Very few are willing to show what happens when things go completely sideways.
Accountability matters just as much as transparency.
I took my losses, learned my lesson, and I’m focused on doing things differently moving forward.
DaijonBets🤝
#Gambling𝕏
Shai 3s 🪜 💰
Duncan 3s 🪜 💰
+220 ✅
+350 ✅
+560 ✅
+750 ✅
AMPanalyticsarena.com/signup
Also added the 3PM projections to the website with a nifty feature, "who's playing"
Think a guy sits tonight before it’s announced? Set him to Out and his whole team reprices instantly... Get there before the books do
7-day free trial: ampanalyticsarena.com/signup
+19,700 banger last night, I never formally "introduced" my NBA model so here we go....One ticket doesn't prove anything, so here’s what does.
My NBA model has priced 92,324 alt 3PM lines across 3 full seasons it never trained on, plus every game this season so far.
When it says a play hits 10% of the time, it hits about 10%. When it says 20%, about 20%, and so on.
That’s the whole game with longshots. A +1900 isn’t a good bet because it might hit, but when the real chance is bigger than the price says, and you only know that if your percentages are honest...
Here’s how it works 🧵
+19,700 banger last night, I never formally "introduced" my NBA model so here we go....One ticket doesn't prove anything, so here’s what does.
My NBA model has priced 92,324 alt 3PM lines across 3 full seasons it never trained on, plus every game this season so far.
When it says a play hits 10% of the time, it hits about 10%. When it says 20%, about 20%, and so on.
That’s the whole game with longshots. A +1900 isn’t a good bet because it might hit, but when the real chance is bigger than the price says, and you only know that if your percentages are honest...
Here’s how it works 🧵
OH YA BABY CASH THAT SHIT
+19,700 ✅
+1900 ✅
Everything I play is derived from my model outputs, posted in VIP section of discord
discord.gg/7JgD56k6f
The probabilities blend my model with the market price, and the model has to "earn its keep"
When it’s higher than the market, those lines hit more often than the market says and when it’s lower, they hit less, tested on seasons it never saw.
Every variable went through the same test and most got cut
Every play posts live in the VIP Discord: the best price across books, how far the line can move before it’s a pass, units, and the projection.
Also have a bot that grades the plays automatically every night at 3am so we can see how we're doing day in and day out
discord.gg/7JgD56k6f
OH YA BABY CASH THAT SHIT
+19,700 ✅
+1900 ✅
Everything I play is derived from my model outputs, posted in VIP section of discord
discord.gg/7JgD56k6f
Randle 3s 🪜 ✅
Model Probabilities:
o2.5 +340
o3.5 +910
discord.gg/Jk5aYM5rA
Daily Donos :)
I’ve never been so upset to have hit a +2000 lol… one off from the +56k, this is why we run our straights!!
AMPanalyticsarena.com












































