On October 11, Mbappé was 1.8% to win the Ballon d'Or He is 22% this morning Not one vote changed in between The award covers August 2025 to July 2026, so Sunday's Clásico isn't even in the window The result has been locked for four weeks Polymarket has kept trading it Polymarket, after voting closed vs now ＞ Mbappé: 1.8% low on Oct 11 → 22% ＞ Yamal: 60% peak on Oct 1 → 10% ＞ Kane: 32.6% low on Oct 1 → 68% Each move is either noise or information about an answer that already exists 2024 is the precedent Vinícius was 87.5% on ceremony morning, and a list on X billed as the leaked result had him winning By mid-afternoon he was 5.7% Real Madrid boycotted the ceremony in Paris, and Rodri won In 2025, Dembélé was the morning favorite at 76%, and he won Two ceremonies is too few to call a base rate This year none of the top three is staying home Fabrizio Romano reports Mbappé, Kane and Yamal will all attend At 68% Kane is still the clear favorite At 22% Mbappé is about a one-in-five shot The ceremony starts tonight at 20:00 UTC in London Is Mbappé's run from 1.8% to 22% information or noise?

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MBAPPÉ WENT FROM 2.9¢ TO 25.9¢ IN SIX DAYS ON A BALLON D'OR VOTE THAT CLOSED A MONTH AGO WHAT MOVED IT? tonight he plays Yamal in El Clásico. tomorrow the winner gets named in London Polymarket now: Kane 70.7¢, Mbappé 17.8¢, Yamal 11.1¢. $64.7M traded [ poly.market/Ballon_Winner_20… ] ＞ no games count, so the only new thing is talk. since Friday, posts claiming Mbappé won have been all over X, one with 1.4M views. on Oct 3, a "leaked results" post had Yamal winning. none confirmed ＞ leaks aren't always noise. in 2024, reports hours before the ceremony said Rodri, not Vinícius. Real Madrid skipped the show. Rodri won if Mbappé scores tonight and his price jumps, that's not new information. the ballots were in a month ago Kane at 70.7¢: easy money or a surprise ending tomorrow?

Papertrade has been proposed to be a $60M rug scheme Its TVL experiences a loss of 70%, sliding down from $100M to $36M since launch date Never was bullish on it, moreover after points system update (early users' efforts will be washed) Here's how to profit from the TVL fall: I made a prediction that Papertrade's TVL will not be above $35M on Tuesday on Prophet [graveyard.prophetthedog.xyz/…] In return I get a tokenized prediction, an NFT that shows my picked side > If my prediction wins - I get an airdrop in $PROPHET > If not - I can burn my NFT and spin a wheel and still get some portion of tokens That's basically rekt to riches mechanic