Prediction Markets Researcher & Analyst @Polymarket Bull DMs open
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Joined January 2022
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Knight retweeted
the $1WIN sale needs $13.7M more by Friday to clear $20M. since Oct 22 it's added $170K
the counter says NO. my own market on @xomarket says 69% YES
someone is wrong
＞ $13.7M by Friday is $3.2M a day. it's doing $45K a day
＞ at this pace it closes near $6.5M, about a third of the way
＞ the first 22 hours brought in $5.54M. the 10 days since brought in $750K
the YES case is in the sale terms
a deposit can't be withdrawn, and tokens are split pro-rata. getting in early earns you nothing extra. so a big wallet can wait for the last day
wait too long though, and you miss the close
where does the counter close on Oct 30?
🚨 Now live on XO, created by @KnightPredict!
Token sales are so back with @1win from the iGaming world using it for gaming activity and buyback-burn.
With $6.3M deposited already, can the 1win token sale cross $20M?
Mbappé's chance: 18% → 9.5% → 30.3% since yesterday
HUGE
xitter.cf/KnightPredict/status/2…
Mbappé's Ballon d'Or chance went 18% → 9.5% → 30.3% since yesterday
the votes were locked in the whole time
Ballon d'Or tonight on @ProblyHQ :
＞ Kane 63.9%
＞ Mbappé 30.3%
＞ Yamal 6.3%
Mbappé hit 9.5% in the first half of El Clásico. then he scored twice and Real won 2-1 at Camp Nou
Yamal missed from close range. his price fell from 14.4% at kickoff to 6.3%
overnight, Madrid reporters said Real will attend for the first time since 2024. that year they stayed home when word got out Vinícius lost. by morning Mbappé was at 23%
Kane and Yamal are coming too, so attendance tells you little. voting closed Sep 28
Kane at 63.9%: safe pick or does Mbappé steal it tonight?
