Florida Data and Redistricting Guy (He/Him). Lefty Lutheran. Politics, religion, and wrestling. Sign up for my substack!

Florida
Joined April 2021
My newsletter today was a break from political analysis. Instead it was a restart of my religious blog This lefty Christian has alot to say about the evil at the heart of this administration. Welcome to Babylon mcimaps.substack.com/p/chris…
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Day 25 #MappingCoroners2026πŸŽƒ Sixty counties in Pennesylvabia still elect a county coroner. All are elected in the odd-year municipal races This year's β˜ οΈπŸŽƒHalloween Coroner ArticleπŸŽƒβ˜ οΈ will look at some of the races from 2025!
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
Here are the 2024 results for the states Trump & Vance are visiting in the home stretch: Mississippi: πŸ”΄ Trump +23 Texas: πŸ”΄ Trump +14 Ohio: πŸ”΄ Trump +11 Florida: πŸ”΄ Trump +13 Iowa: πŸ”΄ Trump +13 Montana: πŸ”΄ Trump +20 Kansas: πŸ”΄ Trump +16 Michigan: πŸ”΄ Trump +1 Avg: πŸ”΄ Trump +14
This week, President Donald J. Trump will visit: MONDAY (10/26): Corinth, Mississippi TUESDAY (10/27): Corpus Christi, Texas TUESDAY (10/27): Lubbock, Texas WEDNESDAY (10/28): Chillicothe, Ohio FRIDAY (10/30): Daytona, Florida SUNDAY (11/1): Dubuque, Iowa Vice President JD Vance will visit: MONDAY (10/26): Belgrade, Montana MONDAY (10/26): Topeka, Kansas TUESDAY (10/27): Howell, Michigan MORE TO COME... πŸ‘€
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The far-right is melting down about Brazil's results I have handily edited this Penny Arcade comic to guide people on managing the situation. I didn't have to chance much! The red text is the only things changed.
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Sometime after the elections are over, and post-election analysis is done, I'm gonna sit down and go scorched earth on the rise of prediction markets I am going to lead a statistics and religious crusade against these degenerate gambling sites
Brazil elected Lula again tonight. Poll averages appear to have had Lula and FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro effectively tied, maybe Bolsonaro up 1 on Lula β€” so not sure why the markets had this race at 80-20 Bolsonaro. Markets might miss big in the U.S. midterms in 9 days too.
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
That’s a 16% swing from this day in 2024. 7 days if double digit swings make a pattern.
Democrat lead for in-person early voting today is now at 209 ballots
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Over 4,000,000 ballots!!! Clearly the voters of Brazil suddenly remember "oh right the Bolsonaros are crazy" I would like to congratulate the voters of Brazil for being smarter than the voters of America
Brazilian presidential election βœ…πŸŸ₯Lula 51.76% (left-wing) [incumbent] 🟦Bolsonaro 48.24% (right-wing) 99.8% reporting Results from The Guardian
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
This again is the man a group of bishops went to pray over in an election photo op - shameful
β€œI looked at one hell of a beautiful ass before, Nicki Minaj. That's hard to miss,” Trump says
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Voting is wrapped up for today in Florida! Democrats won in-person early voting today by 0.2% - pushed by a massive surge in the late afternoon. Democrats hold a 9,000 ballot lead statewide, with a turnout advantage sitting at 7% #flapol
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
#NewProfilePic – at ValparaΓ­so de GoiΓ‘s, Brasil
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
LULA HITTING HIS MARKS, DEMS WINNING THE EARLY VOTE IN FLORIDA
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
Brazilian presidential election βœ…πŸŸ₯Lula 51.52% (left-wing) [incumbent] 🟦Bolsonaro 48.48% (right-wing) 88.7% reporting Results from The Guardian
Brazilian presidential election πŸŸ₯Lula 51.0% (left-wing) [incumbent] 🟦Bolsonaro 49.0% (right-wing) 72.4% reporting Results from The Guardian
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
πŸ‡§πŸ‡·#Brazil, presidential election results (2nd round): In a stunning upset, Datafolha projects that Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva (PT) will be the next President of Brazil, defeating Flavio Bolsonaro (PL). He will lead Brazil for a fourth term. #EleiΓ§Γ΅es2026
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πŸ‡§πŸ‡· As this election campaign finally comes to an end, we can say with statistical certainty that FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro (PL) will be elected the next president of the Federative Republic of Brazil tomorrow night. Bolsonaro now officially has a 100% chance of victory, compared to Lula's 0%. (globalelectionsimulator.com) will update its final projections within the coming hours. At this point, the only uncertainty our team has is the exact margin, not the outcome. The absolute range for FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro is 50.5% to 56.2%, while Lula's is 43.8% to 49.5%. Our final projection update will go live in a moment on the website and here shortly after. A banner will note that the projection has updated, so you will know it is official. 🌐 Global Election Simulator Research Institute πŸ”— globalelectionsimulator.com
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
The guy who stole almost half of my website without credit, then humiliated me and claimed I stole HIS website, claimed that Bolsonaro had a 100% chance of victory. Then Lula won. LMAOOO
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Its beautiful
Brazil (Presidential Election, second round), 72.8% counted: Lula (PT, centre-left): 51.0% (+0.5) F. Bolsonaro (PL, right): 49.0% (-0.5) (+/- vs 60.9% counted) #Brazil #Lula #Bolsonaro
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Small batches of votes being cast between 6pm and 8pm in a few counties. Those ballots have been DEM +9% Sunday's in-person early vote sits at DEM +0.2% (294 ballots) #flapol
Democrat lead for in-person early voting today is now at 209 ballots
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
No joke, Lula is the greatest living politician to ever exist. What a comeback
BREAKING: Lula’s odds to win Brazil’s Presidential election are at 87% (as of 7:06 PM ET)
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Florida Data Geek βœοΈπŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦πŸ‡¬πŸ‡±πŸŽƒ retweeted
Funny how up until a few hours ago there was basically no coverage of Brazil’s election in Anglo circles but now after all the shady stuff there are hundreds of MAGA accounts calling for fraud. Guess someone sent a memo
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Democrat lead for in-person early voting today is now at 209 ballots
As of 6:45, with 150,000 ballots cast today... Democrats lead in today's in-person vote cast by 66 ballots!
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