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Joined December 2021
New on Pollitik’s Substack: Check out the last time the Conservative Party saw popular approval with Boris Johnson, whose approval rose to 50.7% in Apr 2020, then fell to 24.1% by Sep 2022. This new chart traces the full story. Data: Executive Approval Project. #UKPolitics
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What’s the matter with Lee Jae Myung? 🇰🇷 His popularity peaked at 67.5% in April 2026, then fell to 41.3% by October. Our new Substack examines the election failures, cabinet turmoil, and housing pressure that unfolded alongside the decline. @ExecApproval #SouthKorean
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Replying to @Pollitik_Lab
@Pollitik_Lab Jair Bolsonaro and Lula sit on opposite sides of Brazilian politics, yet their approval followed the same arc: a peak, a drop of more than 20 points, and a partial recovery. Lula won the Oct 25 runoff with 51.8% of valid votes. #Brazil #Lula #Eleições2026 #Lula2026
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Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽 Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point. #Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
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Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms. 50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa. Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Americans' preferences for issues aren't static. How have abortion stances shifted post-Dobbs?
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RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office? Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit… #approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
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Who'll be Florida's next governor? A view from the fundamentals suggests a tighter race than you might suspect...subscribe to our Substack for free access or see link in comments
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Replying to @Pollitik_Lab
@Pollitik_Lab The race for Georgia governor just got a projection. 823 votes decided Keisha Lance Bottoms' 2017 runoff. Could 2026 come down to just as few? Check out our new forcast: pollitik.substack.com/p/fund… #gapol
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Who will be Georgia's next governor? The answer may surprise you....In our latest Substack we compare 2 fundamentals forecasts with prediction market vibes. Follow Pollitik there & see link in 1st comment.
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