Pollitik retweeted
Some of our interpretations of the results for our governors’ predictions were reported here by @Newsweek newsweek.com/democratic-gove…
Pollitik retweeted
Tmw, 36 governorships are on the ballot. In Sept, EAD authors Greg Love, @RyanECarlin1 & @MattSingerPOLS registered fundamentals forecasts for all 36 built on approval measured a full year out, no polls, no candidates. How does it stack up against Sabato's Crystal Ball today? 🧵
Pollitik retweeted
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽
Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point.
#Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.
Pollitik retweeted
@Pollitik_Lab Jair Bolsonaro and Lula sit on opposite sides of Brazilian politics, yet their approval followed the same arc: a peak, a drop of more than 20 points, and a partial recovery. Lula won the Oct 25 runoff with 51.8% of valid votes.
#Brazil #Lula #Eleições2026 #Lula2026
Pollitik retweeted
New research by @PollitikLab! If you haven't followed the new account, please do. H/t to @IzuO812 for the great visualization!
Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽
Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point.
#Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.
Pollitik retweeted
Very excited to see this important Special Issue come together and to have contributed to it. Thx to the co-editors @htchen_ @uatiff @SebaValenz for their work as support!
🚨Out now!🚨
POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts.
An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag062
All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
Pollitik retweeted
🌡️ readings for the US public
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms.
50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa.
Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
Pollitik retweeted
Blessed to have worked with THE @JamesSwaffordGA on this as part of the 2026 Summer edition of @PollitikLab. Thx for bringing it, James!
Florida isn't my specialty, but I took a look. Based on the math, I projected that @RepDonaldsPress will take the Florida governorship with 48.3% of the vote.
This ended up being a fun yet challenging project to work on as part of my Grad program.
Pollitik retweeted
Nice job @PollitikLab on this report! Forecasts were built on data from @MattSingerPOLS's State Executive Approval Database
Pollitik retweeted
Worth a look
We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist?
Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t…
H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
Pollitik retweeted
⭐️⭐️⭐️NEW DATA ESSAY⭐️⭐️⭐️
📣 "La inteligencia artificial como refugio digital. Usos emocionales y regulación de la soledad en Argentina" by Constanza Cilley
✅ Check it out! ➡️ lnkd.in/eekZHUxz
Pollitik retweeted
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️NEW ARTICLE⭐️⭐️⭐️
"Is Democracy in Plain Sight? Presidential Personalism and Public Opinion about the Country’s Democratic Status" by Alejandro Monsivais-Carrillo @AMonsivaisC 🔗in 1st comment.
Pollitik retweeted
The Seligson Prize is awarded annually by @LAPOP_Lab to recognize outstanding scholarship using AmericasBarometer data.
The prize honors the legacy of the late Mitchell A. Seligson, founder of LAPOP and a pioneer in the study of public opinion in Latin America.
Pollitik retweeted
🏆 Congratulations to @RyanECarlin1 and Shane P/ Singh, recipients of the 2026 Seligson Prize!
Their paper, "The Pigmentocracy of Executive Approval," was selected as this year's winning work for its outstanding use of #AmericasBarometer data.
Pollitik retweeted
This year's selection committee, @AmyEricaSmith, @TaylorBoas, and @yogerardomh, recognized the paper's important contribution to the study of democracy, governance, and public opinion in the Americas.
📖 Read the award-winning article: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.…
Pollitik retweeted
Just out in @poqjournal! H/t to Philip Warncke, my amazing co-author & methods wiz. Thx to all those who engaged critically w/this work at any point, start to finish.
Pollitik retweeted
Some really great work I’ve had the opportunity to contribute to over the past couple months. Check it out!
New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉
Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
