Replying to @PonderingPicks @KBProps
Crazy to think this is our 3rd season now collabing, letโs cash fellas ๐ฅ
AD WILL FEAST โข๏ธ
๐ NBA Dish #1 (10/26)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ง๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ + ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ (โ๐๐๐)
Cooked w/ @KBProps ๐ค @PonderingPicks
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Looks like the books are still disrespecting AD here, as weโre somehow still getting this low of a line for him against a pretty solid matchup. Let me explain why weโre backing the Brow today.
- AD started off the season very hot, dropping 34 points along with 4 assists in 34 minutes against the Milwaukee Bucks. Last game, he barely missed this line with 23 PA against the Bulls.
- Honestly, hit rates arenโt even what Iโm looking at in both of these games. Itโs actually his FGA volume that caught my eye. He took 20 and 21 shots in those games, which honestly makes this line look so silly.
- The #1 overall pick for the Wizards this year, AJ Dybantsa, still remains to make his NBA debut and has already been ruled out for todayโs game. AD should continue to see the usage and volume heโs been seeing.
- With 20+ FGA, heโs over this line in 26 of his last 30 games while averaging 33 PA per game. The books are giving us around a 17.5 FGA line for him, so theyโre definitely expecting good volume from him as well.
- AD has absolutely DOMINATED the Hornets in his career, as heโs over this line in his last 7 STRAIGHT games against them. Dating back to 2014, he has gone over this line in 13 of his last 14 games against Charlotte.
- Weโve also already seen forwards and big men like Julius Randle drop 33 points and 7 assists in his Nets debut and Bam Adebayo drop 20 points and 4 assists against the Hornets this season.
- Besides the scoring side, we also like the addition of assists here. AD needs just 2+ assists to give us an edge with his PA line since his points line has been bumped up to 21.5. Heโs currently -400 on FanDuel to record 2 assists.
- Love this spot for AD today to continue seeing a high amount of usage and volume and dominate this Hornets team once again like he has in the past. He might honestly clear this line in points alone.
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
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A week later:
Kyren Williams: 11 Rush Attempts
Blake Corum: 16 Rush Attempts
Make it make sense ๐ค
Replying to @AZBUCKEYE2026
You spammed this all over this post
EASY MONEY ๐ฐ
โ
Kyren Williams o67.5 Rush Yards โ
The matchup was too good to ignore! Averaging 7 yards per carry today to cash the collab w/ @Picks_x_Stevie ๐ค
Down to Love for profit on the day ๐
โค๏ธ IF YOU TAILED!
TRUST THE MATCHUP ๐
๐ NFL Prop #5 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐๐ง ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @Picks_x_stevie ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Kyren has been one of the more efficient running backs in football this season, averaging 4.9 yards per carry with 393 rushing yards on 80 attempts. Now he gets another favorable matchup against one of the worst run defenses in football.
- Williams has earned an 82.2 PFF rushing grade, ranking 6th among 47 qualifying RBs, while forcing 23 missed tackles and averaging 3.4 yards after contact per attempt. Los Angeles has one of the best offensive lines in football, ranking 1st in adjusted line yards (4.94) and 2nd in RB yards before contact (2.48). Left tackle Alaric Jackson returns from his suspension, giving the Rams another important piece of their offensive line.
- Las Vegas has struggled badly defending the run this season, ranking 28th in rushing yards allowed (134.3 per game), 29th in yards per carry allowed, 29th in explosive runs allowed and 32nd in yards before contact per carry allowed. The Raiders rank 30th against RB rushing yards specifically, allowing opposing backs to consistently find running lanes and generate explosive gains.
Several RBs have already cleared their rushing-yard lines against Las Vegas ๐
โ
Kenneth Walker: 177 Rush Yds | Line: 86.5
โ
James Cook: 95 Rush Yds | Line: 93.5
โ
Omarion Hampton: 94 Rush Yds | Line: 62.5
โ
Rhamondre Stevenson: 64 Rush Yds | Line: 37.5
โ
Travis Etienne Jr: 57 Rush Yds | Line: 39.5
- The Rams will be without Davante Adams, while Puka Nacua is questionable with a calf injury. Los Angeles has already been incorporating heavier offensive formations with multiple tight ends, and the receiving injuries could give Sean McVay even more reason to establish the ground game. Kyren hasnโt exceeded 16 carries this season, but heโs already shown he can clear this number with that workload, and the Raidersโ struggles defending the run create an excellent opportunity for another efficient performance.
- The Rams have a major advantage in the trenches against a Raiders defense that has struggled to stop opposing RBs all season. With a strong offensive line, favorable matchup and additional reasons to lean on the rushing attack, we like Kyren to get back over 67.5 rushing yards.
Best Odds: -113 FanDuel / Onyx
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
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๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
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NATIONAL TE DAY CASH ๐ฐ
โ
Trey McBride over 6.5 Receptions โ
Heโs AUTOMATIC! Sweat free winner w/ @hotshotfantasy & @SGTPROPS8 ๐ค
โค๏ธ IF YOU TAILED!
HE WILL FEAST ON NATIONAL TE DAY ๐
๐ NFL Sunday Dish #3 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @SGTPROPS8 ๐ค @hotshotfantasy
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- McBride has established himself as one of the most reliable receiving options in football and continues to be the centerpiece of Arizonaโs passing attack. He has cleared this line in all 6 games this season, averaging 8.2 receptions per game while commanding a team-leading 65 targets and a 28.5% target share. He has recorded at least 7 receptions in every game, regardless of matchup or game script.
- His connection with Jacoby Brissett has been especially productive. McBride has cleared this line in 13/15 games with Brissett under center, and Arizona trading Marvin Harrison Jr. gives him an even clearer path to maintaining his massive target volume. McBride has gone over in 6/7 games without Harrison, averaging 8.4 receptions in that sample.
- McBride is averaging 38.3 routes per game, ranking in the 99th percentile among tight ends, while earning a target on 28.3% of his routes. His 5.5-yard aDOT and 70.8% short target rate make him an ideal player for a receptions prop. Arizona consistently gets him involved on underneath routes, quick throws and intermediate concepts, allowing him to accumulate catches without relying on explosive plays. His 75.4% catch rate gives him an excellent opportunity to convert that volume into another 7+ reception performance.
- Denver has a strong defense, but the Broncos will be without starting safety Talanoa Hufanga, removing an important defender from their secondary. McBrideโs ability to line up across the formation creates opportunities for Arizona to attack linebackers and safeties rather than relying on conventional outside receiving matchups. The Broncos rank 23rd against short target rate to TEs and 24th against their average target depth, making the underneath areas where McBride operates especially important.
- Arizona leads the NFL in tight end receptions and has increasingly utilized formations with multiple tight ends. McBride even mentioned wanting to see plenty of 13 personnel on National Tight Ends Day, and the Cardinals have already shown how heavily their offense revolves around the position. With Brissett consistently feeding him targets, Harrison no longer competing for opportunities and a receiving role built around high-percentage throws, we like McBride to record 7+ receptions for the seventh straight game!
Best Odds: -137 Kalshi | -145 BetMGM
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
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