Pair-trading at @pear_protocol | CKSG #4 | prev: @laevitas1 | Run it back turbo.

Singapore
Joined April 2018
Gd thing I didn't get farmed by wallet providers trading on @variational_io I used my chad bro's code
Turns out Rabby is not the only wallet farming you. I checked other wallets too. These ones add their Hyperliquid code silently, users on their code: > Phantom: 200,408 > MetaMask: 65,943 > Axiom: 47,815 > Rabby: 47,156 > Rainbow: 3,638 Didnt expect that. Everyone is making money off you, and you cant change your referral code once its set. Go check your Hyperliquid referrer😂
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This is a short year for crypto. Like, short crypto makes money. Short the price, short volatility.
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VAR gonna pay dividends soon iykyk
When the underlying of a TradFi perp or swap pays a dividend, traders who are long that market on Omni can receive it. Over the past week alone, more than 2,000 traders on Omni received dividends for holding long perp or swap positions.
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crypto needs the other Arthur, the singaporean one, you know who. not this grifter.
Everytime Arthur sells, bottom is usually in. NFA.
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40.45% on my LIT / MON pair! Was expecting this pair to blow in my face because I know how bad the market is for $LIT right now. But $MON is worse 😅 🍐 Trade smarter with @pear_protocol app.pear.garden/p/LIT-MON.28…
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no match for the leviathans but you get the points you deserves. Acct PNL up so points are cost-free :)
Hit my goal 12 hours early for this epoch. Hopefully 50 pts. Just dragging my account through the line, one epoch at a time. Good PNL this week :) Made money on shorting some crimed up crypto coins. gVAR to you if you are still clicking on this. Be More Bullish. @variational_io
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Ah. Here we go again. Keeping the OI strong pair trading on @variational_io. I combine price performance with social sentiment to help me choose the right side of the pairing. My strategy is in my pinned post.
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Hit my goal 12 hours early for this epoch. Hopefully 50 pts. Just dragging my account through the line, one epoch at a time. Good PNL this week :) Made money on shorting some crimed up crypto coins. gVAR to you if you are still clicking on this. Be More Bullish. @variational_io
Gearing towards my goal of $1.2M volume (hopefully 50pts) and positive RPNL on @variational_io for this epoch. PNL helped by shorting some crimed up crypto coins as a side quest. I'm still fully loaded on rwa equities pairs that's where I like to play in. I swing from session to session, sometimes intra-session. Vari team spoke publicly at lengths about their upcoming launches: - Trading API - Omni Pro (institutional) - Options Will continue to trade post TGE for sure. Hope you get good points this week !
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Be More Bullish
Thanks to everyone who joined! Glad to kick off a content series on how Variational Pro will bring trillions of dollars in institutional trading on-chain across rates, options, and other derivatives. As @andyyy says, "be more bullish."
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It's true. Stick with Pears, you can't go wrong. I actually haven't looked at positions on @pear_protocol for days !
Pear Protocol has the most profitable Users. Maybe you should study Pair Trading.
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where's the black monday?
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financial engineering testing in prod. hope you guys come out profitable
A note on transferability. Papertrade is a complicated primitive, and managing it from a risk standpoint is a complicated problem. The PAPER token is far more integrated into the economics of the primitive than most tokens are in their respective protocols today, and, broadly, was designed to act as a counter insolvency incentive coupled with a rebate mechanism to losing traders. Market makers and exchanges are by far the two most profitable businesses in crypto, and our goal was to try and externalise as much of their margins back to users as possible. We are now just over a week into the life of papertrade and we are becoming increasingly confident that this is both possible, but also a likely outcome as agentic led software becomes the norm. As it stands, the paper token traded as a perp becomes a leveraged bet on bankroll solvency - and being able to short bankroll solvency materially changes the payoff curve of a manipulation attack. The target number goes from the bankroll, to the bankroll + short side exposure on paper. We can, and do limit bankroll size specifically to control this payoff curve and ensure it never becomes existentially problematic, but external perp markets are not something we would have any control over if left to float of their own accord. For example, if our bankroll is $10m, an attack costing $15m manipulating the price of bitcoin or ether is not viable. You simply lose money. If however you were also able to put on $10m of PAPER short side exposure, suddenly an attack costing $15m is very viable indeed. If we were to make the token transferable at this point, we are confident we would quickly enter a state too dangerous to allow any material exposure to be taken on papertrade, an end result that benefits no party beyond the wolves who have done the math on the short and are waiting in the wings with sharpened knives. We would also like to thank the various perps teams who have reached out about pre-market listings for their understanding and patience regarding this issue, and especially to the paragon team who, despite jumping the gun on us, have behaved with the utmost integrity and transparency once a dialogue was opened. Perps on PAPER will always act as a self-limiting exposure ceiling for a token with this type of utility, and we think it would be a shame to limit the growth of papertrade to the extent that allowing perps would necessitate. As such, at this juncture we do not have plans to allow off-contract token transferability. Structurally, papertrade is limited by the quality of the data it receives from hyperliquid, but we strongly believe that hyperliquid has a very large part to play in the future of global exchanges, and expect their books to continue to thicken and strengthen over time. A note on fees. Papertrade launched with a deadband fee from entry of 0.2bps. This means you don't earn anything until the price has moved by 0.002% in your favour. Over the months before launch, we played around with many different curves and fee structures affecting exclusively positions closed very close to entry price in order to try and devise a structure that removed the edge against the bankroll low time frame scalp bots have, whilst also minimally impacting the traders around which and for whom the product was devised. We were never able to find anything we were absolutely happy with and so decided to stay with the 0.2bp deadband fee through launch. This has however meant we have had to be very restrictive when it came to certain parameters, such as OI caps. Now, however, we have enough live data to fully understand exactly which strategies work, and to make the necessary changes to stop them. The changes we are making will have an on hours and off hours fee mode to account for the relative differences in liquidity the hyperliquid books see between these two time periods, and the ease with which low time frame moves are signalled. The changes we are making will only affect positions closed within 6bps of entry (0.06%) in on hours, and 10bps (0.1%) in off hours. Any trades closed above these threshold price shifts will see no change to their fees at all. On a look back to launch basis, these changes affect the profitability of bot strategies roughly 15x more than they do normal traders, for whom a very small proportion of overall winnings come from within this band. These changes should serve to flatten much of the edge our microfee structure necessarily creates on low time frames, and will help with long term exchange sustainability. This should hopefully allow us to open up parameters such as OI caps a little more so those of you who wish to can put on the size you want to, when you want to. It is possible these changes are still too lax, and that further revisions to this structure may be necessary going forwards. If so, we will notify users ahead of time. A note on paper tokenomics. In conjunction with the fee changes, we will also be implementing a change to the token issuance curve. Going forward, every $1 lost mints a fixed share of PAPER's supply at that moment, roughly 0.1% of supply per $1M lost (the exact number depends on the mint rate at the time the contracts are upgraded). PAPER minting in and near insolvency will also change, switching from a flat 100 per $1 of loss, to a time weighted multiplier on the curve growing over time, effectively acting as the house running a discounted auction on its own future cash flows. This change also removes the risk of the paper-mint-straddle-attack, temporarily pushing the protocol insolvent by closing only the winning side of a large straddle position and then attempting to mint as much paper as possible. In the immediate term these changes will only have a very subtle effect on PAPER minting, but in the long run will structurally change the outlook of the system beyond the first few weeks, serving to slowly dilute out older holders and leaving more recent users with an advantage. Reconstituting the PAPER system into something much closer to the exchange rakeback it was intended to be. We have been very reticent to touch this particular aspect of the system for obvious reasons, but ultimately we believe that these changes provide all users with the optionality to take a smaller piece of a potentially much larger pie than the current dynamic might necessarily allow. Other, miscellaneous notes. These contract upgrades will include a few other contract changes, including the addition of builder codes so that builders can utilise papertrade in whatever capacity they choose to. This will be a whitelist only to begin with and we will have more for you later in the week on where/how this will be rolled out. A small change to contract permissions on the reward distributor and a change on how below bust closes are processed by the exchange are also included, largely to block gas griefing attacks. These changes will be pushed to docs in full over the coming day, and we will further announce once the changes are queued into the timelock pending final security passes, scheduled to go live 24 hours after that point. Final note. We'd like to thank everyone that has tried out papertrade over the last 10 days. It has been a labour of love building this product and both of us have been taken aback at all of the positive feedback we have received. We'd also like to thank all those of you who have spent considerable time musing on the system we have built, and much of your advice has been taken onboard and will likely affect the colour of what papertrade becomes going forward. We know some of these changes will be unpopular with some, but we would not be making them if we did not feel them to be absolutely necessary. - blurr, jez
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Time to enter the new house The House of All Finance
$PEAR's Token Migration Portal is live. Trading opens on Tuesday on Hyperliquid. 🍐 app.pear.garden/portfolio/mi…
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Wen richest man in singapore gib me 1 stock of DBS bank?
Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America. This will be the first of many.
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Gearing towards my goal of $1.2M volume (hopefully 50pts) and positive RPNL on @variational_io for this epoch. PNL helped by shorting some crimed up crypto coins as a side quest. I'm still fully loaded on rwa equities pairs that's where I like to play in. I swing from session to session, sometimes intra-session. Vari team spoke publicly at lengths about their upcoming launches: - Trading API - Omni Pro (institutional) - Options Will continue to trade post TGE for sure. Hope you get good points this week !
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If you are not maximising 24/7 crypto markets why are you even in crypto? Hedge your portfolio before markets react during regular trading hours come Monday. Yea, I'm talking to AI on a Sunday to find trading angles. Am using here the telegram bot @agent_pear by @pear_protocol Don't wait for things to happen. Create that reality.
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Can every of my shorts be like this? I didn't know I had this short on lmeow My next goal is to find the orderbook structure on how to predict and nail this. There's got to be some telltale signs...some smoking gun to crimed up coins like this wyt
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“The 'pear' ticker on HL spot right now is a scam, don't buy it.” Careful out there.
Important announcement for any $PEAR or $stPEAR holders We are coming home (to Hyperliquid spot and HyperEVM) The 'pear' ticker on HL spot right now is a scam, don't buy it.
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When $BVIV on @variational_io ? I need to hedge my hopeless crypto majors longs volatility @ColeGotTweets @variational_lvs
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US Fri is a bloodbath…almost everything is in red. But my rwa pairs system actually NET up in green. Pair trading is very forgiving to your PNL even if you are wrong. We’re not going for moonshot gains. We’re playing the little edge every time. Dispersion of the market. Assuming the strong gets stronger, the weak gets weaker. You don’t pair everything and anything in the market. Here’s how I do it on @variational_io • Group them up first (see my screenshot). • Then use some metrics to determine what is showing strength/ weakness. It can be z mean, past period chg%, or even social sentiment through X posts. (Tip: You can pull historical klines data of most rwa tickers from public endpoints of hl okx nance bybit) Try this with a small and new account on Variational so you can track your progress and don’t get stressed by your PNL swings. Use my link below if you feel led to. omni.variational.io/?ref=OMN… Keep your port alive by trading pairs.
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