Ryan Maddock retweeted
Gagging government agencies because they might say something the government won't like.
Absolutely wild stuff from the Albanese government, who once claimed to be paragons of transparency.
Source: afr.com/politics/federal/gov…
Ryan Maddock retweeted
PANTS ON FIRE?
“We’ve found a further $63.8 billion in savings and reprioritisations, taking the total since coming to government to almost $180 billion”
So said the government in the last budget
That claim – that the government has saved $180 bn since first elected in 2022 – isn’t what the official figures say:
· Those numbers (contained in the budget papers in what I call the Table of Truth) actually say the cumulative cost to the budget of government decisions since first elected has been $103bn – as seen in the chart here
· That’s the net of decisions to increase spending (at $142bn) and decisions to increase taxes (at $39bn)
· Or, to put that gently, the official figures say the exact opposite of what the government claims – its decisions have made the budget worse, not better
Of course all politicians put the best possible spin on their actions. But this particular one gets way too much airplay
Notably, the official estimate of a net $103bn worsening in the budget due to policy decisions is about the most flattering possible way to measure what has actually occurred
For example, it excludes the costs shifted off-budget
And it excludes the cost of decisions that are government policy, but weren’t decided on by Cabinet. That means the (much needed) lift in wages for child and aged care workers isn’t counted as a cost attributable to the government, but rather to the Fair Work Commission
To be clear, all politicians kick dust into the air like this
But we need to judge them on their actual track record, not on what they say that track record is …
Ryan Maddock retweeted
If only the government had some alternatives so the RBA didn't have to hike rates...
/s
Man, talk about gaslighting.
Ryan Maddock retweeted
This isn't new from me.
But I have to say it again, and with feeling.
The RBA is in this position, in part, because Federal and State governments are doing nothing material to help.
Mortgage-payers are getting it in the neck because our pollies are gutless.
Simple as that.
Ryan Maddock retweeted
It’s not just backbenchers worried by Labor’s ‘small business pile-on’ afr.com/politics/federal/it-…
Ryan Maddock retweeted
Spot on Chris - we are long past time to refocus on productivity and growing the pie. Pretending that cost of living sugar hits and slicing up the pie will solve the problem (of lower living standards) is just making it worse.
FIGHT INFLATION FIRST – THEN SPRINT ON PRODUCTIVITY
Although we talk lots about our cost-of-living problems, they’re just a symptom: it’s inflation that’s the cause:
- Our wages aren’t buying as much because prices outsprinted them.
- Our tax burden is nudging record rates because inflation acts as a tax.
- And our mortgage rates are up because the Reserve Bank needs them there to fight inflation.
So if we want to start to get on top of our cost-of-living problems, then TINA – There Is No Alternative but to fight inflation first.
And whether that happens via the RBA playing a lone hand or if some other spending is also cut to help them along the way doesn’t matter as much as ensuring that the job actually gets done ASAP.
But wait, there’s more ... Fixing inflation is vital, but it isn’t enough. There’s a deeper problem. Australia keeps getting spurts of inflation because the productivity engine of our economy is completely clapped out. We start to generate more inflation every time this nation gets more than five minutes of economic sunshine.
The solution is a faster economic speed limit. Once this nation does get inflation down, we need to turn absolutely all our energies towards getting productivity up.
A decade of being stuck in the slow lane is eviscerating our politics. We’re getting better and better at hating each other, but worse and worse at solving our problems.
The most read book in policy circles in recent years is Abundance. It argues that nations need to cut through the thicket of well-meaning regulations that have crippled the ability to advance in everything from housing to health care.
But Australia has spent decades becoming the anti-Abundance nation.
We’ve stalled our living standards.
And unless and until we create a growing pie-per-person, our politics will keep scrapping viciously over stagnant slices of the pie.
It’s long past time to get serious on productivity.
We’re being let down by a government whose only strategy is hope. What we need are clear reforms that reduce red tape and cut taxes, not the other way around.
Opinion: The message is always similar: Don’t worry about dire productivity or economic growth because the AI miracle will save us: bit.ly/46pOOEw
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Ryan Maddock retweeted
Replying to @LouiChristopher
The government growing spending well above the potential growth rate of the economy is the core of the problem. The RBA must respond, no matter how fruitlessly, to inflation if they are to retain a shred of credibility. But the inflation problem can only be fixed fundamentally with a 5-10% cut in the size of recurrent government spending over the next 5-10years. And that is all levels of government. It should have started in May. This is an uncomfortable reality very few people in this country are willing to accept. But just like the late 1980s, I fear we will be forced to learn the hard way. There is no free lunch. The piper will be paid. Economic fantasy may help people physiologically deal with the world around them. But it is not leadership. And it certainly won’t guide our community through this in the least painful way.
Ryan Maddock retweeted
"It’s not an ABC journalist who should do better. It’s the prime minister himself."
Time and time again, the public have been gaslighted by a prime minister who constantly accused his predecessor of having a loose relationship with the truth."
theage.com.au/politics/feder…
Ryan Maddock retweeted
Growth in GDP per capita since the Albanese government was elected:
Australia vs United States
Ryan Maddock retweeted
A 30-year-old superannuant could lose as much as $146,000 by the time they reach 65 if Labor’s stealth super tax proceeds, modelling shows. Exclusive: bit.ly/4zRzePI
Ryan Maddock retweeted
Australia can’t tax and redistribute its way to prosperity, BCA warns afr.com/politics/federal/aus…
Ryan Maddock retweeted
Ive got two questions on the back of this:
1) If the energy transition is supposed to represent overwhelmingly attractive private-sector investment opportunities, why does the government believe foreign investors require preferential taxation extending all the way to 2040 to keep their capital coming?
2) Why should a foreign investor financing an Australian renewable project receive a concessional tax treatment that an Australian investing in another productive Australian industry may not receive?
if taxpayers must continually improve the economics of the investment through subsidies, underwriting, concessional finance and now preferential taxation treatment, we should be asking what the transition actually costs without the government support.
Foreign investors in renewables will be offered a concessional 15 per cent tax rate until 2040, under a deal struck between the government and the Greens. ebx.sh/v2Sl0i
Ryan Maddock retweeted
“Staggering incompetence”. Or worse?
Treasury’s own #CGT papers contain a fundamental modelling error that completely changes the effective tax rates on real gains.
@DerekFranc90653 (former NSW PBO Chief Economist) walks through it clearly. The new insane #CGT is even more punitive than the @ausgov claimed.
We must all keep fighting this insane new #CGT that @AlboMP & @JEChalmers are applying to Australian businesses and investors.
#StoptheCGT #JoinWARonCGT
The staggering incompetence of Jim Chalmers and Treasury with their costing error with the world's highest capital gains tax is highlighted in this video.
teapaw.org/AheadAus/status/208672…
Ryan Maddock retweeted
Replying to @JEChalmers
Highest core inflation of all the developed world countries assessed below by a full percentage point.
Chart source:
linkedin.com/posts/alex-join…
Ryan Maddock retweeted
At Labor's national conference, Anthony Albanese and delegates were more focused on redistribution and fighting old political enemies than tackling falling real wages, writes political editor Phillip Coorey. ebx.sh/a5kwdA
Ryan Maddock retweeted
How do we become more prosperous by:
- intentionally taxing some conventional business structures at 60%,
- sale of a typical portfolio at >50%, and
- retirees with <$45k income at 30% CGT?
How?
Ryan Maddock retweeted
Right on cue. Australia’s new CGT regime is already changing investor behaviour.
The Japanification of Australia has begun. Capital is flowing out of productive growth assets and into high dividend and fixed income ETFs as investors optimise for tax instead of growth.
That’s such a bad outcome for productivity, innovation and long term economic growth.
theaustralian.com.au/wealth/…
































