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Friends: I started a Substack called "The Analytics Say..." where I'm going to be writing about thoughts that are too long for Twitter.
It is free and will always be free.
My first post is on where does the Royals organization goes from here
theanalyticssay.substack.com…
Feels like you only need one hand (compliment) to count the Reid/Mahomes era belt whippings. Something like the two SBs, at Denver, at Tennessee, tonight probably qualifies.
Chiefs have run ONE sneak (a Noah Gray sneak in 2022) since 2022 regardless of position sneaking it (per @FantasyPtsData). Panthers even have had Bryce Young run one.
Seattle came in as the 24th ranked offense by DVOA and other than when the Seahawks shoot themselves in their foot, the Chiefs defense (12th in DVOA) has been walked pretty good
Velus Jones being out is a net positive if it forces them out of giving him these silly touches
#Seahawks WR Rashid Shaheed (knee) will not return, while RB Velus Jones Jr. is out because of a hamstring injury.
On the one hand the Seahawks have played great and it's a 13 point advantage
On the other hand the Seahawks haven't played that great and it's a 13 point advantage
Williams interception was worth ~10% win probability (Seattle went from 94% to 84%). A touchdown there would have probably been the nail.










