PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
Critics call prediction markets "backdoor sports betting." But a sportsbook needs you to lose.
It sets the line and books the bet against you. An exchange just matches you with a trading partner.
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
This is exactly what's wrong with the sportsbook business model:
Beat the house consistently? They limit or ban you.
Lose consistently? They target you with bonuses and boosts to keep you betting.
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
Highly recommend listening to this conversation. It’s a great look inside the mind of a sharp trader and the research and strategy behind his biggest positions.
Going live at 12 PM PT / 3 PM ET.
Watch here: open.substack.com/live-strea…
One of Polymarket’s top traders is joining the show today!
@scottonPoly has made more than $1 million trading prediction markets, and he’s coming on the show to break down the research and strategy behind his success.
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
BREAKING: LeBron James is signing with the Philadelphia 76ers on a two-year, $8 million deal with a player option, Klutch Sports Group and Klutch CEO and Game Over show host Rich Paul tells ESPN.
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
Copy. Paste. Send.
FOIA records show @AmericanGaming drafted a template letter attacking prediction markets, emailed it to "independent" state gaming regulators, and Maryland later submitted a nearly identical version to the CFTC on official state letterhead.
Drafting courtesy of the casino lobby.
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
Regulation is key as prediction markets explode in popularity. It keeps bad guys out and keeps markets fair.
“We’ll continue to iterate and put rules in place, but we’re going to bring enforcement actions against those that break the rules.” 👏
Prediction markets are far from the wild west. Event contracts trade on registered exchanges that are regulated by the @CFTC and administer the same types of controls as other types of derivatives exchanges.
The agency will continue to listen to stakeholder feedback and provide regulatory clarity through a forthcoming proposed rule to ensure these products have a future here in America.
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
2/32
#FIFAWorldCup
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
Join @StuDoesAmerica tonight for live coverage as election results come in from Georgia, Oklahoma, and Alabama.
7:45 PM ET - BlazeTV Live
8:00 PM ET - Predictable Live
Watch on BlazeTV, PredictableShow.com, and YouTube: youtube.com/@PredictableShow
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
GETS IT DONE ON THE WHITE HOUSE LAWN 🏆
Justin Gaethje is the NEW UFC Undisputed Lightweight Champion!
[ #UFCWhiteHouse | LIVE on @ParamountPlus ]
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
Forever and ever
Perpetual futures have landed in America… and have the potential to re-orient finance as we know it
substacktools.com/sharex/rmD…
PredictionMarkets.us retweeted
$2 TRILLION HAS BEEN WIPED OUT FROM US STOCK MARKET IN LAST 2 HOURS.
Two possible reasons for this selloff.
THE FIRST REASON IS SPACEX.
SpaceX lists on June 12 at a $1.77 trillion valuation, raising $75 billion, the largest IPO in US history.
SpaceX allocated 30% of shares to retail investors, three times the industry norm.
Even then, most retail investors still did not get full allocation. To buy more SpaceX at open on Thursday, they are selling their existing positions today to raise cash.
And SpaceX does not enter the Nasdaq 100 on day one. It enters 15 trading days after listing, putting forced buying around early July.
Nasdaq changed its rules specifically for this IPO, cutting the waiting period from three months to 15 days.
When that happens, every QQQ fund must automatically buy SpaceX, an estimated $22 to $27 billion in forced mechanical buying. To make room, every existing Nasdaq 100 stock gets trimmed.
MSCI has also adopted early inclusion rules, adding trillions more in tracked assets that will be forced to buy SpaceX after listing.
Both retail and institutions are raising cash at the same time, retail to participate in the listing, institutions to prepare for the forced index buying in July.
That combined selling is what you are seeing right now.
The second reason is insider positioning ahead of major news.
When institutions sell this aggressively across every asset class at the same time, it often signals they know something the market does not yet.
MASSIVE WIPEOUT ACROSS STOCKS, METALS AND CRYPTO.
$1.88 TRILLION wiped out in last 1 hour.
S&P 500 is down -1.62%, wiping out $1.10 trillion.
Nasdaq is down -2.50%, wiping out $880 billion.
Gold is down -1.95%, wiping out $570 billion.
Silver is down -5.56%, wiping out $220 billion.
Russell 2000 is down -2.06%, wiping out $68 billion.
Bitcoin is down -2.12%, wiping out $28 billion.







































