Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw) header
Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw) profile picture

Lawyer, former Wisconsinite, (coefficient) shrinkage enthusiast. Baseball Prospectus stats, PECOTA. Likes: Brewers, Packers, statistical parameters.

Chicago, IL
Joined January 2010
Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)Photo by Jonathan Judge (@bachlaw)
Initial live scouting report of the new Badgers QB: he sucks.
389
Jonathan Judge retweeted
U.S. House Democrats cleaned up and won all 227 seats that were less Republican than Trump+9. They also won 30 of 66 seats in the Trump+9 to Trump+18 range, extending deep into the mass of gerrymandered seats.
14
281
7
1,874
89,842
And I’m not sure how to deal with it, although some equivalent of this is sorely needed. In baseball, where WAR originated, we have numerous individual opponents that provide a robust estimate of how skilled a particular player is.
One problem with WAR is that it doesn't distinguish between being a strong candidate and opposing a weak candidate. e.g., I think we're mostly seeing here that Graham was weak and Collins was strong, rather than Andrews/Jackson attributes.
1
489
Jonathan Judge retweeted
Hilarious trial
Replying to @SamBlum3
Emmanuel Clase's attorney also asked the judge to limit her questions to witnesses, concerned it's aiding the prosecution. The judge said she knows little about baseball. She's been asking for clarification on basics. Today she asked "Are Detroit and White Sox the same thing?"
3
20
1,759
163,662
Jonathan Judge retweeted
Every time I puzzle over why Trump decided to start the Iran conflict, I come back to this
63
177
10
2,650
42,864
Jonathan Judge retweeted
A 10-year old boy wrote Virginia Foxx a letter as part of a school project. He had to write a persuasive essay and he chose tax credits for electric vehicles. The congresswoman responded by ripping him & his teacher. Last night, voters retired Rep. Foxx.
669
7,758
647
103,129
8,528,634
Jonathan Judge retweeted
Oh. My. Lord.
In case anyone is wondering what kind of Senator James Talarico will be, here’s him challenging the author of the Ten Commandments bill in the Texas house. He’s been fighting extremism and hypocrisy for a long time
97
997
10
22,209
918,498
Jonathan Judge retweeted
This may be the most Mississippi tweet I’ve ever seen.
We have to say “Mississippi” after each number
453
6,038
124
97,720
1,597,505
Jonathan Judge retweeted
Mississippi fun fact: Scott Colom was nominated to be a federal judge by Joe Biden. And he was blocked by… Cindy-Hyde Smith, via the blue slip process. Now Colom leads Hyde-Smith by 1,138 votes in what would be the upset of the century.
112
1,292
86
7,303
203,615
Jonathan Judge retweeted
After Kamala Harris' defeat these were the ideas I laid out for a better path forward. slowboring.com/p/a-common-se…
21
14
3
248
27,827
Jonathan Judge retweeted
Breaking News: Sam Forstag, a former union leader and smoke jumper, won western Montana’s House race, flipping the seat and becoming the first Democrat elected to the House in the state in more than 30 years. nyti.ms/4zvdCaY
45
695
34
5,769
203,824
Jonathan Judge retweeted
Huntsville is quickly becoming Northern Virginia 2.0 for the rest of the state. Massive influx of engineers and knowledge economy workers, and it’s only accelerating. New blue wall is under construction
Just now seeing how close #ALGov was. Tuberville is not a campaign dynamo — he coasts on Alabama’s GOP partisan advantage and doesn’t debate. Def helped Rep. Figures (who beat a GOP gerrymander) that the high black turnout was matched by Rs yawning and sharing memes.
23
104
7
1,824
51,860
Jonathan Judge retweeted
donald trump's primary and distinctive contribution to the deep structure of american politics is massive racial depolarization
7
36
7
314
29,811
Jonathan Judge retweeted
D+12.7 Texas in 1964 VS D+12.1 Texas in 2026:
80
242
41
7,779
866,745
Jonathan Judge retweeted
FOX’s telecast of World Series Game 5, featuring the Brewers clinching victory over the Rays, ranked as the #7 for the week of Oct 26-Nov 1st of the top 25 most-watched sports event of the week with 14.1 million viewers. In addition: ◦#8 - Brewers vs. Rays - World Series Game 4 (FOX) - 13.3 million viewers ◦#9 - Brewers vs. Rays - World Series Game 3 (FOX) - 8.2 million viewers
4
32
15,852
Good thread as usual
Last night was a historic win for Democrats. We currently estimate Democrats will win ~57% of the two-party House vote and ~255-260 seats - the best House vote share for either party since Watergate, and likely the biggest majority in more than 30 years.
593
In light of all the bad ICE behavior, seems like a reasonable moment to pass (1) a version of Section 1983 applicable to federal officers, perhaps with (2) a damages cap on both statutes to get the Republican votes needed to push it through. Put Bivens to rest.
1
403
Jonathan Judge retweeted
This might go down as one of the best political ads I’ve ever seen.
She done lost her damn mind.
52
903
9
14,708
447,257