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Pre-NY Positioning pretty chill index flow yesterday, $QQQ finished around +$34m net calls with roughly +$10m concentrated in the Nov 715s. still some protection sitting underneath it though, 70k $VIX Feb 22 calls traded for ~$18.6m at the ask. event vol is the bigger thing going into NY, $MSFT pricing ~3.3%, $GOOGL ~3.8% and $AMZN ~4.1%

you've been missing out for a long time

im back

$BTC CME leveraged funds are still net short, but added longs/ covered shorts pretty aggressively last week, net short position now around 4.9k contracts. Spot ETFs starting this week positive too, +$110.3m so far entirely from $IBIT nothing huge yet, but positioning has moved a bit less defensive

$BTC boring NY session, OI is building while spot CVD has been positive through the range, mainly from buying on Binance. some spot selling on Coinbase but nothing major options leaned defensive through NY, around +$1.6m net puts bought while calls were net sold some of the bigger flow was further out too, including decent Dec 72k put buying while 90k Dec calls were sold front IV has cooled back off, but skew is still around +3%

$BTC Longs being forced closed off NY open, OI up with spot buying coming from coinbase ethereum:0xe0f63a424a4439cbe457d80e4f4b51ad25b2c56c and $BRENT up off the open, $NDX selling off interesting morning isn't it

Contracts push the risk onto the neoclouds Hyperscalers locked in take-or-pay Neocloud deals are cancellable and depend on the neoclouds raising financing If AI demand cools, or Anthropic loses big enterprise clients to OpenAI, neocloud credit could crack

Anthropic S-1 IPO filing is live Link: sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…

Pre-NY Positioning $SPY / $QQQ / $IWM are all short gamma going into the new week, while positioning underneath is pretty mixed across single names. big week for macro too + if Anthropic's S1 comes out in 30 mins it's gonna be fun durable goods tomorrow, FOMC Wednesday, then GDP + PCE Thursday. big earnings mixed in as well with $MSFT / $GOOGL Wednesday and $AMZN Thursday. plenty of stuff on the calendar this week

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you beauty, gonna save this for later

$BTC New Week Friday's move lower was mostly a long unwind, then spot kept bleeding through the weekend while OI stayed pretty flat not much leverage has rebuilt behind the move so far. options are still paying for downside into the week though, 25d skew around +3% with put IV well above calls

will do, thank you trying to get a distinguished palette I live in a wine region, need to try out come local stuff

brillant is brillant

It was nice, thank you for the rec!

No what is this new ticker stuff, are they seriously going to allow trading and swaps through X, how did this make it out of staging

Pre-NY Positioning downside hedging picked up pretty broadly yesterday. $SPY / $QQQ both had net put buying, but it was more obvious underneath. $MU / $META / $AVGO / $AMD all saw pretty heavy put demand, while $NVDA had a lot of call selling too. still some upside flow mixed into $QQQ, but overall the tape leaned a lot more defensive

ge, happy friday again ladies some malbec per @capitalflows recommendation