basilio.eth retweeted
The idea of an intelligence explosion caused by recursive self improvement has been around for a long time but until very recently it did not seem imminent. Now many leading researchers think it may happen quite soon. You can read our paper about it here:
casp.ac/reports/intelligence…
basilio.eth retweeted
Introducing TimesFM-3, a state-of-the-art time series foundation model that enables accurate multivariate time series forecasting in a single forward pass, significantly outperforming other forecasting models across major benchmarks.
More on the blog →goo.gle/4x5WGpD
basilio.eth retweeted
These are the early days - in the next few years the number of searches from LLMs will be 1000x more than Google searches today.
And these searches will be more complex. Not keyword searches, but full database queries over the world’s information.
The Top AI Papers of the Week (April 6 - 12)
- Memento
- Neural Computers
- The Universal Verifier
- Agent Skills in the Wild
- Memory Intelligence Agent (MIA)
- Single-Agent vs Multi-Agent LLMs
- Scaling Coding Agents via Atomic Skills
Read on for more:
basilio.eth retweeted
There's a physicist at Stanford named Safi Bahcall who modeled this exact principle and the math is wild.
He calls it "phase transitions in human networks." When you're stationary, your probability of a lucky event is limited to your existing surface area: the people you already know, the places you already go, the ideas you've already been exposed to. Your opportunity window is fixed.
When you move, your collision rate with new nodes in a network increases nonlinearly. Double your movement (new conversations, new cities, new projects) and your probability of a serendipitous encounter doesn't double. It roughly quadruples. Because each new node connects you to their entire network, not just to them.
Richard Wiseman ran a 10-year study at the University of Hertfordshire tracking self-described "lucky" and "unlucky" people. The single biggest differentiator wasn't IQ, education, or family money. Lucky people scored significantly higher on one trait: openness to experience. They talked to strangers more, varied their routines more, and said yes to invitations at nearly twice the rate.
The "unlucky" group followed the same routes, ate at the same restaurants, and talked to the same 5 people. Their networks were closed loops. No new inputs, no new collisions.
Luck isn't random. Luck is surface area. And surface area is a function of movement.
The lobster emoji is doing more work than most people realize. Lobsters grow by shedding their shell when it gets too tight. The growth requires a period of total vulnerability. No protection, no armor, soft body exposed to the ocean.
That's the cost of movement nobody posts about. You have to be uncomfortable first. The new shell only hardens after you've already moved.
basilio.eth retweeted
Obsidian is weird:
- 7 full-time employees
- ~1 million users per employee
- fully remote
- 1 in-person meetup per year
- no scheduled meetings
- no stand-ups
- deep focus is prioritized
- our manifesto guides our product
What works for us may not work for you.
basilio.eth retweeted
This is deservedly viral and a great lecture, but I'm afraid it doesn't help much if you are dealing with religious or political bigotry that defies any logic!
basilio.eth retweeted
New public experiment: Model Fusion
Use multiple models, analyze outputs, and fuse the results for a response that every Deep Research agent preferred to its own, in our testing.
No subscription needed at all.
basilio.eth retweeted
Giant #Bitcoin drone show in Switzerland showing BTC eating fiat currencies like Pac-Man 🇨🇭


































