"That thing that rich people do where they turn money into more money. Can you teach me how to do that, Jack?” - Tina Fey, 30 Rock Jack, “With my eyes closed.”

Lhasa, Tibet
Joined June 2020
I’ve been blessed to spend time with many of the world’s great investors. 20 years ago, I made a point to hunt down the best. Many are now popular on Fintwit - Nick Sleep, Li Lu, Chuck Akre. Others should be - Chris Hohn, Larry Robbins, and more. For🎄: 12 lessons I learned🧵👇
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$META quietly filing that it may need to raise up to $700 BILLION in equity. 👀 …and in every case, at least “hundreds of billions.” lol Hey, at least if it doesn’t go well, Zuck will have used this as a way to solidify voting control for the rest of his life. 🙌
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fwiw, we actually don't know the maximum scenario. But they clearly tested it at $700 billion, and the smallest scenario is at least $200 billion.
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Compound248 💰 retweeted
Is this alot?
$META quietly filing that it may need to raise up to $700 BILLION in equity. 👀 …and in every case, at least “hundreds of billions.” lol Hey, at least if it doesn’t go well, Zuck will have used this as a way to solidify voting control for the rest of his life. 🙌
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Can Elon and SpaceX whip up a scaled, converged, high quality nationwide mobile carrier? AT&T’s CEO, John Stankey, seems skeptical. [audio on] Interesting Datapoint : ~45% of the mobile traffic AT&T carries in Chicago originates indoors… $T $SPCX
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Btw, props to @Quartr_App for the absolute best earnings call tool. For more on SpaceX’s modest plans for the next two years: xitter.cf/compound248/status/211…
I gotta give Elon credit, he leaves no man behind in his ride-or-die crew: • Saved his Twitter co-investors by merging them into xAI at a ridiculous valuation • Saved his xAI investors by merging them into SpaceX at ridiculous valuation • Talking about saving his Tesla investors by merging them into SpaceX • Working to save his $SPCX investors by claiming he’ll soon have 100,000 satellites, 20 GW of power and cooling next year(!), a nationwide DTC mobile service, new bigger rockets, and closing in on $1 TRILLION of run-rate revenue in 15 months All that gets you a whopping 6% pop in the stock. lol But if you are on the Elon ride-or-die crew, a chunk of $SPCX lockups come off and you can keep unloading those bags.💰 No man left behind. Props. 🫡
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Compound248 💰 retweeted
$ASTS Fortunate for Spacemob, the market doesn't believe AT&T. They need to prove they will be competitive in the evolving landscape.
Can Elon and SpaceX whip up a scaled, converged, high quality nationwide mobile carrier? AT&T’s CEO, John Stankey, seems skeptical. [audio on] Interesting Datapoint : ~45% of the mobile traffic AT&T carries in Chicago originates indoors… $T $SPCX
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Won’t be easy for Elon to launch a wireless “phone” business.
Can Elon and SpaceX whip up a scaled, converged, high quality nationwide mobile carrier? AT&T’s CEO, John Stankey, seems skeptical. [audio on] Interesting Datapoint : ~45% of the mobile traffic AT&T carries in Chicago originates indoors… $T $SPCX
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I gotta give Elon credit, he leaves no man behind in his ride-or-die crew: • Saved his Twitter co-investors by merging them into xAI at a ridiculous valuation • Saved his xAI investors by merging them into SpaceX at ridiculous valuation • Talking about saving his Tesla investors by merging them into SpaceX • Working to save his $SPCX investors by claiming he’ll soon have 100,000 satellites, 20 GW of power and cooling next year(!), a nationwide DTC mobile service, new bigger rockets, and closing in on $1 TRILLION of run-rate revenue in 15 months All that gets you a whopping 6% pop in the stock. lol But if you are on the Elon ride-or-die crew, a chunk of $SPCX lockups come off and you can keep unloading those bags.💰 No man left behind. Props. 🫡
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Compound248 💰 retweeted
Wow early stages still? $GOOG
Alex @Kantrowitz Big Tech Podcast has been on a heater - it just dropped one with Google’s Sundar Pichai. Alex asks if GCP is sold out to 2028, ala AWS.👇 “Yeah…today, if a customer is asking us for compute in ‘27, that is incredibly difficult to do… we are at early stages of the most consequential technology ever.” -@sundarpichai 👀
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Alex @Kantrowitz Big Tech Podcast has been on a heater - it just dropped one with Google’s Sundar Pichai. Alex asks if GCP is sold out to 2028, ala AWS.👇 “Yeah…today, if a customer is asking us for compute in ‘27, that is incredibly difficult to do… we are at early stages of the most consequential technology ever.” -@sundarpichai 👀
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Here’s the full episode. Make sure to give @Kantrowitz a follow:
New: I spoke with @sundarpichai about Google's commitment to the AI frontier, how close we are to RSI, balancing DeepMind's compute needs vs. Google Cloud profits, and much, much more. Full Big Technology Podcast episode here --> Chapters: 0:00 Introduction 1:14 Google’s Frontier AI Strategy 3:47 Do Frontier Models Really Matter? 6:35 The Future of AI Agents 7:39 Recursive Self-Improvement 12:58 World Models and the Path to AGI 14:56 Google’s Compute Dilemma and AI Infrastructure 19:36 Is AI Overbuilt? 23:35 The Future of the AI Interface 31:42 Google’s Answer to Muse and Dots 35:03 Apple, Space Data Centers, and AI Coding 41:42 Optimism and AI’s Future
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Allocating compute to internal vs external demand?
Q: How do you allocate between internal research and supporting customers? Do you risk shortchanging your own research in the most important thing ever? A: @sundarpichai: “Even for our AI researchers, constraints are also good. That’s what inspires creativity. That’s what helps you come with a more efficient algorithmic breakthrough. “We are committed to invest what’s necessary to stay at the frontier.”
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Q: How do you allocate between internal research and supporting customers? Do you risk shortchanging your own research in the most important thing ever? A: @sundarpichai: “Even for our AI researchers, constraints are also good. That’s what inspires creativity. That’s what helps you come with a more efficient algorithmic breakthrough. “We are committed to invest what’s necessary to stay at the frontier.”
Alex @Kantrowitz Big Tech Podcast has been on a heater - it just dropped one with Google’s Sundar Pichai. Alex asks if GCP is sold out to 2028, ala AWS.👇 “Yeah…today, if a customer is asking us for compute in ‘27, that is incredibly difficult to do… we are at early stages of the most consequential technology ever.” -@sundarpichai 👀
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I will take the Under against all comers. ✍️
As crazy as this sounds, $1T in SpaceX revenue in 2028 is no longer impossible
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BREAKING: GFL Environmental take private interest said to hit roadblock over price ($GFL $43.15 -$1.52) 👇👀📉
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[This doesn't necessarily mean "no deal," but it likely means "no deal next week."]
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Germans are so unhealthy they take a sick day every two weeks. The persistent illness in its society makes me concerned for its populous; Germany obviously needs to invest in its healthcare system. 🧑‍⚕️
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October ‘87 vibes.
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Compound248 💰 retweeted
Super Intelligent COVID
Apparently Anthropic is performing Gain of Function research. Exciting!
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Apparently Anthropic is performing Gain of Function research. Exciting!
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I thought I was being witty calling it Gain of Function research, but it turns out 30 mins later in the pod, @bhorowitz actually says the thing I just said. Oh, and Bill Gates catches a wild volley of strays out of nowhere as an accidentally lethal doomer, or something. @Jason
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