The internet is great because of stuff like this, as well!
"That ~impossible thing is *totally* possible. At least for a little while!"
IP law is the closest we've come to worldwide regulation of information, and it's a big hot mess. (Still treating IP like it's physical!)
Yep. And this could be done ~immediately today. *keeping* the freeze in place would get increasingly difficult as more trailing actors catch up to the frontier and then need to be stopped from surpassing it. But I think that could be done too. We talk about this in AI 2040 under the "Plan S" branch.
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den{x} retweeted
I do actually find it kind of remarkable how reliable humans are at operating cars (Claude estimates a crash every ~10000 hours). Basically nothing else humans do has that level of reliability with so few guardrails! Not even walking!
imagine doing the safety review for cars before cars existed.
what are the operators doing at 70 mph?
texting. some are also eating McDonald’s.
and how much flammable liquid is on board?
25 gallons of gasoline.
how much training do they get?
enough to pass a short test at 16.
any more training after that?
no.
what separates them from oncoming traffic?
paint.
what if it snows?
they guess where the paint is.
anyway, it mostly works.
i guess the moral of the story is that hardly anything ends up being as bad as imagined? maybe the singularity won't be as bad as it *could be*?
The lack of critical thinking is addictive
Look at this graph. Notice how it’s an exponential *on a log scale*. I pray and hope there will be strongly diminishing returns before long in this process. But leaders at METR and Anthropic both seem to think there might not be. That’s fucking terrifying.
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Men who pass as women (so to speak) is also a core fear for some men because flirting, and not wanting to have to deal with that kind of existential question.
I don't know what the answer is as far as how much our past is part of our present and future, and disclosure basically.
Replying to @life_minutiae @TheOmniZaddy
I think the typical implicit belief of the average person is something like "trans women who pass are women".
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I don't think you can *objectively* measure how many lives *anything* will save long-term, but I guess it depends on where we draw temporal lines
Replying to @s8mb
This is a really misleading crop of the discussion. No one was arguing against using data to make ur charitable giving effective. The issue with the Dario quote being discussed was the totally subjective moral judgment that he used for his "calculations."
You can objectively measure how many lives a vaccination program saves, but you *cannot* claim that an adult's life is "worth 2 to 3x more" than an infant's bc adults have "deeper experiences." That's the issue at hand and it seems like you’re trying to misrepresent it. (And this is not a dig at Kelsey who I really like). Let’s just be honest about what people take issue with!
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Or if they're blocked, they also have to screenshot.
It's just bad UX, right?
Linking stuff is one of the most useful elements of what we call "online".
Replying to @cernlaboratory @s8mb
You have to keep screenshotting bc if you link to the full convo people will be able to see the full context of my comments and you can’t misrepresent them. Very silly behavior!
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The platform should add an auto-screenshot function if the person blocks you, so you can still easily reference them. #usabilityfail
Apropos to Nada, people with mental issues block the most it seems like. For some, it helps keep their sanity, for others, it does the opposite.
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What about investing?
Replying to @TaylorLorenz
f I want to help as many people as possible I have a responsibility to try to do some calculations in order to figure out where my money will do the most good just like I have to do calculations to figure out the best healthcare policy or the best education policy.
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I see this "an attack has to succeed only once, defense every time" sentiment quite a bit, especially from people who often also say they're into game theory, and I think it's akin to saying "this sentence is false", but they seem to think it's expressing something useful instead
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The person did a thing, not an "AI". This subject/object slight of hand shall not stand!
Anyway, we cannot "align" without context.
Pertinent question is, how much context?
"Ok, the AI did something bad, but only because the company didn't fully understand their system and did something dumb"
"Do you expect the companies to start fully understanding their systems and stop doing dumb things?"
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It's like how the audio for text-to-speech still isn't *quite* there. It will get better and better, tho since it's a mirror of sorts, perhaps it will never exactly be there? It'll be a bit academic at that point anyway, so meh!
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When people tweet stuff like this and then don't reply to any comments it makes it seem like it's just propaganda.
Perhaps they're all in cahoots!
Interesting that @slatestarcodex invented a new acronym SURA and argued against it (Stop Unilaterally and Raise Awareness). Rather than arguing against "pause." Maybe because PauseAI has always advocated for an international treaty to pause AI development. First they fight you, then they strawman you, then we win.
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If I believed the signs meant the same things as these fine folks do, I would be oh so excited!
Why am I so cynical? I really want to believe! It would be so cool!!!
I grew up in the Pacific Northwest and we'd sometimes see signs of mountain lions around the property. Knowing that, and walking alone through the forest at night, is a particular kind experience. What I feel now reminds me of that
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den{x} retweeted
Would you look at that. Binance was hacked via phishing (Contagious Interview), not zero-day exploits written by abliterated AI models. Exactly as I predicted.
I may shitpost a lot, but I do actually know some things about some stuff.
Replying to @GergelyOrosz
How many attacks have actually been attributed to AI zero-days at all? And how many of those were attributed to abliterated open-weight AI models? Binance was more likely than not, the result of just boring old phishing. That is the most common technique that attacker uses.
I think advertising and customer bases are a big part of why we see what we see.
There's a ton of cool stuff that just doesn't get love, or has problematic legal aspects.
vibe coding really demystified the concept of the “idea guy.” if the bottleneck was being able to ship and prototype ideas, there should be a proliferation of new cool ideas, suggesting there’s still lots of alpha in knowing what to build
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She is aiming at being more of a Malcolm X type icon/organizer than an MLK one, eh?
I personally prefer my politics peaceful and my rollercoasters rough, as it were, but many do dig anger— and it's punk!
(Not SLC Punk! obviously as that's more about judo than frontal assaults.)
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