This @WSJ article’s maps undercut its claim that Taiwan's conquest will allow China to “dominate the region’s strategic waterways, project military power widely into the Pacific and more aggressively pursue its contested maritime and territorial claims." wsj.com/world/asia/china-tai…

.@cdrsalamander to the Navy when he hears about the hard kill Mk58 NIXIE: navalnews.com/naval-news/202…

The @TXNatSecReview dream team led by @SheenaGreitens vastly improved the piece's substance and readability. This deep campaign analysis would've been impossible without feedback from @NavalWarCollege colleagues & other experts l admire greatly (tagged in the chart). Thanks! 6/6

I don't suggest China would fare as poorly as Iran, only that Taiwan matters little either way. The maps below depict the comparative campaign analysis of a simple kill chain. Little difference exists between PLA capability with control of Taiwan and its current baseline. 3/6

Setting aside whether the US could, much less should, conduct such an operation in the Indo-Pacific, I just do not see how the status of Taiwan would have any effect on its viability. defense.gov/News/News-Storie…

I’m accustomed to charts of range rings emanating from the “bad guys’” territory, and was unprepared for how unsettling I found this graphic in an excellent new report from @IISS_org. I understand the need for European rearming but am also saddened by it. iiss.org/research-paper/2025…

Couldn't make the spirited Paris Defence and Security Forum debate on the transatlantic defense industrial base (DIB) between myself, Ethan Kapstein, @ElieTenenbaum & @amelie_zima? Check out the @IFRI_ report that inspired it: ifri.org/en/studies/transatl… #PDSF (photo @OVL01)🧵 (1/5)

...the most surprising outcome, contrary to our preregistered expectations, is that while respondents thought that veterans were more likely to be strong leaders, veteran status had no effect on authority about security issues, for men and women. 3/4

We theorized that even if hawkish statements and veteran status can help women overcome perceived “leadership” deficits, they would not make the public any more likely to listen to a woman when it comes to security policy. This is largely borne out in the experiments. But… 2/4

Our main goal was to show how differently these defense industrial markets work. More work needs to be done to understand and manage them, but @jekavanagh, Kapstein and I offer a first cut at strategies to enable efficient capability generation and international influence. 2/2