President, Mitchell Research & Communications, National #Pollster, Political and PR #Consultant, and commentator on #Politics
Michigan
Joined February 2009
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We are delighted to be ranked as the 13th most accurate pollster in the USA in 2024 polling by ActiVote of 136 who were ranked!
2024 Most Valuable Pollster (MVP) Rankings – ActiVote - Mitchell #13 activote.net/2024-most-valua…
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Exit Poll data seems to indicate @AbdulElSayed will defeat @MikeRogersForMI 51%-46% {5%} and @JocelynBenson will defeat @JohnJamesMI 52%-45% {6.5%}.
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Some of the historically, most accurate polling companies in America with completely opposite results. This should be interesting tonight.
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On Qatari Television discussing ongoing negotiations between @realDonaldTrump and @IRIMFA_EN taking place in Doha. My take: Post Nov 3rd The US will resume war with no constraints once mid-terms are over!
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Mitchell Poll MI Benson 49%- James 44% mitchellresearch.net Press Releases @PollTracker2024 @IAPolls2022 @PpollingNumbers @pol
N=515 MMS-Web, N=121 online panels and we will find out if it is right or wrong. The same exact methodology used by almost all POLLSTERS. I guess being ranked 13th most accurate in the country by ActiVote in 2024 isn’t good enough for you. I was pretty proud of it. Perhaps you’ve been in the top 15 in something as well. Please let me know. Thanks for the kind words @AdrianHemond
Very sus methods. 100% online. Rogers getting 21% in Detroit (better than Trump). College voters even. Not even saying there's a thumb on the scale in either direction. Just straight dogshit
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Mitchell MI Poll El-Sayed +7% Press Releases @ Mitchellresearch.net. @PpollingNumbers @politico @IAPolls2022 @wjrradio @PollTracker2024 @DecisionDeskHQ
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I was at El-Sayed +4.2% (45.6%-41.4%) They rounded to 5%.
Michigan Senate polling is showing an interesting pattern. As I did with Texas, I ran eight polls through several LOESS models, and all point to a stable El-Sayed lead of roughly 2 points.
Even removing the earlier Marist +7 and Mitchell +5 polls barely changes the estimate. Allowing the models to account for those larger margins produces essentially the same result. A race well within the margin of error of individual surveys. Of course, none of this accounts for potential polling error in either direction.
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Steve Mitchell retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Ken Paxton takes the lead in the Texas Senate race.
🔴 Ken Paxton: 49%
🔵 James Talarico: 48%
“While the overall numbers have not moved much, this shift is significant because it marks the first time Paxton has led the Senate race since August.”
— John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling
Steve Mitchell retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Rick Jackson maintains a lead over Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in the Peach State.
🔴 Rick Jackson: 49%
🔵 Keisha Lance Bottoms: 47%
— John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling
Mitchell Poll Mi Benson 46%-James 39%. @IAPolls2022 @detroitnews @freep @politico @FoxNews @foxnewspolitics @RCPolitics Go to Press Releases Mitchellresearch.net
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Mitchell MI Poll - El-Sayed 45.6%-Rogers 41.4% Mitchellresearch.net @wjrradio @ErmanniMedia @PaulWJR @NBCNews @ABC @PpollingNumbers @JackPosobiec
Mitchell MI Poll El-Sayed 45.6% - Rogers 41.4%
MitchellResearch.net
@FOX2News @CBSDetroit @RCPolitics @nypost @politico @IAPolls2022 @DecisionDeskHQ @seanhannity @JesseBWatters @FoxNews @foxnewspolitics
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In 2024, ActiVote ranked Quantus 14th, higher than the NY TIMES, WAPO, CNN, ABC, Quinnipiac, and others! It’s a top flight polling organization.
Who graded us and what test did we take to receive a B/C rating? I can certainly tell you if it was rated on accuracy we’d be A+. You must learn to google, compile, and compare. Because you don’t know what you’re talking about or understand anything about some letters-out-of-a-hat rating.
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On Qatar TV this afternoon discussing @realDonaldTrump ‘s sanctions on 60 entities in Iran with an Iranian. 3:00 PM EDT and 10 PM Qatar time.
This information is completely false. There are 527,000 registered voters in the City Of Detroit about 120,000 voters actually CAST a ballot on August 4, 2026 And that includes all candidates, including a EL Sayed, and Haley Stevens both.
El-Sayed got "three times more votes in Detroit than there are registered voters", and there is no reason to investigate the election???? This is a total violation of any sense of Election Integrity. How can a governor say it should not be investigated? Total fraud.
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This poll is 41% Democrat 35% Republican a + 6% Democratic poll. The Fox poll was about +1% D. Split the difference and if the party affiliation is +3% Democrat, then the race is fundamentally tied or ROGERS has a slight lead.
MICHIGAN POLL By TIPP (A)
SENATE
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 45%
🟥 Mike Rogers: 42%
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GOVERNOR
🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 53%
🟥 John James: 37%
@LeagueOfWorkers (R) | 8/6-10 | LV
tippinsights.com/league-of-a…
tippinsights.com/league-of-a…
There there has been no change in the Dane County vote except they’re now calling at 99% in instead of 91% in. That makes the road much more difficult for @FrancescaHongWI it looks as though @DavidCrowleyWI is going to win. It all comes down to city of Milwaukee absentee ballots.
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